We Are Still In The Same Pattern For Two More Weeks

Good morning bloggers,

As summer comes to an end we see that the drought monitor showing the exceptional drought over Montana extending east over the northern plains. Kansas City is seemingly getting surrounded as the dry weather has us surrounded, and the Pacific northwest has gotten a bit dry as well:

Today is the 19th day in a row with no rain in Kansas City. We are completing another dry first half of a month.

Then July came in with 0.38″ in the first half and 4.59″ in the second half, with almost 8 inches of rain in the second half of August.  And, here we are with 0.00″ in the first half of September.

And, no shock, here is the force for the second half of September from the overnight GFS model:


The Tropics Remain Active:


Tropical Depression #14 is going to become Tropical Storm Lee today.  I can just see some very bad jokes about this one if it actually does target South Carolina. And, I am heading to South Carolina to go to Hilton Head. If Fourteen becomes Lee, conditions are favorable for it to struggle to strengthen a lot until it approaches one of this years tropical storm hot spots near the Lesser Antilles.  The pattern supports a strong hurricane in around a week.

But way before Tropical Storm Lee needs to be monitored closely, we are still monitoring Jose and Norma:


Norma is forecast to become a hurricane in the next 24 hours or so, and notice how it takes a track blasting Cabo again and then Norma makes a turn towards Mexico.


This forecast map above shows Jose threatening the northeast coast next week and Norma moving into the mainland of Mexico.  What a tropical season we are having. We will go into more detail on 41 Action News tonight and in the blog over the weekend.

Have a great day and thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the Cycling Pattern Hypothesis.


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