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Tornadoes In NE Kansas Yesterday & Today’s Enhanced Slight Risk

Good morning bloggers,

The powerful storm that lifted northeast, and got pushed out by a second system dropping into the southwestern states, produced the conditions for a sudden small outbreak of tornadoes in the Kansas City region yesterday.  Take a look at this tornado 1 mile south of Effingham, KS, northwest of KC.  The picture was taken by Dalon Coder. Thank you Lori and Dalon for sharing this with us and wow.

Screen Shot 2019-05-22 at 6.31.04 AM

There were 38 tornado reports yesterday and likely around a half dozen tornadoes that touched down over northeastern KS.  One cell intensified right over KCI Airport, but it never quite got its act together.

Today’s Risk:

day1otlk_1200The Storm Prediction Center has placed an Enhanced Slight Risk just south of Kansas City, with the slight risk extending up into the KC area.  There is a little boundary stretching out of yesterday’s big storm, and interacting with the energy from the new developing southwestern system.

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_16A strengthening warm front will be developing over the southern plains. This warm front will extend east out of a surface cyclone forming over northeastern New Mexico.  Conditions will become favorable for thunderstorm development by mid-late afternoon, and then the activity will likely organize into a small complex of thunderstorms and shift south.  The first few hours of the development will likely lead to a few supercell thunderstorms with a tornado risk. From the SPC:  “Supercells with tornado potential are possible in central and northeastern Oklahoma into southeast Kansas late this afternoon. A significant tornado may occur from near Tulsa northward into far southeast Kansas where the strongest low-level shear is forecast during the early evening.”

day1probotlk_1200_torn

This is the area of potential strong tornadoes, and it does include parts of the KC viewing area.  So, quite obviously we have to monitor this quite closely today.

Thursday’s Risk:

day2otlk_0600

The risks will keep coming in the next few days.  We will look deeper into Thursday into Saturday’s risks tomorrow.  Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading and sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.   Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Have a great day!

Gary

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