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The Same Pattern For Around 50 More Days

Good morning bloggers,

The same pattern continues. A few of the bloggers wondered yesterday about the LRC and, unfortunately, I must inform everyone that we are in the same pattern and in the seventh LRC cycle. There will be a beginning of the eighth and final cycle of this years pattern, and then we will say goodbye to what I would consider the worst pattern in this long stretch of bad patterns for the Kansas City region.  This pattern produced a whopping 7 inches of snow this winter in around a dozen snowfalls, for an average of around 1/2″ per snowfall which is beyond ridiculous.  This pattern produced a drought that expanded over KC, and then got wiped out over parts of Kansas while we experienced it worsening, even as of today.  The good news:  A new and unique pattern, one that has never happened before (which is what unique means), will set up in early October. Oh, it will evolve slowly in the next six to seven weeks, but this horrible pattern that we have been in will continue until the new pattern takes over.  I call it a horrible pattern for many reasons. For me, the biggest reason is that, as your meteorologist in KC, I have the tough task of explaining over and over again why things are missing us. I would much rather, at least once in a while, have the much more exciting explanation of why things are actually happening. Even in October when we did get some heavier rain, that rain missed many areas in our viewing area.  I will welcome the end of this pattern. There is hope for next winter as there are signs of a weak to moderate El Niño developing.  But, remember El Niño and La Niña are just one influence on the much bigger picture, the LRC.  Now, just be patient as we get through these next few weeks.

This storm system is quite similar to the one that tracked northeast from Kansas into Nebraska in late June.  That storm produced a few heavy thunderstorms, and this one is producing some heavy rain and thunderstorms.

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The storm in the east has produced wide spread torrential rainfall as they have had some significant flooding once again. This storm, that will be moving over the Iowa/Nebraska border later today, as you can see above, will create some unstable conditions this afternoon and evening.  Some of the latest higher resolution short range models have a few heavy thunderstorms forming near KC this afternoon.  So, there is hope that we will add to the very low rainfall totals that have added up thus far. One thing about this years LRC that is so frustrating; the fact that we have no lack of chances of rain and snow. It is just another fact that the weakest parts of these systems tend to affect our area.

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This picture above shows my rain gauge as of 7:30 AM. About .25″ of that fell in yesterday afternoons thunderstorm. The evening activity was spotty, and only affected a small percentage of our viewing area. This mornings rains were heavier way up north. Let’s see what happens later today.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  One band of rain moving north, and this will rotate around the main storm. A second and third round of showers and thunderstorms will be likely later in the day and tonight.  These other two rounds will still be hit and miss.  High: near 80°

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Click on the blog over at Weather2020.com to join in the conversation as we share in this weather experience.  Have a great day!

Gary

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