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WINTER STORM WARNING!

Good afternoon bloggers,

Snow is already spreading in from the south. Let us know what you are experiencing, and welcome back to the blog!

Weather Forecast Timeline:

  • Now until 6 PM:  Sleet and snow spreading in from the south and roads becoming wet with temperatures dropping to near 32°
  • 6 PM to Midnight: Snow becoming heavy at times. Thunderstorms with snow are possible increasing snowfall rates.  Temperatures dropping to 29° or 30°
  • Midnight to 9 AM:  Snow! Very heavy times with visibilities near zero.  Major accumulations with 8 to 15 inches likely

We have worked on the blog poblems and it is definitely improving. But, due to the amount of traffic we have coming in it has crashed the blog at times.  I will also be updating the Weather 2020 blog if these problems due continue.

A WINTER STORM WARNING is in effect for tonight and Tuesday.  The latest data is coming in and it still is consistent in placing Kansas City in a position where major accumulations of snow will fall. 

1

As you can see, we are forecasting a major snowfall to occur in Kansas City. I have the southern KC metro area in the 10-17 inch band right now.  I will update the blog later this evening. 

Thank you for being so patient with the blog problems.  Have a nice evening. We will take you through this storm on 41 Action News, KSHB.com, and on this blog.  Please go to our facebook fan page and like us on KSHB.  Facebook.com/kshb

Gary

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212 comments to WINTER STORM WARNING!

  • mcgillicuddy

    You da man Gary!

  • snowlover71

    I am so confused by the forecasts by everyone. Not sure if you guys are just covering your back sides or what? It seems at this point you should know if it will or won’t hit. What do you think the chances are of this missing us (I don’t want it to miss us) If you have to say what WILL happen what do you say? Thanks for the great job I know Mother Nature is her own Woman. I just don’t understand this close how we could maybe get missed?

  • The U of KC

    When do the new GFS and NAM models come out?

    • Troll Miser

      New NAM’s already out.

      Here’s the latest: “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=035″

      and here’s the last run so you can compare the shift: “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022512&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=042″

  • snowbird

    can’t access the blog, tried all morning, I can get in here but not the old blog to see the comments!

  • thomasmidwest

    Nam is out now has 10 to 14 across the metro

  • The U of KC

    So from what I see tell me if I’m wrong it has shifted a little north?

  • thomasmidwest

    To me the low is north than what the nam has it right now

  • Lolapaws

    First flurries beginning to fall in South OP near JCCC!

  • DougHeadyImpersonator1

    Here ya go bloggers, this here is what the National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill is saying. “http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=eax” Gary, I was impressed with your forecast for the 1st storm, but this storm is A LOT different and it is going to depend on the pivot of the Low. Regardless my final snowfall prediction is 10-14 for me here in Jackson county right south of downtown.

  • The U of KC

    Blog is working good now been able to log in and out several times now with no error. Thanks for all the work you and your team Gary. Looking forward to hopefully another nice snow event.

    KC Champs where r u? Been missing your updates and maps. Hopefully you’ll be on soon!!

  • snowlover71

    Gary, do you mean we are going to get the mega snow or we still don’t know???

  • stormstalker

    yay! The blog is back! I hope it stays!

  • DougHeadyImpersonator1

    Ok Gary, I’ll wait another 10-15 mins and then I got to catch some sleep because I may be in for a long night at the hospital. How long do u think before u post it? Also figured I’d add a little humor since I know you will be putting in long hours tonight also. When this storm is all said and done in a couple days I want to see the Action 41 news team performing this song lol. :) “https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=shJBFyct2XE” I can just picture you dancing in your snowfest.

  • angvic00

    Starting to snow in NW Olathe yet my thermostat reads 37 degrees!?

    • angvic00

      Hmmm… Let’s change that reading to 38 degrees now. Something must be wrong with it because it is FREEZING outside.

  • zimbokc

    From kcchamps on the other blog:

    latest 18z NAM hits the metro with 12-18″ of SNOW . lesser amount further north

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=027″

  • shakespeare

    A little more than a flurry now in mid-Lawrence.

  • snowlover71

    The Weather team should do the Harlem Shake… Please, please!!! Good job Gary, thanks for all the info.

  • The U of KC

    Whqt are the totals looking like up around KCI??

  • Snowfall began in Lawrence about 20 minutes ago and the streets are now wet.

