Good late evening bloggers,
Thunderstorms are developing and moving into the KC metro area at 8 PM. The new data coming in is still looking good for our 2 to 4 inch snowfall forecastin in the KC Metro area. Could we have thundersnow?
Okay….while we are waiting for the new data and an update I would like to know how much snow you think will fall in KC? Here is the radar from around 7:30 PM. That is a nice area of snow out to our west.
I will write up a new blog entry around 9 PM…
Gary
I say 5″ KCI, 4″ on the Plaza and 3.5″ at my house by JoCo Executive (although it’s not like you’ll be able to tell the difference). More showers and storms popping up just SW and moving in, too.
Maybe an inch or two in KC.
3.5 inches at KCI, 3 inches at my house in KC North, and 2 inches in Overland Park south of 435.
But how to get an accurate measurement with the expected wind is a good question.
Ill say about 3-4 inches for kc metro, 3.6 at my house
brad
Bradley if you win the contest I would sell the stuff to pay for your education! Wait do you have to pay for middle school?
Wow tornado watch down at table rock lake! This must be a strong storm! I think the plaza gets 4.3 inches and where I’m at in phill we get 2.7 inches
I think 2″-3″ from just south of metro to northland. Isolated amounts of 4″ throughout the metro.
Gary I had been saying a dusting to an inch. Then I saw that the storm was digging and slowing down. I then changed it to 2-4 for the immediate metro. The change was before you changed your forecast. So I will say 2-and I hope I don’t regret it in the morning!
How long has it been since we have seen a storm intensify so close to KC like this? Seems like forever. Going to be a long night…
I predict at least 3 in Olathe
Gary when is George’s last day on air? We want to have a blog send off for him.
Where’s George going?!
He’s going to Florida. He starts on air there mid January I believe.
I am trying to get a decent look at where the low pressure system is located, several sites show right on the Oklahoma, Kansas border. Would have liked to have seen the system down closer to Tulsa to get more snow….
Just heard thunder, pea size hail now here in KCK
4 inches for Olathe. 6 inches+ for KCI-Northward
4 inches for downtown KC
4.5 inches officially. 3 on the plaza. 5.5 at my house in st jo mo
4.5 inches in KC…good luck measuring it. I think I missed the snowfall guess by just a few hours if it comes later in the morning. Boohoo!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2177.html
So Sleet or Ice on top of Snow not Good.
Tornado watch in Springfield? My son is a met down there. Just let me know.
Koeller?
yup
I bet he’s excited, getting his first winter storm to track for his new job. btw I know him we are friends on FB.
As am I. He did a great job at SLU. Been helping him find computer model websites since he doesnt have the subscriptions yet since the station hasnt boughten them for the time being. Great kid. I expect him going places.
The heaviest snow will fall north of Kansas City. There is little doubt about that. But the intensity of this storm means that even though the upper level feature is a bit far to the north for Kansas City, the strong vorticity associated with the storm should wrap a significant swath of snow around on its west side in a classic comma head configuration as the system matures late tonight. That’s what the models say it is going to do. If the system takes longer to fully mature, then less snow will fall in Kansas City. It is virtually a sure bet that some accumulating snow will fall in KC. But will it be 1 inch or 5 inches or somewhere in between?
Nice little conveyor belt of storms lining up along I35 towards the city.
1/2″-Harrisonville 1″-Downtown 2″- KCI 4″-St.Joe
Plaza = 3.75″
Gary, man I just hope and pray this thing move in and out in the morning, please
Have faith, it will. This storm will not stall or slow down. It is moving rapidly and will continue to do so.
Thunder and light rain in Overland Park
4.25″ in KC. This will be the start of a wetter trend.
Weather Channel and my phone (accuweather) says its arain/snow mix in st jo. Just looked outside. Though it does seem like that could happen at any time I did not observe any snow flakes or sleet.
accuweather once told me it was sunny when there was a tornado warning/torrential rain/hail. never used it since.
I’m going with 2.5″ on the north side of Olathe and 3.5″ near my office located ~96′ above ground north of the river!
