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Trending to a Tricky Storm System

Good Sunday bloggers,

Our next storm system arrives later tonight and exits Monday afternoon and it is becoming a tough forecast as to who will see rain and who will not. What else is new around here? If you forecast for New England, all locations will see heavy rain and snow. And, if you miss the snow, well another massive storm will be around the corner. If you live in Amarillo, TX there is no chance of rain or snow until further notice. So, let’s go through this crazy forecast.

TODAY: We have been stuck in a band of low clouds that were left over from the storm system on Friday. In order for us to see the sun today they will have to break up as it will be hard for them to move away. Now, areas that see sun will see highs 50°-55° and locations that stay cloudy highs will be 45°-50°. Clouds from the next storm will be racing north as well.

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SUNDAY NIGHT (MIDNIGHT): The next storm system will be near with rain and thunderstorms from around Topeka to Fort Scott and points southwest.

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MONDAY MORNING: The rain will be most likely move north up into the I-70 corridor, but may stop it’s northward progress near St. Joseph. The wind will be from the northeast at 15-25 mph with temperatures around 40°, so in rain areas it will be a cold and wet start to the week.

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MONDAY NOON: The storm will be tracking east quickly, so where the north edge sets up in the morning is where the north edge will stay with this system. We talked yesterday, how the storm will likely remain compact, but it could track farther north and that is what is trying to happen.

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MONDAY EVENING: The storm system will be long gone in the Tennessee Valley leaving our area cloudy, windy and cool with highs in the 40s to low 50s. A second, smaller system is located to the west.

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TUESDAY: The second system will move by with a few rain showers, there could even be a few snow showers, but this does not look like much of a system. Spring begins at 11:15 AM and it is looking like the coldest day of the week with highs in the 40s.

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RAINFALL FORECAST: Kansas is in a drought emergency, so this is some good news as it looks like .50″ to 2″ of rain will fall from Hays to Wichita and points to the east. This should help out some of the Hard Red Winter Wheat crop. Now, let’s take a closer look at our area.

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RAINFALL FORECAST (CLOSER IN): This is still not set in stone even with all the computer models showing this general solution. Rainfall amounts could range from zero in northern Missouri to .25″-.75″ along I-70 and .50″ to 2″ to the southwest of KC. You can see a shift of 50 miles north or south will make a huge difference on how much rain falls on your yard or farm.

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Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

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