    Temp wise we are at 35 with a 30 degree dewpoint.

  • The U of KC

    Is the GFS reliable this closevto the storm? If so when do those models come out?

  • bob osoborne

    First of all Gary DID post his thoughts and totals. He doesn’t say it’s missing you, do you read what he writes? Second, the NWS says while you may see brief flurries or sleet, this is NOT the main event.

  • LarryA

    Flurries started in NW Lawrence about 30 minutes ago and has been picking up in intensity. Currently and for the last 10 minutes, snowfall is moderate. The streets are wet but the snow is beginning to stick to small grassy areas. Lawrence has not pre-treated the streets where I live like the last storm.

    • KRichards

      Pre-treatment will do absolutely no good when it snows and it is this warm out. The snow is going to melt on contact anyway.

  • lsx347

    flurries and maybe a hint of sleet mixed in coming down in Shawnee 67th and I-35

  • Kcchamps

    I was just watching TWC and they have a 12-18″ strip right through the metro through Jackson Co

  • mgsports

    Main Event Ice and Snow way high meaning above 20 inches.

  • Kcchamps

    “http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_MESO-ETA212_SFC_ACCUMSNOWFALL-KUCHERA_30HR.gif”

    latest NAM map shows 12-18″ for the immediate metro with totals dropping quickly the further north you go

  • WOW..actually got in here!

    In Olathe..some light intermittent flurries but other than that not much happening yet. I heard the weather channel says Olathe is right in the bullseye and they are broadcasting here?

  • JJ

    Snowing now in H’Ville.

  • The U of KC

    KC champs how far north before it drops? Whats it looking like around KCI airport?

  • jcleverboar

    Sporadic flurries started at 135th and Pflumm (actually 2 blocks NW in Olathe) at 2:35 PM. I’ve got the yardstick out front with a current depth of 8 inches while the one in the back is at 6 inches. Those were both at 12 inches from last week’s storm.

    For those of us that believe in the LRC, how severe do you think these systems will be like as they come back through in mid April?

  • PILOT MISER

    Light rain in Platte City

  • Brett Budach

    You should all be watching the RAP at this point

  • stormlover

    I keep hearing rumors that KCI & other areas North of the River are just getting a tiny bit of snow?

  • Lolapaws

    CNN is broadcasting live from Spring Hill, KS. Seems a random choice.

  • f00dl3

    I don’t know how reliable the RAP is going to be. Earlier today it had the entire metro dry and the snow still well south of Clinton at 4 AM.

  • dudelove

    Even the 20ZRAP has us at 6-12 inches, though the 18ZNAM has us at 8-14 inches. Either way, it’s snowing pretty hard at times just south of Louisburg.

  • Lolapaws

    Gary has posted his latest snowfall total map. It’s looking very impressive!

  • Theo

    Look at the map Gary just posted above. Then all of your “how much will I get” questions will be answered.

  • wags

    NWS 3pm snow map still looks quite wide spread. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=eax

  • partyon

    Spring Hill is not so random..they had 16″ inches from the last storm. CNN is probaby hedging that they will be in the heaviest area this time around too.

    • Lolapaws

      It makes more sense now that they would choose Spring Hill. They wrapped their live spot into a story about the low water levels on Hillsdale Lake and the drought.

  • thundercolt

    Yes I can post i can post

    Sergant Dry Slot reporting for Duty!!!!

  • Grumpy

    Am I crazy…or did they adjust the slightly north since the 2pm update?

    http://www.crh.noaa.gov/wxstory.php?site=eax

  • thundercolt

    Direct aim at St Joe Liberty Leavenworth !!!!!!!

  • sac2112

    Snowing in Garden City,Mo. Mostly light but somewhat heavy at times.

  • MikeL

    Looks like ST. Joe and Topeka miss most the fun if this map verifies which will probably be the case…always close but no cigar…

  • Suzq

    haha. I find myself disappointed when I see I am in the 6-12″. Any other time I see 12″ I would be blown away. When you hear other people getting 20″ it doesn’t seem like much.My husband’s work in NKC is shutting down. He’s not happy cuz they never have before for 6″. I’m sure it’s for everybody who lives south. Ah well. I’m hoping for closer to the 12″

  • NorthlandKB

    Sleet/Flurries near Zona

  • fire508

    Waiting for GFS to come it. Appears the 18z NAM has the low south of its actual location.

