Good morning,
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Dare I go there again? Okay, it looks like our chance of rain will be going up Wednesday night into early Thursday as a front slowly moves into the KC metro area, stalls, and weakens. Who thinks it is going to rain, and how much rain will fall at your place? It has only rained 4.30″ at KCI Airport since the end of March:
Here is the Powercast that I showed on our weathercasts Monday evening.
A weak front is timed to move slowly across our viewing area Wednesday night into Thursday morning. In another year and another weather pattern I would be rather confident that it would rain between 1/2″ and 1″ Wednesday night. But, obviously we have seen these chances produce spotty rather than wide spread rainfall. We will go into the details on 41 Action News today and tonight.
So, to answer the question, “who thinks it is going to rain, and how much is going to fall at your place?”, I say it is going to rain and 0.43″ will fall at my place. That is my first forecast for Wednesday night.
Have a great day, enter the hottest day contest, and thanks for stopping by and spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog.
Gary
it wont rain.
These cumulonimbus clouds are spectacular
“http://bbs.chinadaily.com.cn/thread-754305-1-1.html”
10 Sprinkles Wednesday night for La Cygne. Up from the 7 sprinkles we had on Saturday.
Yes. It will rain. But no one will get as much as they need and some will get missed altogether.
I’m saying widespread 0.25″
As far as this season went for our rain chances gary i say don’t jinx it, even though the data says its going to rain it will be possible that it develops to our east and we will get missed again. So i am telling tou now gary, please do not jinx it please.
Brad
I hope I’m wrong, but IF anything forms, it will die out before reaching KC and then reform to the east and south of here. This has been the pattern all season, don’t see it changing anytime soon.
Does the sprinkler count? That is the only way I will get water at my house.
Lets all wash our cars and water our lawn. That will for sure make it rain.
I have a question.. Will the smoke from the CO and NM fires and the particulates that the smoke puts into the atmosphere influence our weather at all?
Also how are the killdeer chicks? Did the 4th egg ever hatch?
I saw the Killdeer chicks and the parents near the water Saturday. They all four had made it through their first few days of life. I may check on them today.
The smoke from the fires, and the fires themselves are still just too small scale to influence our weather. They are more of a symptom of what is happening on a bigger scale, if that makes sense.
I have a couple of questions for anyone who cares to give me an educated guess. If I remember correctly, last fall we had near drought like conditions and then we had a wet January. Does what we are experiencing now seem to be mimicing that near drought pattern we experienced last fall? My hope is that maybe the dry conditions now will be followed by a wet month as in last January.
Also, do the current dry conditions, with the soil being parched, add to the dimise of the fronts that come to our doorstep and fall apart, somehow creating a bubble effect that causes the moisture to move away from the dry land.
It was a dry January, but a wet December, February, and March. And, yes, this same pattern that set up last fall is continuing. It was dry in October and then I got fooled by the few very heavy winter rain events and I thought would be a wet spring.
Being optimistic and saying 0.20 inches in KC North between NKC and Gladstone.
Seds, go back out of town, we got good rains when you were gone.
I see a front running into a juicy air mass and stalling just a bit. A very wet Wednesday night/early Thursday is in the cards.
How we missed the last 7 days of rain chances is just amazing. Not this time, good rains likely.
Gary, a little bit from your game:
.10-.50 90% chance
.50-1.00 70% chance
1.00-1.50 50% chance
1.50 + 38% chance
Mike, unfortunately not leaving town for a month. However, my daughter arrives from Seattle next Monday. Maybe she’ll bring some rain with her.
Those storms coming from the Northwest are rarely any good. We need West or Southwest
I’m guessing that the storms will miss us from the north, west, and south, and the resulting extreme pressure gradient will actually manage to pull what little moisture is in the soil out and into the air, resulting in a -.25″ rain total. I think this prediction is on some solid footing.
I think the rain will miss us again and reform to the east of us, i don’t really see this happening at all unless something gows completly right but its possible. I say 30% chance for rain for us
Brad
It is sooo dry that my neighbor was baling hay and the tractor caught the brown unmowed grass on fire. Quite the excitement for a little while. A quarter of the field burned so less hay to bale. That is not good since every bale is needed.
