Invest in a wind farm

Due to coverage of the “greatest two minutes in sports” (aka: the Kentucky Derby) our regular 5pm and 6pm newscasts will not happen. However, after the conclusion of the race, we will be on for a brief three to four minute news update. Then, we’ll see you again at 10pm.

Now, while you wait for the ponies to do a little runnin’, here’s what’s going down in the weather department.

We picked up some rain showers in a few areas this morning, mainly North of Interstate 70. As long as we’re not getting severe weather, it’s all fine by me.
Some have already asked about amounts. This is what the official reporting sites are showing.
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Your measurement will likely be a bit different.
At this point, there are a few lingering showers East of the Kansas/Missouri line and those will continue to push East. I am not expecting anything new to develop for tonight. So enjoy the evening.
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Sunday will be a good day to own a wind farm or perhaps several kites. The wind machine will be stuck on high.
3r

So for those heading out to the Royals midday game or the Sporting KC match at 4pm, make sure you know it will be warm and windy. Gusts could easily top out near 35mph.
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Looking into next week, I think the warm air is going to stick around. We’ll see many areas across the country will above average readings.
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Now that said, there will also be a stalled front that lingers just to the North of Kansas City.
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This is going to be a pain in terms of the forecast. Because that front is nearby, we’re going to have to allow for some thunderstorm development. Right now, no one day really looks better than the other. So 30%-40% rain chances will have to do for now. I don’t think it’s a washout but it is that time of year where a heavier thunderstorm could pop up in the heat of the day. At the same time, we could also spark some early morning activity depending on how other dynamics unfold.
We’ll keep looking over the information and fine tune the forecast as we move forward.

In the short term, a warm & windy day ahead for Sunday then a chance for showers and some t-storms Monday, mainly North of I-70.

Let’s hope the Royals cage the Tigers again tonight!
-JD

Scattered Showers

Good Saturday bloggers,

This morning we are dealing with scattered showers as weak disturbances track in from the west as warm and more moist air is starting to head north.  These showers will be around until about 2 PM, then the weather will improve as the disturbances move away. So, if you have outdoor plans today keep an umbrella handy, but this evening you will not need one.

SATURDAY MORNING SAT/RAD: You can see a disturbance in central Kansas.  It will take until about 2 PM for this to move through.

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NOON SATURDAY: Scattered showers will continue as the disturbance moves by.  This morning and early afternoon will not be a washout, but you will have to deal with off and on rain, mostly light.

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5 PM SATURDAY: The rain will be moving away and we are in for a nice Saturday evening as highs reach the mid 70s.

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SUNDAY 2 PM: Sunday will be a dry day with highs in the low 80s.  It will be more humid and windy with south winds 15-30 mph and gusty.  My son has a baseball game and it will not be rained out.  Last Sunday it was in the 40s and 50s during the game, so this will be much better.

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SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY MORNING: This will be our next chance of rain and a front approaches.  Thunderstorms will form on the front to our northwest Sunday evening.  Then, overnight these showers and thunderstorms will likely drift southeast into our area.  The threat of severe weather is near zero as the flow aloft will be rather weak.  We could use the rain as it has been dry for about a week and it does dry out fast this time of year.

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There will be more rain and thunderstorm chances next week, with a very low severe weather threat.  We will have to take the forecast one day at a time as there will be a series of disturbances to track with the main front stalled well to the northwest.

Have a great weekend.