  • Rick

    I love the snow! Bring on all 20″s of it I am having a snow party with my Australian Shepherds tonight. They love the snow too.

  • DaleGribble

    Folks,

    I’m sorry that some of you didn’t like my comments. Things started out well. From someone saying, “Best comment of the day,” to another saying I should receive a “standing ovation.” But then things went downhill, to the point of one commenter implying that I was threadjacking. That was not my intent. It hurt. It still hurts. Now I know how poor Gary feels with all the incessant nitpicking.

    In the spirit of both Socrates and the Crocodile Hunter, I was merely seeking out the truth. I believed and I still believe that the greater KC area will receive 24 – 42″ of snow. This is what my reliable sources tell me.

    I do have one other request and that is that everyone please stop talking about the “NAM.” My Uncle Joe reads this blog and all the talk about ‘nam is giving him flashbacks.

    Anyway, I just shot me a turkey buzzard and am going to cook it up into some good ole fashioned Buzzard n Beans. It doesn’t get much better than that.

    One more thing I will say is that all these sissy men whining about the storm won’t ward it off. A biggun is coming and there’s nothing that can be done about it. One guy on the Ham Radio is calling it “The Snow Bear Blizzard of 2013.” Relish it; enjoy it. Snow is cool.

    You might also want to stock up on potted meat. It’s hard telling we’re going to have to sit this one out. Also, snow camouflage is a good investment – most people only have the green or brown – as it will come in handy if we have to resort to emergency foraging.

    Your friend,

    Dale

    • whitelightning

      That’s funny right there, Dale. enjoy your words of wisdom.

    • smiley10

      Oh Dale, your follow-up post did not disappoint. But, I’m confused…I thought we were supposed to stock up on squirrel, but now you said potted meat. I want to make sure I stock up on the right kind of meat…

  • The U of KC

    Light flurries here at KCI

  • Skylar

    New GFS slightly further north and wetter with 14-18″ for KC area.

  • newenglander

    just started snowing in PV, near PV shopping center

  • Cacti51

    New GFS looks much better! Bring on the SNOW!

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022518&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=039″

  • grassmankc

    Light snow and 37 degrees in Greenwood MO.

  • snowlover71

    Another station rymes with score is saying not going to be bad, storm is changing and we might get missed. Which is it????

    • whitelightning

      didn’t Gary used to be on that station? I can see why he left.

    • Craig

      The Downplayer…Mr. Calm…should be ignored. Every model confirms Gary’s forecast. Mr Calm is just arrogantly trying to remake a name for himself as the wise, old sage.
      If, by chance, he is proven correct, he’ll shout it from the rooftops. When he’s wrong and the entire city is digging out, everyone will forget his worthless forecast.

  • Allollie

    Well, in a lighter note…. I am drinking wine now!

  • Big flakes coming down in NW Olathe. Started with a little sleet, but quickly changed to snow. Not real heavy yet and everything is melting on contact.

  • mcgillicuddy

    Light flurries at the Power & Light District

  • Craig

    Well, the latest NAM and GFS certainly serve to confirm Gary’s map.

    12-16″ citywide with as much as 20″ in spots. WOW! Never thought I’d see that in KC!

  • looks like the temperatures are going to be the saving grace of this storm..at least for awhile. Otherwise our ‘potential’ totals could be much higher

  • f00dl3

    Temperatures are really going to be an issue here no matter how much snow falls if it melts it’s not accumulating.

    • mwnavyvet

      do you not foresee us getting under freezing for the entirety of this event? i also recommend you switch over from grumpies to wheaties!

    • erock89

      Food can I ask why you have been talking about these temperature for the past 3 days yet Gary hasnt mentioned them once? Im just curious if you see something that he doesnt see. If so please explain man. Im hoping your wrong! :)

    • Lolapaws

      In OP, temps have dropped from 38* to 33* in under an hour. They’re much lower than they were predicted to be at this hour. Could it be that we will have lower overall temps once the storm has made its way into the viewing area?

    • Skylar

      The dynamics of this storm along with the arrival of night will push temperatures below freezing.

  • NEGib

    First flakes are falling in the Historic Northeast. The city has been towing cars along St. John & VanBrunt in advance – Looks like that was probably wise.

  • braysmama

    Starting to snow in Blue Springs, but temp is 37…are the temps supposed to drop over night? I am seeing another forecast saying it won’t start now until after 3 in the morning and it isn’t going to get that bad.

