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Winter Storm Warning Goes Into Effect Soon

Good evening bloggers,

Who thinks this forecast is an easy one?  This has been a difficult day dealing with so many breaking news developments with yesterday’s explosion, today’s car chase, and this developing winter storm. The storm looks impressive right now on Satellite.  I will be analyzing the new data before the 10 PM newscast on 41 Action News, so look for an update then.  There have been so many varying solutions. I am convinced there will be spots that get over a foot of snow from this storm system.  Snowfall forecasts for Kansas City have varied from 4″ on the low end to as much as 18 inches on the high end. 

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This map above shows the sleet developing tomorrow morning. How far north will the sleet reach? This is important, because if the precipitation changes over to sleet the snow/sleet totals will be lower.  The most likely area to see all snow is north of I-70.  Look at how far north the sleet gets on one of our models:

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Here is our snowfall forecast that I just showed on 41 Action News. 

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Have a great evening. We will update the blog later this evening or just after the 10 PM newscast.

Gary

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213 comments to Winter Storm Warning Goes Into Effect Soon

  • stjoeobserver

    This map looks a lot more like the current models, although I’d wager that the heavy pocket could extend further East/NE, or at least trend more towards 12″ in those areas.

  • Kcchamps

    I would move the 7-12″ totals south a bit and split jackson Co. in half I70 northward

  • SouthOlatheGraham

    When do you think they will start closing Johnson County schools?

  • Kcchamps

    TWC local on the 8s is forecasting 7-13″ for me in Independence

  • weatherkcmo

    Looks like it’s trending toward less snow and more sleet.

  • McCabe58

    I don’t expect to see much in the way of sleet tomorrow morning in north cass county(p hill)

  • fire508

    With new data there will probably be new snow total forecasts. Especially when the RAP can get a good view of the storm.

  • fire508

    Remember the last GFS/NAM models were the OFF hour ones so when the 9pm RAP/GFS/NAM are in thats the ones to pay close attention to..

  • Skylar

    I have some family in Tucson who got some snow today which is pretty rare for them.

    “http://i.imgur.com/g3X3NCr.jpg”

  • l lohr

    fwiw i’m still concerned of the dry slot development & snow going north. but i really want to be wrong.

  • weatherkcmo

    Agreed, more often than not we’re on the short end of the stick here in KC. I think we’ll see a period of sleet which will definitely cut into our snow totals.

  • sedsinkc

    It won’t be too long and looking at radar trends is going to become the nowcasting tool of choice. Currently, a very heavy band of snow has developed in a NW to SE orientation across western to southwestern Kansas. There have already been reports of thundersnow with this band. Precip is rapidly growing in N and NE Oklahoma as well which looks convective in nature. This area is coming into the area of diffluence with this storm, where the upper level winds diverge aloft and air must rise from lower levels to fill the void. Our current very dry air will continue to win the battle for awhile, but it will ultimately lose the war tomorrow morning. “http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/uppermissvly.php”

  • snowplowman

    Be ready for the “POOF”

    • stjoeobserver

      Haven’t you heard? That word’s banned around here!

      • Skylar

        Since the backwards jinxing seems like it’s working, I agree with the poof idea. KC will have too much dry air along with several hours of sleet. Maybe an inch or two of snow. :)

        • stjoeobserver

          Piggy backing this, I’m thinking the models showing cooler airs aloft are simply outliers and that we can expect to see almost entirely sleet. Up to an inch of accumulations when factoring in this dry pocket and lower liquid-sleet ratios.

  • menious

    I am confused. Gary says the timeline he posted earlier is still valid. Yet when you look at the maps just posted, the snow looks to have just moved in my 9AM.

    I have to deliver for my job. Right now, I am starting at midnight and running a handful of 24 hours stops. I don’t want to get caught in this, because our trucks do not handle well.

  • SnowComando

    Hay’s Ks. Take a quick look

    “http://511.ksdot.org/KanRoadPublic/RWIS/cam307016020.jpg?2/20/2013%206:55:49%20PM”

  • snowplowman

    Johnson County school superintendents are having a conference call at 9pm to discuss (cancel) school tomorrow.

  • heavysnow

    Numerous reports of thundersnow over the last hour across Harper and Kingman Counties, Kansas

  • The “poofs” need to go do something else with there lives. With the setup and track of this storm KC will get 4-6 inches south of I70 and 8-12 inches north.

