Good morning bloggers,
The Winter Forecast will be on 41 Action News at 6 PM tonight. And, I will have an extensive in-depth blog that will be posted here around the same time. I am almost done with it now.
There is a cold front showing up for Thanksgiving Day and we are trying figure out the timing of this front. The Plaza Lighting special is on 41 Action News and around 30,000 people will be heading outside to watch this show and we are broadcasting it live from 6 to 7 PM Thursday night. The weather forecast has included a pretty nice day for Thanksgiving and this front that is now a concern doesn’t look very strong, but it may help produce a little bit of rain with the wind shift arriving during the day.
And, the weather pattern is showing strong indications of a colder change for next week. The Arctic Oscillation may go into the negative phase during the next two weeks, as you can see below. I will discuss the Arctic Oscillation and what it may mean for this weather pattern in the winter forecast later today. If it does go deeper into the negative it would indicate some blocking of the upper level flow and a good chance of cold air surging south into the United States.
Have a great Monday and check back in later this afternoon for the Winter Weather Forecast blog, and our winter weather forecast live on 41 Action News at 6 PM.
Gary
Gary, I(KFC)would like to give you a LAUREL & HARDY welcome this morning…The up-coming holidays are always another welcome…I have noticed you omitted KFC winters forecast, in one of your shout-out blogs….Is it that you find “MY” forecast to be correct,and you have plans to plagiarize it??? I do have copy rights on “MY”(KFC) forecast that I posted….SO,,,Please DO NOT USE my winter forecast,or you will be receiving a call from my attorney……… Remember, Quasi/NW-zonal flow this year….Above average temps., Below average Precipitation….Have a good 1.
Why cant you guys cordinate with KMBC? Their winter weather outlook is also tonight at 6pm.
I’m hoping theirs is on at a slightly different time than yours, because I want to see both of them. Again I’m going with above normal temperatures with around 10 inches of snow this winter season. What day did you guys put down for the snowflake contest? I think you should put a table up on your next blog of when some of the dedicated bloggers like myself picked as the day the snowflake contest will end.
I believe Gary mentioned Dec. 18,or somewhere in that area ???
I went with December 14th at 7:15 AM. The latest GFS has a storm later next week, and there is the LLTI that goes into play a week from Friday.
December 23rd, around 11pm is what I put down as my guess. Anyone else care to share?
I think guessing what day it will snow 1in. is a nothing but shenanigans……………………..If you win the contest,can you afford the (luxury) taxes on the prize??? I,m sure Miky can.
hopefully we will get some sort of moisture soon. looking forward to the forecast tonight.
Gary your thoughts on this Hes using the LRC:
“http://theweathercentre.blogspot.ca/2012/11/active-period-setting-up-for-plains.html”
Whats a Hes?
I hope its not some Gaelic tongue your using …
If garys right on the snowflake contest then i might get 2 place in this thing, my snowflake contest guess was December 20th at 7:35pm. I could come close who knows.
Brad
P.s. watchout gary.
No,,,, you watch out
Fellow Bloggers, As Gary indicated,The AO is forecasted to go in a negative phase next week,but as you can see,the majority of the members are pushing it back into a more neutral position at the latter portion of cycle….A moderate cold front is being detected on the long-range models(GFS&EC) in 8-9days out….Nothing sig.,as moisture will again be a problem,as I,ve mentioned above in my winter wx.forecast……Brad, I will be accepting applications to storm chase this upcoming season….Would you be interested ???? signed, King Kevin
My opologies,,,,Pres. Kevin…………I,m getting a little of head of myself.
-ahead-
Confucius say, sometimes little head worse than no head at all.
this is a video of a storm/torn. chase back on June 8 2009, east of Maysville on hwy 6… http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w2PDs5-95gU&feature=plcp
And the drought rears its ugly head again. Not a drop fell here last night, and nothing showing up any time soon. This sucks.
I,ve up loaded a video of a torn.chase, from 2009 west of Maysville Mo. that might be entertaining(?), if the moderator will approve it…It sure beats this boring wx.
Yes, it’s 10 days away but late next week sure looks interesting!
http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/ready2-bin/javaanim.pl?id=GFS&mdl=grads/gfs&file=panel2&nplts=33&width=800&height=700
Could you provide a link to the KFC website. Thanks
As predicted last week, the first real chance of good precipitation will be around Nov. 28th, give or take a day. We will be essentially zonal flow until late on the 26th, which means above average temps and no precip.
Snowflake contest could end Nov. 28 or 29. That’s by far the best chance in the next 3 weeks.