  • Flurries started here in Raytown about 5 min ago, now a steady gentle snowfall. The birds are rushing to the feeders now. Wind is fairly steady from the north at 8mph.

    http://www.raytownweather.com

  • Skylar

    Heavy snow right now by Johnson County executive. If it maintains this intensity, the pavement will start turning white soon.

  • trinlivco

    4:15 P.M here in Chillicothe, cloudy sky 36 degrees but no rain or snow yet. All I hope for is the bullseye of this storm moves alittle north and dumps on us. I know forcasting snow amounts is one of the toughest thing for a weather man to do. Also Chillicothe is 90 miles N.E of K.C so sometimes our weather is nothing like what happens in K.C. Gary and crew overall do a damn good job forcasting our weather. Like I have said before predicting what mother nature is going to do is still pretty darn hard. Mankind (thank god) cannot control her. I for one wishing for the 20″ snow. TR

  • Terri

    In Lenexa we were getting a few flakes a little after 3, but it did not REALLY start to snow until around 4!

  • f00dl3

    It is dropping now. We shall see. Temperatures are my only concern about this whole thing.

  • StormyWX

    So is the possibility still there for the bullseye to shift north and be directly over the metro area or has it just reached the point now where the track is more or less final?

  • grassmankc

    Snow has changed back to rain in Greenwood but temp has dropped from 37 to 34 in the last hour.

  • lvksguy

    Whats causing the strange radar effect just east of Raymore?

    • Morham

      That is where the Pleasant Hill NWS doppler radar is physically located. The radar can not display returns when set to that sensitivity. Correct me if I am wrong people!

  • orgirl69

    Snowing hard the last 15-20 minutes in Raymore, my deck is already covered. No rain or sleet preceded the snow at all like I thought it would. Temp has dropped from 37 to 33 in the last hour. Taking bids on shoveling my driveway tomorrow afternoon, my back is still bothering me from the last storm!

  • redavis

    I am located just out of the viewing area near Columbia, MO & see that Gary’s snowfall map of 10-17″ just brushes the western part of Boone County. How much snow is expected for Columbia, MO?? I see that the city is clearly in the 6-12″ range, any chance of getting more than a foot??

    • muwxman

      I am over this way as well. I would say its going to be close. The numbers over this way have been trending up. LSX has up right near 10 inches. Although if the track shifts ever so slightly this way, we could see a foot in CoMo

  • PILOT MISER

    Light snow in Platte City

  • Perky

    Coming down at a pretty good pace, but not sticking in Spring Hill.

  • shoedog

    snowing solidly at 132nd and Roe starting to stick to pavement.

  • SnowComandoSon

    SNOWING IN KC 64131

  • stl78

    36º w moderate snow just north of 435 n ne cookingham

  • SnowComandoSon

    WHAT SOFTWARE DO YOU GUYS TO LOOK AT THIS AND TRACE IT PLEASE LET ME KNOW IF YOU KNOW ANY

  • smiley10

    Big flakes coming down hard nearI35 and Johnson drive

  • stjoeattorney

    18z gfs zero 18z nam 6-8

  • f00dl3

    1.0-1.5″ diamater flakes coming down like no tomorrow in Lenexa. Not really sticking to roads that much but accumulating everywhere else.

  • SnowComandoSon

    STICKING

  • snowbird

    Snowing pretty good at Weatherby Lake, small flakes

  • mwnavyvet

    snowing like mad here in lenexa right now – work let everyone off around 4p to get ahead of rush hour

  • jayhawkX

    Cotton ball flakes in Gardner

  • Wthrlvr

    Huge flakes and sticking to the sidewalk, car and deck. Very pretty and at a moderate pace. I’m in west Olathe.

  • blue8091

    123rd/Antioch – snowing light to moderate over past 30-40 mins. Out for the last walk with the pooch – light snow on way out and moderate on the way back but the wind out of the NW really picked up.

  • kcpurpledog

    Looking at the radar returns, this is very heavy, but broken snow bands. This needs to fill in quite a bit, or I don’t see up to 15 inches. The low seems to still be tracking ESE, which is not unexpected, but it better make the turn when they say, or it won’t throw enough moisture back up this way wrapping around.