Jeff

Just a simple Thursday

As the last grains of sand in the month of April fall to the bottom of the hour glass, we’ll exit the month on a fairly quiet note. Sunshine, a few clouds, with mild temperatures and light wind. Hard to argue with that this time of year!
The big picture satellite and radar shows it’s pretty calm across most of the country.
3r

This means another great day for us with highs in the 70s and a fair amount of sun. Here it is by the hour today.
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The Royals will come back home tonight and what a night this will be for baseball.
Royals Forecast - Option 3

As we move into the weekend, we look to stay warm but there could be a few spotty showers around on Saturday and perhaps even into Sunday morning. Short term NAM & RPM guidance is picking up on it. However, it’s still a couple days away and the models continue to have last-minute change of hearts. We’ll keep looking over the information and give you updates! In the meantime, get out and enjoy the weather…. go to the golf course, talk a walk around the park, or just sit outside and talk it all in!
-JD

Two Distant Storm Systems

Good Tuesday bloggers,

We are tracking two storm systems this week.  Each one will have an indirect impact on our region.  The first storm system has been producing much needed rain to Oklahoma and Texas.  This is really helping out the winter wheat crop as they have been in a severe drought across western Oklahoma and northwest Texas.  This storm is now weakening and tracking well to our south.  It’s impact in our region has been to send us periods of high  clouds.  It will produce some bigger thunderstorms from Arkansas, Louisiana into the southeast USA the next 2 days.

9 AM SATELLITE/RADAR: You can see the storm to our south, it is in a weakening phase.

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3 PM TUESDAY: It will be yet another nice day with highs well into the 60s to near 70° with a bit of a north breeze.

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7 AM WEDNESDAY: The morning rush hour Wednesday will once again be calm and cool.  The second storm system will be forming over the Great Lakes.  It will track south, well east of our area.  It will bring showers and cool weather to many locations east of the Mississippi river.  It will send us a very weak cold front.  Tomorrow morning this weak front will be on our doorstep.

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230 PM WEDNESDAY: The weak front will be drifting through with very little moisture to work with.  So, we will have a band of cumulus clouds and perhaps a sprinkle or brief, small shower as this front moves through.  Highs tomorrow will still reach the low 70s.

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7 AM THURSDAY: You can see the storm system over Illinois and Indiana.  We are just out of the reach of this storm system, but Thursday will be a few degrees cooler as our winds turn more northeast behind the weak front.  We may have a few more clouds as well.  Thursday will still be a nice day.

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Next week is looking more more active with several rain and thunderstorm chances.  We always have to watch for the potential of severe weather in May.  We will update this more the next several days.

One other issue are the allergies.  After the rain the last several days and now the sun, the trees are exploding.  If you are having major allergy issues this week, like my poor son, then you are most likely allergic to tree pollen, specifically Oak and Mulberry.  In the next 1-2 weeks this pollen will come down,

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Have a great day and week.

Jeff

 

Looking ahead through this week

Good morning bloggers,

The weather pattern will be calming down this week, and then becoming more interesting and entertaining again next week. JD made this graphic and posted it yesterday to show are near zero rain chances for this week.

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The weather pattern is definitely calming down over most of the nation for around a week, but as we move into May we will see increasing chances of thunderstorms again.

Kansas City Rainfall at KCI Airport

  • April:  3.29″ so far (average is 3.33″ by tonight)
  • For the year:  6.35″ (8.23″ is the average by tonight)

Some parts of the metro have had over 4″ this month, but the amount at KCI is still a pretty good representation of what is going on. It has continued to be a struggle to get rain to fall, just like it was a struggle to get snow to fall. Kansas City ended up with 14.2″ of snow for the season which is below the seasonal average of 18.8″.  Our winter forecast called for 17″ of snow and we forecasted that Kansas City is not in the right spot and this continues to this day in this year’s LRC. Speaking of the LRC, we have allowed any of you to test out the LRC Forecast Experience Blog for free for ten views. We just went over 500 of you who have joined in on this experience, so check it out and join in on this educational experience. We have some big and exciting things going on that we will be sharing with you in May at www.Weather2020.com.

The jet stream is retreating northward this week and this will allow us to warm up gradually, but we will still be under then influence of this storm system developing over the southeastern United States:

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This is definitely a dry weather pattern for our area, but we are seeing increasing chances for thunderstorms next week. Here is the surface forecast valid Friday evening:

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Have a great day! We will be working on some special graphics to describe this weather pattern on 41 Action News today and tonight.

Gary