Good morning bloggers,
There were 50 to 60 mph winds overnight while you may have been sleeping. The first disturbance went by, and as the rain ended there was sinking air, and this “subsidence” caused the blast of wind we had from 2 AM to 5 AM this morning. KCI Airport had a 51 mph wind gust at 2 AM, and a 52 mph wind gust at 5 AM. Incredibly, in most years, 99 out of 100 of them, that would have prevented the next round of rain from coming up here, but not this year. Not only is an organized area of rain and thunderstorms moving in, but it is strong enough to reduce any severe weather risk in our area to near zero.
Our severe weather risk is once again being reduced significantly by a huge area of rain moving across. Here is the 6:45 AM radar as I was writing the blog this morning:
We are already up to 2.25″ of rain for this storm, and this is before this huge area of rain and thunderstorms had arrived. The threat of severe weather will go way down once this line move through, the line that you can see on this radar image in red. It was approaching KC from the southwest. 2 to 3 more inches of rain are possible with this area of rain.
I just saw a radar tweeted from the NWS, and my weather mind went into motion as I knew I had seen this in a previous cycle, and there it is. The cycle length of this years pattern was calculated months ago to be 48.6 days. Now, just look at this:
The map on the left was this morning, and the map on the right was from our blog on December 26th, 146 days ago or 48.6 times 3. You can’t make this up bloggers! The LRC shows the Order in Chaos! Here is the article that was just published in Meteorological Technology International Magazine:
This storm is rather vigorous and the kicking storm is strong too. You can see this storm now forming over Kansas with a strong wave moving north in very diffluent flow, where the lines spread apart over Kansas. And that kicking storm is something we will discuss tomorrow.
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