  • snowplowman

    Thundersnow would be a great brand name for a snow plow.
    “ThunderSnowPlow”

  • Freeze Miser

    Boo! GL has me with less snow!

  • mikey0715

    I’m a college student in Omaha but from KC and I don;t have TV up here. What are you guys thinking we will get up here in snow totals. Thanks

  • kellyinkc

    Double checked weather underground. Still says up to 2 inches tonight. Hoping for thundersnow

  • I know it’s already been said in the previous blog…just posting this for newcomers…

    http://www.ksdot.org/PDF_Files/StateOfficesClosed2_21_13.pdf

  • snowplowman

    stjoe, you realize that the sleet will just be this thin layer somewhere in the mountain of snow you are going to get over the next 24 hours.

    • stjoeobserver

      There won’t be anything significant in terms of sleet in St. Joe tomorrow; this will be an entirely snow event for us unless the storm does something that none of the models anticipate. I’m just looking at the forecast for the entire KC metro :) My estimates: St. Joe: 11-14″, KCI: 10-12″, Downtown: 7-11″

  • Baseball Mike

    Good evening Gary and the weather team—looks to be a pretty good snow. The NWS here in Topeka is keeping any mention of sleet SE of I-35—so even though one of your models shows the sleet reaching way up here no mention of that from any source in and around Topeka and the other weather sources and meteorologists I follow. I hope it stays all snow as it would parallel a snow event with thunder-snow when I was a junior in high school in McPherson in 1971. We got 15 inches in that February storm. I will measure and keep you updated. Being a teacher, we have no school here tomorrow. Take car, Michael/Berryton/Topeka

  • HeatMiser

    no sleet

  • Baseball Mike

    Good evening again Gary-seems as though letters get lost in the translation of the blog—should read
    Take care, Michael/Berryton/Topeka—

  • sojoxowx

    Lot of worries on here… lets all calm down.. to me the radar looks just like the models said it would at this point.. that band in KS will move really slow and it wont be until tomorrow morning when the actual storm is approaching northern Oklahoma/south KS border that things will ramp up in a hurry. Convection is going to happen, models agree on that… then you have 3 models saying sleet mix and 3 that say no sleet all snow..all snow=12″ city wide. I think sleet will be minimized but i digress until the nam comes out in an hour this will be the last useful round of models everything part that will be RAP or nowcasting …. anxiously awaiting the new nam and gfs …. btw i use to post all the time under stevennskc im a met student drop out lol about 2 1/2 years worth so i know a little more than the avg Joe but im not lezak see u after the runs

  • Henley

    You snow lovers better have your fun now because on March 1st, this blog officially becomes that of T-Storm enthusiast/nutcases

  • stjoeobserver

    While we’re waiting for the 0Z RAP to download images, here’s an interesting model prediction showing 21.6″ for St. Joseph through tomorrow.

    “http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20130220&RT=15&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=STJ&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=8&mLAT=39.706925777078744&mLON=-94.5981947265625&mTYP=roadmap”

  • sojoxowx

    @ mikey 6/8 inches in Omaha

  • Dwight

    GAry, your models don’t jive.
    You have Manhattan in the middle of the heaviest snow AND also heavy sleet tomorrow .

    • stjoeobserver

      Significantly higher total liquid amounts in Manhattan based on what I’ve seen from his models. They will get more in sleet. But their liquid amounts also appear to be .25″ or more greater than that of the KC metro. This should compensate more than enough at 12 or 13:1 liquid-snow to make for up to 14″.

  • cweb

    Didnt se the 6 pm news. What time is it supposed to start?

  • snowplowman

    Nutcases! Yep. I’ll take a good ol’ blizzard over a tornado anyday!

  • HeatMiser

    Holy crap, go look at TWC latest snowfall map. 12-18 inched for the northern half of Kansas City going back to Lawrence and Topeka and westward. They say wind won’t quite be to blizzard speeds, but almost.

    • SouthOlatheGraham

      I saw that!

    • stjoeobserver

      But in real life weather, close definitely counts when you’re talking about visibility and driving conditions. I really wish they’d just tell people that thundersnow will make driving as or more impossible than driving in a blizzard.

  • sojoxowx

    @cweb snow starts between 7-9am and get very heavy between 11 and 4

  • farmingnolkes

    Cweb by day break

  • snowplowman

    Channel 3 plus 2 just used the “R” word. That is dangerously close to the “L” word and we all know that almost always results in the “P” word. OMG!

