The Drought Is Contracting Slowly

Good morning bloggers,

A one foot snow storm is developing one state away to the northeast of KC. Yes, northeastern Iowa is in the path of what may end up being a one foot snowstorm. It is one state away, but seems so much farther. Kansas City will end up with its third straight winter under 10″ of snow for the first time in recorded history. New York City has had their 5th straight year of 30″ or more for only the second time in its 150 years of records, the last time happening in the 1870s.  Something just has to give next winter, right?

The drought was expanding, but in the past few weeks it has started contracting. down towards the bullseye over Texas and Oklahoma:

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An extreme drought is in progress from around Wichita, KS west and southwest.  Kansas City is on the eastern edge, and the next few weeks will be a huge test.


This map above shows the forecast valid at 4 PM today, and the map below shows the map at 10 PM tonight:


A surface cyclone will be developing and tracking across Kansas later today and tonight. The precipitation is most likely along and north of the warm front and surface low, and this places KC in a rather unfavorable spot for any precipitation from this storm.  And, there is a second much wetter  looking system for next week, but this one also may struggle in the same spots that have been dry. Here is the 10-day precipitation forecast:


Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to the Weather2020 blog and join in the conversation as we all learn as we discuss this complicated and fun weather experience.  I am calling this #DontGetMadDay Go to my Facebook and let me know if you can do it:


A Warm Up Today: A Video Blog

Good morning bloggers,

We will have a video blog today.  Here is a map of the rainfall amounts forecast over the next ten days:


Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Expect a few mid and high clouds. The sun will shine through with a nice warm up into the 60s with light winds.  High:  66°
  • Tonight:  Mostly cloudy with a low of 46°
  • Friday:  Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Rainfall amounts around 0.01″ possible. High:  64°
  • Friday Night In The Big Town:  Cloudy with a few showers possible. Rainfall amounts of a trace to 0.10″ possible.
  • Saturday: The high will be around midnight, Friday Night. Most of the day will have a cloudy sky with north winds and temperatures in the 50s.

Today’s Video:

The Cycling Pattern Continues: Let’s Look At The Next Storm from Weather2020 on Vimeo.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading and viewing the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Have a great Thursday. Go over to the blog on and join in the conversation.


Incredible Storm Blasts Northeast & A Storm Moves Into The West

Good morning bloggers,

1Let’s begin by looking back to 8 years ago today.  A winter storm brought heavy snow, sleet and freezing rain into eastern Kansas and western Missouri 8 years ago on March 20-21, 2010.  Nearly a foot of snow fell in our viewing area with the heaviest just south of KC.  Breezy and Stormy were still in their prime, although Stormy The Weather Dog was getting pretty old in 2010.  Look at all of the snow. We have not had this much snow in over four full years now. The last snowfall of 3″ or more in Kansas City was in February of 2014, or 49 months ago.  This snowstorm was caught in the cycling pattern of the 2009-2010 winter season, and 44 inches of snow fell that winter in KC.  This winter 5.8″ of snow fell for the entire winter.

Here is a snowfall chart made by the National Weather Service office in Springfield, MO from 8 years ago:


At least this wasn’t decades ago and it provides some hope for next winter.  This winter, well, the target has been New York City many times, and today is just another major winter storm for them. Take a look at the snowfall forecast from last nights NAM Model:


And, here is the forecast totals for the mountains around Lake Tahoe and Mammoth. The ski areas have to be loving this after most of the winter was dry. That blocking high that formed two to three weeks ago has had some impacts on these storm systems out west and out east.


Look at the storm approaching the plains states on Friday:


And, look at the upper levels valid at the same time, 7 pm Friday:


The storm near the east coast is energetic and moving offshore. The storm coming into the west coast on Friday night is also rather strong. But, the storm in the middle of the nation is struggling as it moves through the ridge.

This weather pattern is still rather fascinating on this first full day of spring. We will look deeper into the next ten days in tomorrows blog, as baseball season is about to begin. Thank you for sharing in this weather experience! Go over to, click on the blog, and join in the conversation. Have a great Wednesday.