In Briarcliff?
It’s nice to see the storm wrapping up to our southwest … but I fear the mean old dryslot will turn out to be part of that action, plus the current convection will rob the atmosphere of moisture.
So, I’ll say 1.5 inches on the Plaza (Brad wins by a half-a-nose), 2 at my house in the Northland and 2.5 at KCI.
HEAVY rain north of KCI with LOTS of lighting!
Per a question on the prior blog post, it started snowing at about 2:30 here in Omaha. So far we have had about 3-4″ and it continues to come down at a very good clip. Snow plow at my hotel can’t keep up with it. Local mets are saying 7″-11″ tonight, but I can’t wait to see the drifts!
Light rain here in Salina, Ks. Still sitting at 37°..
Wow, the storm that earlier brought hail to near KCI kept trucking NE and is now warned severe near Trenton.
1 inch hail reported in Trenton.
Something you don’t often see, a severe thunderstorm warning intersecting a blizzard warning, north of Trenton.
We have had More post in two days than we have in 6 mo!!…..3.8 @kci
Would be epic if it panned out. Probably not likely though lol.
Im more interested in next week’s storm..
+1.
+2. That’s all I want for Christmas…Ho, Ho, Ho!
+3, Were going to miss out on most of the accumulating snow in Columbia, MO but when I saw the liquid equivalent of 1.00″ or more for the 25-27th time period & some of the models showing 12-18″ of snow across MO I am looking past tonights storm & dreaming of snow on Christmas day in Central MO. I hope it all comes together.
Back to business at hand. New NAM out. Looks pretty good, but not quite as aggressive as 18Z run. QPF is down and low closes off a bit further east. Still seems to stay inline with snowfall forecast though. 2-4″ still looks like a good bet.
Matt
Guys, I’m sure brad wasn’t the only one that picked the 20th lol… Maybe the only blogger, but definitely not the only person. And I agree, going to be very hard to get an accurate measurement
HAIL, pea sized in Wyandotte County just now.
I think 4inches on the north side of the river 3in in downtown and 2in south of the metro
Got an account just to report a bout of thunder-sleet in Plattsburg! It’s been pouring with thunder and lightning for nearly 2 hours now…
Pea size hail and a thunderstorm in SW Topeka. Temp 39.2F. The hail is actually turning the ground white. Crazy!
Gary – it would be nice for you to explain methodology of measuring an inch in the middle of 40 mph winds.
guess we will wake up to a winter wonderland
Thundering again
I also just noticed the HPC has a 7-day qpf forecast now, that’s something new.
What time are we looking at transitioning to snow? Leaving for work around 0300-0400 in the morning. I’ll have my Winter gear, shovel, salt and blanket. Just wondering if I need to leave a little earlier.
H.
Guess I should add south side of the metro, OP area.
H.
You will be ok. It will just be starting around 4 or 5 in my opinion. If the wind is blowing it will take some time for it to build up on roads. This is if we get snow in the metro.
These thunderstorms – sure eating a lot of that QPF available. Parts up north near KCI have already had ~1/2″ rainfall. Is there still going to be enough moisture left over for any snowfall beyond a dusting? Would like to see 2-4″ – but kind of wondering now.
I am concerned too, f00dl3. So was Gary. This was what he wrote on Dec. 17 “By midnight Wednesday night that 540 line is passing us, so it would become cold enough to snow at this time, but will there be any precipitation left?”
a few flurries with maybe slight accumulation to the north. We are finaly having a spring, I hear thunder.
Other station has very different forecast. This will be interesting!
New blog..
she’s veering northward more than i thought…maybe .5″ @ plaza. rats.
This is a very fast storm!!! I am so concerned that there won’t be any moisture left for snow. This was what Gary wrote on Dec 17 “By midnight Wednesday night that 540 line is passing us, so it would become cold enough to snow at this time, but will there be any precipitation left?”
Wow! My Davis weather station showed rainfall rate of 4.2″ per hour!