  • HeatMiser

    Hey Gary, are you reading this? What do you think about TWCs latest maps showing 12-18 inches of snow for the northern half of KC back to Lawrence to Topeka and westward? It also says winds won’t quite reach blizzard speeds, but almost. They are saying this is most severe storm for our area in decades. Please give us your thoughts and do you agree or disagree?

    • R-Dub

      TWC is hyping. We’ve had 2 genuine blizzards in the last few years, Dec 2009 and Feb 2011. This is not going to be the biggest storm in decades. Will be the biggest storm in about 2 years though….

    • weatherkcmo

      If you click on the headline the maps off to the side show KC getting 8-12 inches. Hey, we can hope right?

  • OlatheMatt

    Should have had a quick snowflake contest for this storm. Instead of the first inch should have been first 5 inches.

  • stjoeattorney

    get ready 10 hours

  • weatherfreaker

    Um…snowplow man…what are the L word and the R word? I know the P word. Some of us cannot take this stress. Please just put us out if our misery. Maybe channel 3 plus 2, as you referred to them, is underplaying reality???

  • weather

    What will you do if we only get 5 inches in KC metro?

  • sedsinkc

    Latest RAP has only 1 to 2 inches of snow in KC by noon tomorrow (18 hours out), but more will fall after this time: “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/RAP-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=018″

    • stjoeobserver

      I saw. It also leaned towards a pretty rapidly weakening storm as it moved into Missouri with snowfall rates < 1"/hr. It doesn't appear to calculate any possibility of thundersnow tomorrow. I expect initial RAP amounts to be lower because of this.

    • weatherkcmo

      This was bound to happen lol. 3-6 for the metro.

  • Emaw

    Yes please explain L R P.

    WWBD?

  • weather

    A lot of these higher totals are factoring in thunder snow if I”m not mistaken. If we don’t see any thunder snow then I would assume totals would be lower.

    • stjoeobserver

      Yes but nearly *all* models have factored in thunder snow (or at least periods with rates above 2″ per hour). This leads me to believe the likelihood for thundersnow or snowfall rates similar is greater than the likelihood of us not seeing thundersnow at this point.

  • AFPILOTWXJUNKIE

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=1&var=ASNOWI&hour=016″

    Shows 3 inch snowfall rate for 3 hours. That would be awesome if it comes to pass.

  • snowplowman

    I hate it when mets start to guarantee snow amounts….that usually means…well you know

  • Grumpy

    Largest??
    Record, perhaps??
    Poof

  • sojoxowx

    New NAM is sick!! showing very high qpf and through 540 thickness never gets to kc tho close!

  • stjoeobserver

    Latest NAM shifts storm South, still downloading the images for tomorrow evening. 21h shows nearly a foot in the west side of the metro. This may be an outlier still and it may be better to just watch RAP models and radar at this point for forecasting purposes.

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=INSTANT&var=SNODI&hour=024″

  • snowplowman

    R – recordbreaking
    L – legendary
    P – well, you know

  • weather

    Any one been to the store yet? Is it total mayhem there?

    We should have a contest to see who can guess which reporters will be where. Who gets salt dome and overpass duty etc.

    • AFPILOTWXJUNKIE

      It’s a drinking game…every camera shot of an overpass a salt bin, a truck spreader, a grocery or hardware store…

  • JJ

    All I know is they were out of everything, even bananas at Walmart. Great economy booster for the stores.

  • AFPILOTWXJUNKIE

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=031″

    12-13 inches of snow in metro

  • sedsinkc

    Still underwhelming snow totals on latest RAP run thru 1 pm tomorrow: “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/RAP-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022101&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=018″

  • fire508

    The end hrs of the RAP are like the end hours of all the other models. They become unreliable

  • This is the final count down

  • Kcchamps

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=026″

    latest NAM hits the metro with 12-14″ of snow

  • networkguy

    So working in the network command center for the company I work for, I’ve heard that the system is showing signs that it will fall apart quickly as it comes close to the state line. Then, I come here and see similar comments…is there a actual chance that this whole thing is going to fall apart?

  • Kcchamps

    the NAM unlike the GFS can be a reliable short term model to use

    • sedsinkc

      How reliable is the RAP in totaling snowfall? Seems to be greatly under-doing the totals, at least thru 1 pm tomorrow.

    • nofluer

      Rappin’ the NAM an’ the GFS.
      Gettin’ real close to the M-R-S.
      Lookin’ in her eyes from the end of her nose.
      Listenin to The Lezak talkin’ ’bout them Lows.

