Good morning, It’s Friday!
We are already into our second Friday of 2013. Warmer air moved in overnight after, what ended up being, a decent rainfall yesterday after a weak start. 0.20″ to 0.60″ ended up falling in most areas yesterday. After the rain ended a warm front passed through and we are near 50° this morning. Today’s high temperature will be highly dependent on how much cloud cover is in our sky this afternoon. We will start overcast, but I am expecting it to become sunny for a while after noon. The earlier it clears the higher the temperatures will get this afternoon. The record is 65 degrees and we will certainly at least threaten that record later today.
The warmer air is being drawn northward by a storm tracking to our northwest. This will move by to our north tonight and a cold front will blast through. Then, our attention moves to the southwest as another storm will approach the region. And, this is where the forecast problems exist for Saturday nights chance of precipitation across Missouri.
While I am awaiting the new data this morning to finish this blog entry I would like to discuss Chicago’s weather. Do you know what has been going on there this winter season? Chicago, IL has not had it’s first inch of snow yet. Can you believe that? The snowflake contest would still be going on in the windy city if they had one. Wow! Chicago has now gone 321 consecutive days without an inch of snow in one day, and this breaks the old record of 319 days set in 1940. I believe next month it will be snowing in Chicago, and we will have a few chances here. Between now and then we have this one chance tomorrow night, and then that should be it for a while.
The storm system that will be dropping into the southern Rocky Mountains early tomorrow morning is forecast to shear and stretch out as it approaches us. Does this sound familiar? This is just part of this year’s pattern and in this part of the LRC it is just difficult to get a storm to be functional in our area. Because of the shearing and stretching of the upper level energy, the forcing that will cause rising motion and precipitation will most likely be pushed off to the east and south:
As you can see, the blue, snow area forms just south of Kansas City and then quickly zips off to the east. We still have to pay close attention to this on the next few model runs. Only a slight change aloft and this could still sneak into our viewing area. Obviously we believe the chance is very slim and we have a dry forecast for now.
Have a great weekend. We will go over the details on 41 Action News. In the mean time, I am going to take a little break and go see Zero Dark Thirty in a matinee before I go into work. I will check in later.