Good morning bloggers,
Kansas City continues to be in the wrong spot for any significant precipitation. This latest storm system, that produced significant snow across parts of the upper midwest and Great Lakes states, also produced tornadoes yesterday across parts of the southeast and some snow in Dallas, TX early yesterday morning, and all Kansas City had were a few light rain showers Saturday night. The next big storm will be developing next week and it will be passing by us early in the week on it’s way into a developing major storm in the eastern states. This next part of the cycling pattern will be directly related to the part of the pattern that produced Superstorm Sandy at the end of October. We have been expecting and forecasting this part of the weather pattern to return around the 20th of December and sure enough the computer models are now beginning to predict a major late week storm system near the New Jersey shore. Confidence is high that this will develop later next week as it fits this year’s pattern. In our winter forecast we talked about the winter storm “hot spots” with the main one being over the northeastern states. Take a look at one of the many solutions that we will likely see in the next few days:
The surface forecast map, above, shows the GFS solution from the 18z model yesterday afternoon. How this storm will actually develop later next week is still unclear, but the likely timing will be somewhere between the 18th and 20th of December. This storm falls into the main “hot spot” as described in our Winter Forecast. Kansas City is not near any of the hot spots and we continue to wait for our first measurable snowfall. As the energy comes into the pattern next week to help develop this major storm Kansas City may have a little bit of precipitation around Monday or Tuesday, a week from now.
There is another system ahead of this one next week that may bring us a little bit of rain Friday night into early Saturday, but again, this next system moves out of the western states “hot spot” and it moves out into the plains as it goes through a transition. We will go over the details of these developments on 41 Action News today and tonight.
Have a great day and thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.