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Wonderful Weekend Weather

Good Saturday bloggers,

The good news is that drier air is moving in from the east as a surface high pressure is located over the Great Lakes. So, we are in for some great weather this weekend. The bad news is that there is no rain in the forecast. If we can’t get rain, at least it will feel better. Now, the heat and humidity return Monday and there is little to no chance of rain the next 5-7 days. That being said, there is a small rain chance window at the end of next week into next weekend.

The wind is coming in from the east as a surface high pressure is located over the Great Lakes. Lows this morning in Madison, WI were 50° with 58° in Kirksville, MO. This is a sign of drier air allowing temperatures to drop. This air will be over our area Sunday morning as we see lows 55°-60°, refreshing!

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SUNDAY LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST: This will feel great with lows in the mid 50s across central Missouri and upper 50s to around 60° in western Missouri and eastern Kansas. Sunday will warm up back to the mid and upper 80s with the humidity still in check.

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EARLY NEXT WEEK: The heat and humidity will quickly return Monday as the anticyclone (heat wave creating machine) grows and covers much of the country. The main jet stream will be located across the USA-Canadian border and this is where periods of bigger and more organized thunderstorms will be found next week. There will be daily scattered downpours across the southeast USA to eastern Texas as easterly tropical waves move along the southern edge of the anticyclone.

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END OF NEXT WEEK: The anticyclone shifts west a bit and the jet stream sags south a bit. This will open the door for the chance of thunderstorms, but we are leaving them out of the forecast for the moment.

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SUMMARY: The best chance of bigger and more organized thunderstorms will be across the northern Plains and upper Midwest where the jet stream is located. There will be daily scattered downpours from the southeast USA to eastern Texas as easterly tropical waves track along the south edge of the upper level high. One set of computer data has decent thunderstorm chances here next Thursday-Sunday. We are going to be skeptical at this moment as we know what happens to rain chances that look good 5-7 days out. As we get closer, the chance of rain either vanishes or becomes a spotty event. I hope we can sing a different tune in the next few days.

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Have a great weekend and enjoy the heat and humidity reprieve.

Jeff Penner

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