Good Saturday morning bloggers,
Well, today in KC it will be breezy and cool with highs around 50°. In Boston they have 25-30″ on the ground with snow and high wind the rest of the day and temperatures in the low 20s. I would like to have the Boston weather!
I want to spend time today talking about the LRC. I have worked with Gary and his theory for 20 years and it amazes me every day!
The LRC theory states that a unique pattern sets up in October to early November, develops a cycle and then repeats through the winter, spring and even summer. So, back on October 29th when “Superstorm Sandy” occurred Gary and I said this will be a big part of this year’s LRC, the big features always come back. As we went into November we saw that the cycle was 50-55 days. We saw that New England was in a “hot spot”. This meant they were in an area where storm systems intensify and want to be located. Our area was not in a “hot spot”, storm systems just fly through here. They do not want to be near Kansas City.
Sandy was not the only storm for the northeast. A snowstorm occurred a weak later. There were also two other storm systems into the first 10 days of November that raced through the middle of the USA and became storms in the east. As we went into winter we called this period the “Supertorm Sandy” part of the pattern. This means there are 4 storm systems for the northeast during these 10-14 days with 1-2 of them having a good chance to become large.
So, based on the 50-55 day cycle and the New England “hot spot” we forecasted the northeast to see major impacting storm systems around December 20-22 and February 10-13. There is proof on 41 Action News blogs and our new website weather2020.com. December 20th saw a decent storm system with some rain and snow, but hurricane force wind gusts along the Jersey shore to Cape Cod. This did not make huge headlines, but it was there.
Now here we are 103 days after Sandy, with a major Super Blizzard in the northeast. Take 103, divide by 2 and you get 51.5. This is right in the time frame of the 50-55 day cycle we discovered with this years LRC back in November. Look below at the water vapor images from October 29th, Sandy and today, the Blizzard! Wow! I am amazed!
MAP #1: SUPERSTORM SANDY OCTOBER 29TH
MAP #2: THE SUPER BLIZZARD…FEBRUARY 9TH
The similarites are frightening! A hurricane and winter storm taking on the same look 103 days apart, predcited by the LRC and not by the GFS or ECMWF. So, this why we believe that the LRC is “BEST FORECASTING TOOL IN THE FIELD OF METEOROLOGY TODAY!” Of cousre, you have to learn how to use it. It is a complex puzzle and we are learing more every year. The next storm in the series is already showing up. We will talks about this below.
Now, lets get to our weather here in Kansas City. The next storm to affect the USA is now in the southwest United States. This one will track into the northern Plains Sunday, bringing a more conventional 6-12″ blizzard. We are on the south side of this storm, so clouds, wind and some rain showers is what we will expect. The best chance for rain showers will be tonight. Sunday will be a windy day with highs in the low 50s and a mix of sun and clouds. See the three maps below.
MAP #3: TONIGHT AT 12:30 AM
Total rainfall across the area will be .05″ to .25″…mot much, but we will take what we can get!
MAP #3: 3PM SUNDAY…6-12″ blizzard for the northern Plains.
MAP #4: 50s and windy for Kansas City
This storm is part of the “Superstorm Sandy” part of the pattern. It will affect the northeast in a weak way. Remember, on the 20th, there was a blizzard in the central and northern Plains and we had 2-3″ of snow with 55 mph winds.
The next Nor’easter is likely next week as the current storm lifts into southeast Canada and a new system drops south through the Rockies Monday. This system will track east through the southern Plains then head northeast up the east coast. See the next map.
MAP #6: WEDNESDAY. THIS ONE HAS POTENTIAL TO BE BIG, BUT COMPARED TO THE CURRENT ONE IT WILL BE SMALL!
Have a great weekend!