  • Dobber

    Slam dunk! Mukstate stinks

  • Emaw

    This is killing me the way this thing has been hyped, if we don’t get over 6″ people on this blog are going to come absolutely unglued. Looks to me like “the storm” is already starting to stretch out, time will tell, if the sleet comes to fruition totals on the south side will struggle to bust 5″!

  • snowplowman

    Networkguys………they’re all the same. Claim they are so busy when they are actually just hangin around in the NCC spreadin rumours!

  • smiley10

    I stopped by the grocery store on the way home and immediately wished I hadn’t. It was cray cray. People buying milk and bread like they were expecting to be snow bound for a week.

  • Emaw

    Oh yeah, Go Pokes!

  • kellyinkc

    “http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=64121″

    FWIW

  • snowplowman

    The key to this thing is gulf moisture. The train is about to leave and head our way!

  • Emaw

    G-Man says a foot, but what does Bastardi say?

  • scottr

    This storm is going to be Legen… wait for it… darily disappointing

  • heavysnow

    Wow, that is the first time the NAM has shown that much snow for St Louis area

  • OlatheMatt

    Finally, after a very lame winter for snow we get some deliverance.

    Rock Chalk, in case you are not watching the game it is on ESPN2.
    Kansas 10
    OSU 11

    Still early.

  • MidwestSteve

    Please don’t let the server read this, but thanks for changing your technology a couple of years ago to be able to keep up with the traffic today. Great job on the blogs and the comments have been excellent too. Bring on the snow!

  • heavysnow

    kelly if I am reading that right….that is 2 inches over night for KC

    • kellyinkc

      thats how I read it. Guess will will find out soon!

      • heavysnow

        I think Dynamic cooling from really heavy snow will keep sleet totals down through Mid Missouri. Its colder than expected as well. Hell I am already 22 in Wildwood outside of St Louis

  • Freeze Miser

    At least the local economy is getting a little bump. We stopped to get chocolate chips to make cookies tomorrow and the store is nuts!

  • weather

    I wouldn’t put a whole lot of stock in the Weather Channel either. They like to hype for ratings.

  • weather

    Those of you that went to the store tonight are CRAZY lol. You couldn’t get me near a store tonigt.

  • nerd in lansing

    its obviously going *poof*(if u know what i mean)

  • kellyinkc

    “http://www.weather.com/news/weather-winter/winter-storm-q-california-plains-midwest-20130218″
    This has KC getting up to 18 inches……

  • nofluer

    (Sigh). I’m not a “trained meteorologist” or even a person who knows about all the stuff that you real “enthusiasts” know. When you talk about “models,” the only models I know much about are the ones with swim suits on… or not. :D

    But I’ve been living on my little farm with its weather anomaly for about 25 years now – and I’ve learned to watch the incoming radar…

    SO – time for moi to stick my neck out so you all can whack it off tomorrow… if you can find me under all the snow you’re predicting for us here (Northern Holt County, MO).

    I’m going to guesstimate about/MAYBE 6″ local, if that much, even though we’re right in the middle of your 12″ band, and here’s why.

    1. Said weather anomaly. I believe I’ve mentioned a few times here that we live on the top of the Loess Bluffs. That countless times we’ve watched storms come roaring across Richardson County, NE only to dissipate when they hit our 100+ foot bluff faces and the strong updrafts and down drafts here. (Can’t put wind generators within 2 miles of the bluff face due to wind sheer generation.)

    I just looked at the NWS radar picture… seen that pattern before. The frontal boundary/storm front comes roaring up from the SW and then splits right in the middle, sending a gap in the clouds right over my little farm. Such a gap is now forming at the S. KS border.

    2. I earlier posted about the split in the Jet Stream – where in SW Texas the JS seems to split, one track going due East, the other North towards we happy few in our 4 State area. On the radar it now appears that the Eastward branch is bleeding off energy and moisture and sending it along the Gulf track, which is probably sucking moisture from the Northern track… and when you put that together with the dry East wind that we’re getting up here… you get a loud BOOOO! from the weather people, and a quiet snicker from the weather itself.

    So at this time, I’m saying that we up here in NW MO are probably not going to get the 10 or 12 inches forecast.

    And of course I could be VERY wrong… and I’m prepared for either case. I made a chocolate run this afternoon (the ONLY REAL survival food is chocolate!), and we topped off the water tanks and fed the cows in their shed so if the foo foo does hit the fan, they can be all snug and warm with lots of alfalfa hay to keep them happy. And finally, we plan to fill the tub in the morning so we have flushing water if the power goes out for a few days. (We have about 30 gallons of distilled drinking water on hand.)

