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Warmth, Wind, Thunderstorms

Happy Mother’s Day,

The weather is looking great this Mother’s day as highs reach the low 80s with sunshine, just a bit windy.  The dry weather will last through Tuesday, then we have increasing chances of thunderstorms.  Let’s go through the next few days and look at some interesting Kansas tornado statistics.

MOTHER’S DAY: It will be mostly sunny, windy and warm with highs 79°-82°.  Winds will gust from the south over 30 mph.

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MONDAY: This has potential to be the hottest day of the season, so far, as highs will reach the upper 80s.  The warmest in KC so far was on March 19th when it reached 87°.  The wind will not be quite as strong as it will be today.

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TUESDAY: There will be more clouds and humidity with a return to a rather strong south wind with gusts over 30-35 mph.  It will be a dry day as highs climb to 80°-85°.

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WEDNESDAY: A storm system will rip out of the southwest USA,  This will likely generate an area of thunderstorms in Oklahoma Tuesday night.  This area of thunderstorms would then race northeast near I-35 and arrive here Wednesday morning.  These thunderstorms could be similar to what happened last Wednesday.  They won’t last long, but could bring some very heavy rain and some wind damage.  This is something to watch closely.

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THURSDAY-FRIDAY:There is no change from yesterday as the main trough in the west moves out into the Plains putting the I-35 corridor in a zone of potential severe weather.  This does not mean KC is the target as the details are not set in stone, so we will be following this all week long.

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KANSAS TORNADO DATES:  So, we have this chance of severe weather this week and there could be tornadoes in Kansas Thursday-Friday which is May 18-19.  The graph below shows the top three dates during the year that tornadoes have occurred.  This is data from 1950-2009.  May 22nd has seen 84 tornadoes with May 23rd and June 15th seeing 81.  So, when there is a storm system around the 22nd moving through Kansas, tornadoes may not be too far behind.

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Have a great week and Happy Mother’s day.

Jeff

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