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The Heat Returns, The Rain Does Not

Good Sunday bloggers,

I hope you had a chance to take in the morning lows in the 50s and low 60s, because the heat and humidity is on our doorstep. The next 5-7 days will have no shortage of heat, but a major shortage of rain as the same old pattern continues to cycle.

Let’s go through the week ahead and search for rain.

MONDAY: We will have another comfortable start with lows in the 60s, perhaps a few upper 50s. Highs will reach the low 90s as we track a cold front to the north and westward moving disturbance to the south.

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TUESDAY: The front to the north will bring thunderstorms east of the Mississippi river with a 2% chance around here. The disturbance to the south will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms across southern Missouri, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Texas. The front and disturbance are both missing us as we stay mostly dry with highs 90°-95°.

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WEDNESDAY: Here is our Powercast radar over the drought monitor. You can see the drought extends from far southeast Iowa to the southwest USA. Nebraska and the rest of Iowa are experiencing a whole different summer as they get regular, widespread rain and cooler temperatures. There is not much rain anywhere on this day. We will see highs in the 90s as our third heat wave of the summer begins.

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THURSDAY-FRIDAY: There will be many thunderstorms across Nebraska and Iowa. A few may sneak into northern Missouri, especially the left overs. We will be mostly dry with highs in the 90s. If an outflow boundary can get down here, perhaps we will be cooler by a few degrees.

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SATURDAY-SUNDAY: The fronts reorganize so that numerous rain and thunderstorms will occur from the Great Lakes to northern Plains. We will sit hot and dry with highs in the 90s. A cold front will try to get down here next Sunday night. This is our next legitimate chance of thunderstorms.

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So, the drought may not expand, but it will likely intensify in place. Eastern Kansas and northwest Missouri are the locations that are in this drought until further notice.

Have a great week and stay cool.

Jeff Penner

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