    • nerd in lansing

      thing is u gotta look near arkansas, even if we get dry slotted later 3in-hr rates should abound in that moisture/band coming from the south, not a “meteorologist” but it looks very impressive if u ask me

    • SnowComando

      Man that’s a lot of sucking, splitting, tearing, flushing, running,……and …well…you know, going on up there?

    • Twistersis

      Loved reading this; thanks for sharing. And agree about the chocolate, by the way!

  • nerd in lansing

    ha gotta love that meme sarcasm…nice map kelly

  • Kole Christian

    Expect 4 inches and you will not be dissappointed. That’s what I am doing.

  • OlatheMatt

    I went to Price Chopper around 5:30 today in Olathe. I ironically needed some groceries regardless of what was going on, but it was sure busy. Every available lane had a line. People didnt seem to be hoarding, it just looked like they wanted to have enough food to stay home and enjoy for say 2 days.

    People are just making sure they have what they need so they dont have to drive in the coming mess, and most people know the roads will be pretty good once it stops. The road crews are pretty good, but the problem we will have is re-icing at nights with all the snow melt. There will be pockets and trails of ice all over the place.

  • weatherfreaker

    Well said, OlatheMatt!

  • ChrisS

    Doesnt the term “Metro” cover a pretty broad area?
    I’m hoping for 5 or less in Blue Springs to Oak Grove so I can go home after plowing tomorrow night.

  • Kole Christian

    4 inches! and scottr won’t be dissappointed.

  • e92

    KU Lawrence and Edwards campuses just closed for tomorrow.

  • snowbird

    Be sure and post totals and WHERE you are at tomorrow

  • smiley10

    Nothing is wrong with “crazy”. Its just fun sometimes to put a little flair into writing. Huzzah! =)

    • Twistersis

      I remember a few years back when a STORM was coming, schools canceled the day before and we only had wet snow and sleet and rising temperatures. The malls and restaurants were so busy, and of course it was a disappointment not to have snow. My employer closed the office for tomorrow so regardless of whether I’m looking at sleet or snow, it will be wonderful to stay home.

  • weather

    When I refer to the “Metro” I’m always refering to the 435 loop as KC Metro.

  • Unstay_Bill

    Temperature profiles are really fascinating with the new models. A degree or two will make such a dramatic difference in snow/sleet totals.

  • weather

    If we do get all this snow please help your elderly neighbors out. I have 3 homes that I take care of for them when we get more then a couple of inches of snow. They appreciate the help.

  • networkguy

    Wheres this update Gary?

  • ChrisS

    Who here thinks I will be able to drive to NFM on Saturday, from Oak Grove? Wife says we are going to make it, I’m saying it wont happen lol. Went to walmart at 6 for some ice melt, and hamburger buns, and they were completely out of bread, not a single loaf.

    • spaceotter

      Your wife is right. The storm will be over and all the interstates will be clear. BUT…if you don’t want to purchase what you’re driving there for I can always say she’s wrong. lol

    • weather

      The highways will be find by Saturday

  • Emaw

    Something tells me no matter what happens, JOCO executive will have the highest total .

  • weather

    Even if we get a foot of snow that will be nothing. I remember walking uphill both ways to school with holes in my shoes in 2-3 feet of snow. The snow use to be so deep it would drift to the point where you could walk up the snow and go in the 2nd floor window. LOL.

    • kcpurpledog

      Not around here you didn’t.

    • nofluer

      See… now you think you’re being funny…;D

      Have you ever driven down the street and see a house with a door in the attic or on the second floor? Back in The Day, that was where the folks went in and out after a hard snowy winter with high plains winds. And in places in Europe they actually get that much snow in an average winter. I saw a 3-story house in Europe that had an outside door on each floor!

    • sheldan

      we must of attended the same school!

  • weatherkcmo

    If he thinks a foot is truly possible.

  • spaceotter

    I wish it would start earlier and snow really hard early on…I’m going to end up at work and then they’re going to shut down around 11 or 12 and it will take me 2 hours or more to drive home due to the back ups. Grrr.