    • Skylar

      It’s not worth worrying about. The main event isn’t supposed to start until after 9pm, and I don’t think we would be seeing bands of snow like this moving in if the low was going to pass us to the south. Everything is still on track. :)

      • kcpurpledog

        Skylar, who said anyone is worried? I don’t live and die by this like some do. I just love weather. Just making a comment on the blog. The low is going to pass to our south, or we won’t get any snow out of this type of storm. Did you mean something different with that comment?

  • f00dl3

    Starting to stick on streets now. Up to almost an inch on elevated surfaces. Lenexa near 95 & Santa Fe Trail Dr.

  • Farmgirl

    Gary, can you elaborate on the types of roof tops that may have issues? I am guessing flat roof tops. You have me a little concerned about my sloped barn roofs and home roof that is pitched fairly steep.

  • Theo

    167th & Antioch:

    3:30pm 37.4 degrees; no snow.
    4:45pm 32.4 degrees; large snow flakes (moderate snow).

  • barkevious

    Looking out my office window on the Plaza now. If the forecast called for 10-17″ of snow when the snow wasn’t supposed to start falling in earnest until sometime between 6pm and midnight, my reaction is “oh sh*t”.

  • snowbird

    NOW they have decided we could have historic snow, its been off and on all day, Gary just stuck his neck out. I think I will have about 6-8 again up North. Time will tell…

  • networkguy

    I’m getting the feeling this is going to be like the last storm. Started a lot earlier than expected and ends a lot earlier than expected….

  • stormstalker

    Huge flakes and 35 degrees at 169 and Barry

  • snowbird

    This is going to be fun to watch, County offices announced they are closing tomorrow up North. GOOD PLAN! Lets hope more employers use common sense and let adults have a snow day! Let the first responders, firefighters, officers and emergency personnel have plenty of room to do their job. AND a big THANK YOU to all of them that HAVE to work in this.

  • Twistersis

    What am I experiencing, Gary? Well, great delight that I am once again able to access the blog! Oh…you mean the weather? In Shawnee we’re having big fat flakes quickly covering the decks and walks.

  • mwnavyvet

    gary, with this earlier than anticipated onset, do you think we’ll see larger snowfall totals? inquiring minds ‘need’ to know!!

  • bellmartin

    FYI: We saw the first flakes here in midtown KCMO at 3:57.

  • K.I.S.S.

    The radar returns look very disappointing right now. It appears that the moisture is having a tough time wrapping around and developing on the backside (the side we need it to here in KC to get a good snowstorm). The moisture has been shearing out in to small bands on the backside all day.

  • tacteach

    Snowing steady in excelsior springs

  • scottinamsterdam

    I do NOT see us getting the huge snowfall totals. If you look at the radar instead of computer modules, the most intense part of the storm has passed to our east. That is the part we would get a biggest part of a snowfall of the magnitude expected. Sure..we will get a lot of snow on the backside of the low – but I would expect more in the lines of 4 to 8 or 6 to 10″. Just my opinion even though I posted at 8am the precip would be here by 2.

    • fire508

      Actually no. the storm is still SW of area down in OK/TX border. And most heavy snow occurs on BACKSIDE of storm not on front.

  • tacteach

    37 degrees in e.s.

  • snowbird

    Snow is starting to stick to my driveway

  • Lawrence now has decent snow and the winds have kicked up significantly.

    On the temperature front we are still at 35 with a 31 dewpoint.

  • weatherkcmo

    You “think” these are snow showers ahead of the storm?

  • Just heard the Highway Patrol commenting that parts of K-10 are starting to turn slushy.

  • Twistersis

    Small flakes now in Shawnee, temperature right at 40.

  • networkguy

    @scottinamsterdam Doesn’t Garys timeline state that there would be snow AHEAD of the main system?

    • scottinamsterdam

      That’s what I believe. Just don’t think things will materialize like they say. Just like this morning you could look at the radar and see the precip was going to be here way ahead of 6pm and they ignored it for some reason.

  • StormyWX

    You know now man, something just doesn’t feel right too me! I Just have this odd gut feeling that something will still change at the last minute…shifting all of the snowfall totals either one way or the other (north or south), but I think I’m just being crazy.

  • kellyinkc

    was snowing Raytown now stopped. Some mood music/
    “http://www.freejohnnydare.com/fjd/2011/01/snownami-the-orchestral-version/”

    • PaolaWeatherNewbie

      That is horrible (in a good way) and hilarious!!!! I cracked up! Thanks for posting a link to that!

