Good morning bloggers,
The weather pattern is going to get a bit more exciting in the next week. We will see a rather substantial warm-up today into Wednesday ahead of a weak Pacific storm coming into the west coast tonight. And, then there is a much stronger storm that will dig in and develop near the west coast by the weekend. The energy from these two systems is currently over the Pacific Ocean and as a result we have had many varying solutions:
The first energy source will bring a series of waves with some jet stream energy east across the Rocky Mountains and over the plains states by early Thursday morning. A rather interesting set-up for rain and thunderstorms will be developing tomorrow night and we may have some heavy showers and thunderstorms in our local area. We will go over the details of this set-up on 41 Action News today and tonight.
After this fast moving mid-week storm moves by early Thursday morning our attention will then turn to the second energy source forming way out over the Pacific Ocean. Let’s take a look at three model solutions for this energy valid Monday evening:
This first map, above, is from the European model. This shows an upper low ejecting across Nebraska and Iowa Monday night. If this solution is correct a snow storm, and possibly a blizzard, will be developing north of Kansas City Monday or Tuesday. This next map, below, is from the GFS model valid at the same time:
The GFS model shows the ejecting upper low tracking south of Kansas City which would place our area in the potential snow, but this solution is also showing a weaker storm system. It has some support from the Canadian model:
This third solution, from the Canadian model, shows a track similar to the GFS model, and is a bit stronger, more like the European model. In the last cycle of the LRC, go to the Weather 2020 Blog for details, this storm produced a blizzard in Iowa and clipped our area with our first inch of snow with very windy conditions. How will it set-up this time? We have been forecasting this part of the weather pattern to return this next week for 50 days now. Once again, the energy coming in, as you can see on the first map posted today, is way out over the Pacific Ocean. We will get many more solutions for this storm system in the coming days. We will be getting the cycle 3 version of this storm. And, I know it will be there, but exactly where it will track and how strong it will be are two questions that I still don’t have confidence in.
Have a great day! We will go into more details on both of these storm systems on 41 Action News, and in the blog tomorrow.