WOW! It must be exiting to be a farmgirl..Make a motion at me,and I might take you on a chase?
Exciting?
We’ll get a few sprinkles. Enough to remind us of what we’re missing.
Models still showing precipitable water values close to 2″ for tomorrow night. How can it not rain? It should be a set-up for 1-3 inches. We shall see.
Precipitable water does not necessarily translate into rainfall, as we have seen multiple times lately.
True, but we have a trigger tomorrow night. So, it should translate to rain.
Maybe I’ll have my car washed tomorrow. That’ll help.
I want to be optimistic about our rain chances, but it ain’t easy these days.
Gary, just saw that you raised Sunday’s predicted high to 100. Don’t think I’ve seen a 100 degree day in June in KC since I moved here in early June 1994.
Just spell “Ring of Fire”.
Can I sing it instead?
I prefer,,,I just did
151st & Antioch will get .77 inches of rain out of the Wednesday night/Thursday morning event.
Sorry Mike, the drought never ended. By August we will be in extreme drought.
Mikes a Wanker…idiot
Gary,When are you coming out of the closet??Please explain your thoughts..Don,t let Scripps dick-tate your true feelings…Be a man you drama queen!!!
I think he should. I’m sure a lot of young people who are dealing with their own identity may draw inspiration from it.
Again…. You two menials show your IQ. For real…. Does that really matter? You two should have been banned long ago! Your a joke, you’ll talk jive on here but never face to face. Dobber the great predicts a crippling ice storm where you and your family’s suffer a terrible death! Lol! You 2 are crazy!
Farmgirl,you hav,ent replied …I think I love You..I want to roll in the hay with you(as long it,s not on fire).Give Me A Sign..Yours truly,,Kevin
I think she may be busy milking the cows and collecting the eggs. What else do they do on the farm? I’m a city boy so I have no clue. Maybe she has Alpca’s and is cutting the fur. I’m sure she’s fit with all that work.
Do you think she,ll respond??? answer A=yes B= maybe C=I ain,t got time…My house is on FIRE!!!!
I don’t think it will rain. If it does rain it will be insignificant as in less then .25. DROUGHT is here to stay this year. Farmers are going to have a very tough year and so will us taxpayers as we make up their losses.
Intense heat mixed with no moisture and warm winds are burning up the crops. Our losses are everyone else’s losses too and not just in tax dollars. We harvested wheat yesterday at about 50 bushels per acre on 60 acres…one bushel makes approx 90 loaves of bread. You do the math. Not to mention over 1500 acres of corn/soy beans burning up right now. Regardless of tax dollars, if there is no food, there’s no food no matter how much taxpayers cough up. Hopefully South American farmers are having a healthier crop than us midwesterners…
Thank You Moderator.
I’m going with a widespread 4-5 with some localized 6 to 7 amounts. Millimeters people, millimeters.
no problmento
LIKE
Things can change much in one year’s time. One year ago, Kansas City had had almost 17 inches of rain for the YTD, while Dallas-Fort Worth had had only 13 inches. To date this year, DFW has had over 22 inches of rain compared to less than 13 inches here.
Who cares.I,m Trying to get hooked up!
Again??? I thought this blog was going to be moderated.
I’ll go for .67″ at my house near I-29 & 64th. We got 1.33 on the last storms that moved thru and actually produced rain, so I’ll go for half this time.
Your a fool! .23in. only.,And don,t make me repeat this,Please keep from posting until I hear from Farmgirl…You dig?
sure, whatever you say.
Remember, the trolls love ANY attention. I have already said too much.
It seems the little immature boys are on the blog this afternoon and evening. Your insecurity is showing! I’m thinking that yes! it will rain tomorrow night/Thursday early morning. I’ve been watering all week so I’m hoping it does.
Are you a Chick???
Great, just what i waned hear our short lived heat wave of the season with a forecast high on sunday of 100 degrees. If it dont rain tomorrow night i am bringing out my sprinkler system and make the sprinklers rain in my front and back yard. This is getting crazy.
Brad