  • stl78

    Down to 33º w heavy snow just n of 435 n ne cookingham

  • Theo

    Big show will start after the KU game. Have a safe night.

  • networkguy

    Gary can we please get an update for all the non-believers?

    • Networkguy,

      I will update the blog by 8 PM. For the non believers, it is happening. Even the RUC model has caught on. Now, watching radar every second is not the way to enjoy a snowstorm. The main part of this storm will likely come in after midnight.

      • Farmgirl

        I can tell ya I am not enjoying the storm. I am very nervous by the potential damage this storm could have on our outbuildings and home. And when comments are made about structural roof damage and powerline issues by the weather team, the anxiety increases. :) Sigh….

  • shoedog

    Gary gave an update 21 minutes ago in pink.

  • Joseph Tay

    I think they forecast totals are going to be on the high side…probably a 8″ storm possibly less

  • f00dl3

    I’m not really all that impressed by the dynamics of the system right now. Hopefully it will start churning up right over us later tonight. Radar doesn’t look all that great right now.

  • Overbrook

    Heavy snow here again, visibility under 1/4 mile. Breezy with some 20 mph gusts, a little over an inch accumulation already. Everything is covered in snow again and the roads are getting snow packed.

  • craigmac

    When was the last time that the KC metro had two Winter Storm Warnings only 6 days apart?

  • Freeze Miser

    Freeze is back! Whew…just got back from a walk with the snow dog. Snow has stopped for now in east Indy. I’m looking forward to firing up the wood stove and having some chow.

    No school tomorrow for me. They won’t even let us on campus so they can clear the parking lots.

  • tacteach

    Dropping temps in e.s. 34 now and still snowing.

  • scottinamsterdam

    I think the storm is in a transitional period right now and we won’t know till 9 or 10 which way it is leaning.

  • rkcal

    Something still seems…….off.

  • beckysma

    Absolutely sticking near 169 & Cookingham. Our street was clear, now it’s covered.

  • HeatMiser

    On newscast, Gary just said “How much snow will we get? A LOT!!!! Details in a few minutes. heh heh…Heat Miser like lots of snow!

  • PILOT MISER

    Looking out the window to watch the snow…staring at the radar will lead the pessimist part of the uneducated yearning to comment on the blog. People relax and enjoy, the snow hasn’t even yet begun to fall.

  • HeatMiser

    Gary’s blog comment a few minutes ago for those who didn’t see it:

    Networkguy,

    I will update the blog by 8 PM. For the non believers, it is happening. Even the RUC model has caught on. Now, watching radar every second is not the way to enjoy a snowstorm. The main part of this storm will likely come in after midnight.

  • mmack66

    Just drove 635N through KCK to Riverside, and it was snowing heavily, with big flakes, and this is only the leading edge. I am hoping for a lot more snow over the next 12-18 hours.

  • craigmac

    Gary is on right now!

  • craigmac

    Station that rhymes with socks forecast only 4 to 10

  • PaolaWeatherNewbie

    The wind is howling like crazy!! The snow is just a really light flurry at the moment though. We’re between the snow bands at the moment. I can’t wait to see what is on the ground when I wake up tomorrow morning!!! Like a kid at Christmas, can’t wait to get up and see what awaits me!

    Actually, I think what awaits me is a giant shoveling job…Worth it! Self proclaimed lover of snow! What can I say, I spent 15 years living in Michigan! This is fairly normal up there, well the 8″ part of it, 20″ in a night isn’t as common.

  • cjmitch

    The collective mood of the blog the past few days reminded me of a section in one of my favorite books, (Big Weather by Mark Svenvold) where he comes up with acronyms that serve as, in his words, ” A line of defense against the fact of weather chaos” Some of them are: DOWN-Depressed or Weather Negative, WAMPUM-Weather Always Makes People Unhappy, Mostly, CRAP-Constant Reason, Applied Pessimistically, GRIM-Getting Reamed In Meteorology, BOHICA-Bend Over, Here It Comes Again and the one he finally settles on (maybe one day we will find it in JetStream, the guide for meteorological acronyms) is: MOPE-Minimal Optimism, Pessimitically Engaged.

  • hippygoth

    Well streets were covered earlier in the snow, not seen any salt trucks, now they’re just wet. Sure they’ll be getting slick soon.

    H.