  • mattmaisch

    Latest SREF for MKC shows 12.34″

    *Internet Explorer will not show link.*

    “http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index2.php?YMD=20130220&RT=21&PRM=Total-SNO&SID=MKC&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=6&mLAT=39.728052610449765&mLON=-93.77971328125&mTYP=roadmap”

  • madnick44

    now that school has been called off at Prince of Peace in Olathe tomorrow I kinda hope it does go poof so I don’t have to shovel. Once they call off school I don’t think they can take it back….I hope :)

  • Kcchamps

    “http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_24HR.gif”

    NAM snow mp 10-14″ for the metro

  • mattmaisch

    00Z NAM per Kuchera. We will take it!

    “http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_48HR.gif”

  • Grumpy

    Lee’s Summit R-VII called it at 9:07. No school.

  • smiley10

    I agree. If it was snowing early I could just say I’m working from home. But that won’t work if the roads are fine in the morning. Then driving home when my boss finally decides its bad enough to let us go will suck.

  • Major Dryslot

    My Dry forces have split the storm into 2. No moisture will fall!

  • 8-12″ for Jackson County northward with 12″+ farther north. 5-7″ for areas around Cass County. From Butler south, around 1-4″

    • Kcchamps

      sounds good Jacob! :)

      • Ive been looking at models for hours trying to figure this out. Its time for me to make the call before its too late to make one. So that is my forecast for this storm. Hopefully I dont bust and its right. Fingers crossed!

        • nofluer

          I’ve never seen one of the “models” y’all talk about – so ‘scuse my ignerunt question… did the models take into consideration that spinning bunch of clouds out on the AZ and NM border that’s starting to head East? It doesn’t appear to be on any of the surface atmospheric features… (H/L, Fronts, etc)… If the Jet Stream is providing the motive force for it, it’s on a straight track to NW MO…

  • weather

    What can go wrong at this point. he he

  • Kole Christian

    Park Hill and Park College have both called classes as well.

  • SouthOlatheGraham

    NO SCHOOL FOR De Soto,KS SCHOOLS

  • spaceotter

    Having said what I did above I must say all the whiners out there that complain about people who get excited about the snow and imply we don’t think about the dangers are just …. well, a blog appropriate term would be BLECK. Here’s what I say to them, I don’t complain about you getting excited about watching the grass grow so deal with it. In other words they’re just plain boring people obviously.

    • spaceotter

      And no one has said that on here, thank God. I saw someone on Jacob’s FB page whining. Just hole up in your home and hide under your blanket.

  • Freeze Miser

    Fort Osage closed tomorrow.

  • SouthOlatheGraham

    Olathe schools is closed now..http://www.olatheschools.com/

  • weather

    JACOB on your FB page you said this “New models are trending farther north which will lead to less snow for KC and southward with more sleet. I am starting to buy this solution.” If that’s the case then why would you think Jackson county would get 8-12. I mean that’s been the forecast for the most part. If it’s moving north then KC would get less. Right?

    • 5 hours ago that was the trend. It looked like more sleet. But after several hours of looking at the data and really getting into it, I have a better feel for it. I just posted my forecast so you can go look at my page for details on my official forecast.

  • HeatMiser

    Wow…Gary now calling for very heavy snow and 10-15 inches for KC

  • Kole Christian

    I’m chilling listening to 1812 overture imagining epic amounts of snow!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • weatherkcmo

    I haven’t heard anything like that. Where did you hear that?

  • Kole Christian

    Youtube

  • snowdayhope

    Olathe called it right this time. Lets keep it safe people.

  • animallover

    Olathe is cancelled!

  • stjoeattorney

    12-16

  • braysmama

    Blue Springs cancelled.

  • Skylar

    New GFS looking better with a nice little bullseye of 10-12″ right over the city. :)

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=036″

  • weatherkcmo

    I saw the new updated forecast and heatmiser is right. They are now calling for 10-15 inches in the KC metro.

  • HeatMiser

    Summary: Winter Storm Warning Thursday. Heavy snow and sleet will spread into the area Thursday morning between 5 and 9 AM. Thunderstorms with sleet and snow will increase snowfall totals. We are currently forecasting between 10 and 15 inches across the KC Metro area.

    Read more: http://www.kshb.com/dpp/weather/forecast/todays_forecast/Kansas-Citys-Most-Accurate-Forecast#ixzz2LVA4WVKJ

  • HeatMiser

    Epic snow amounts dudes. NWS map has and TWC are saying parts of KC and Lawrence and Topeka will get between 12-18 inches. Strong winds will at times will be just below blizzard speeds, so drifting will occur. Could be worst storm for our area in decades. I plan to run around in circles screaming during the height of the storm, but don’t any of you panic!