Another Major New York Storm System As Spring Begins

Good morning bloggers,

The spring equinox, also called the Vernal Equinox, happens today at 12:15 PM eastern time, or 11:15 AM in Kansas City.  This date starts the astronomical first day of spring in the Northern Hemisphere.  The word equinox comes from Latin words which literally means “equal night”— aequus (equal) and nox (night).  On the equinox, the length of day and night is nearly equal in all parts of the world.   And, just as spring begins, another major winter storm is targeting the northeast. The storm that just brought the KC metro area its biggest rainfall amount since the late October storm, and brought Dodge City and Wichita, KS their first significant precipitation since October as well, is now intensifying into another huge northeastern storm system.

The New York City Forecast:

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I circled the snowfall forecast from the NWS as of this morning. Are you kidding me? They are forecasting 10 to 18 inches of snow over Central Park.  As this system went by Kansas City, KC was in the comma head yesterday but it was too warm to snow. We were finally in the perfect spot to have around a foot of snow near KC, and 2.04″ of rain was reported by one of the bloggers yesterday near Overland Park and Olathe.  If this comma head were snow, then this would have been huge, but it wasn’t snow.  At least we did get the rain, even though it missed some areas up north. The northeast is about to get bombarded yet again.

The Meteorology Behind This Storm:

1The blocking pattern that formed two to three weeks ago has had impacts on the west and east coasts. In KC there was no seeming impact as we have continued to not be in the right spot for any winter storm systems, and this block had little noticeable impact except for lots of cloudy days and this recent wet storm.  The influence of the blocking is finally about to fade. The blocking had the biggest affect on California as the Sierra Nevada mountains have been getting a nice series of storm systems to build up a little snow pack for the season after it was very dry until around three weeks ago.

On this map, you can see the storm forming near the northeast coast, a ridge moving into the middle of the nation which will lead to a warm surge to near 70 degrees on Thursday in KC. An even bigger ridge over the Gulf of Alaska, and another storm heading into California.

It is not supposed to be so easy to snow in New York City, especially as we move into spring. But, this storm is not going to have a problem. It is going to still be a difficult forecast however. Once again, predicting snowfall amounts is difficult to be so precise. It is just as difficult to predict rain. In KC yesterday, we were expecting 1/2″ to 1″ possible, and 2″ fell in spots, while 0.02″ fell in St. Joseph. If this were snow, we would have had to predict a dusting to 20″ to be accurate.  I would have loved to have the opportunity to forecast such a storm.


This forecast map above shows the surface forecast valid at 7 PM central time Wednesday. A return to south winds will begin the warming trend. The California storm will then weaken and move out into the plains Friday into Saturday. More on this system tomorrow, as the models are all over the place and confidence is low on any significant rain near KC.

Thank you for sharing in the Action Weather Blog experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to Weather2020 to join in the conversation and let us know if you have any questions.  Just click on the blog over there!



Rain Spreading Across KC Today

Good morning bloggers,

A storm system is moving across the plains today and there is a fine line cut-off to the heaviest rain, and this line was shifting north into the KC metro area at 5:45 AM this morning. Take a look at this radar image:

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Thunderstorms! The area spreading north had embedded thunderstorms with numerous lightning strikes:

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Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Rain likely, heavy at times, with a few morning thunderstorms possible. Northeast winds 10-25 mph and gusty.  High:  48°
  • Tonight: The rain will shift east with a cloudy sky.  Low:  35°
  • Tuesday: There is a 30% chance of a few light showers. High:  46°

Here is the 7:40 AM Radar Image:


Kansas City is in the comma head of this storm, and we are finally in one when it isn’t cold enough for snow. Thunderstorms to the south continue to shift east and the heavy rain has made it north to near I-70.  The south side of the KC metro area will have the heaviest rain.

This surface map shows how everything will be shifting east by early to mid-afternoon.  This is another fairly strong surface cyclone with the low pressure area centered over northwestern Arkansas.


Let’s enjoy this storm this morning, and we will look ahead to what is happening in this weather pattern tomorrow and on 41 Action News today and tonight.  It is the last full day of winter!  Thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.