  • networkguy

    Well I’m off at 11pm…looking less and less likely that I will have to stay for a double because of the night shift not being able to come in. :D Now if I could get the heaviest to move up to Liberty :D

  • HeatMiser

    Hey Gary, how much snow do you think Lawrence will get? Do you think it likely to be closer to 6 or 12 inches? Also, do you see any slight trend to the north or west of your heaviest snow amounts?

  • cjmitch

    The collective mood of the blog the past few days reminded me of a section in one of my favorite books, (Big Weather by Mark Svenvold) where he comes up with acronyms that could serve as, in his words, ” A line of defense against the fact of weather chaos” Some of them are: DOWN-Depressed or Weather Negative, WAMPUM-Weather Always Makes People Unhappy, Mostly, CRAP-Constant Reason, Applied Pessimistically, GRIM-Getting Reamed In Meteorology, BOHICA-Bend Over, Here It Comes Again and the one he finally settles on (maybe one day we will find it in JetStream, the guide for meteorological acronyms) is: MOPE-Minimal Optimism, Pessimitically Engaged.

  • lvksguy

    Stepped away for a couple hours. That rotation is definitely marking a hard jog to the north now.

    • lvksguy

      …And there is a metric you-know-what load of moisture in front of it over AR and southern MO. Looks like we’re going to get smacked hard in a few hours…

  • cjmitch

    I know SNAFU, but what is FUBAR and TARFU?

  • kiwifruit

    Why is the weather channel giving such low snow amounts compared to other weather sources? Though they are rather confusing. The local on the 8’s saying 4-6″ for me, but their weather maps are saying 6-12″. I’m in Gladstone, North of KC Metro…

  • stjoeobserver

    Latest RAP models shift the storm significantly further north each cycle. I’m thinking I might actually get something now… The NAM had me worried we weren’t going to see anything up in St. Joe :( Gary’s forecast is likewise kinda sad to see. I’m hoping we hit some heavy bands and see a strong north/northwest shift though. That’ll make everyone here happy :)

  • kiwifruit

    Fair enough nbell… The Weather channel often does seem to be off with its forecasts… They tell you three different things with their weather center, local on the 8’s and their website… and a HORRIBLE website it is!!

  • Kcchamps

    “http://www.instantweathermaps.com/RAP-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013022523&time=PER&var=APCPI&hour=018″

    latest RAP(ruc) is further north!! 16-20″ looking more likely

    • stjoeobserver

      This is the 3rd or 4th cycle in a row that the model has trended further north. Thinking KC metro will be closer to bullseye now and St. Joe can get some significant snow now…

  • Morham

    New update on the weather2020 blog. Gary updated it at 6:51pm.

  • DaleGribble

    Folks,

    When this storm is much bigger than everyone forecasted, you all just remember that it was ole Dale Gribble that predicted it.

    I want you all to know that, contrary to what I said yesterday, I now do have internet access in my secret bunker. I decided run a cat6 cable from my Mom’s house to my bunker. Unfortunately, my Mom is still up in the house and refuses to come to safety. She says, “I’d rather die up here and live down in that dirty bunker.” Some people….

    Which gets me to thinking about how some people have an innate survival instinct. I know I do. Some people say I have “tiger blood,” but what I think I really have is “snow bear blood.” I bet I could survive most situations. I’m one tough SOB. Speaking of survivalist abilities, evolutionary psychology says that women are hardwired to prefer men who display survivalist abilities, which might explain my impeccable track record at cleaning up with the ladies.

    Anyway, stay warm, folks, and remember: dogs not only are man’s best friend but also are good to guard your property (or serve as an emergency food source in zombie apocalypse).

    Your friend,

    Dale

  • smiley10

    Dale – I laughed so hard at your post that my Pepsi almost came out my nose! By the way, are you related to MacGyver?

  • PaolaWeatherNewbie

    Sleet just started here in Paola. It is coming at a pretty moderate rate too!

  • weatherpick

    Sleet hitting the window here in Overland Park! I’m so excited. Just told me husband I might as well sleep downstairs on the floor by a window cause I’m going to be waking up all night wanting to see what’s going on! lol

  • erock89

    Sleet in Prairie Village KS right now

  • sleeting pretty good in Olathe

  • kiwifruit

    nothing up my way in Gladstone just yet

  • lvksguy

    Does the storm appear to be on a more northward track than was originally predicted or is it just me?