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Strong Plains Storm System

Good Saturday bloggers,

One of the wilder Novembers is over and since this is the first of December, it is November statistics day.

The average temperature was 35.6°, which was 8 degrees below average. This is the coldest November ever recorded (35.9° 1976, 36.5°, 2000) and we had 7.6″ of snow which is the second snowiest November ever recorded.  WOW! We ended up below average on rainfall, but it would have been above average if this current storm system was 12 hours faster.

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What is next? We have a strong storm system in the Plains and this will influence our weather through Monday. We will see more rain and possibly a minor accumulation of snow, but we are missing the snowstorm.

Here is radar from early Saturday morning.  We are seeing another classic storm system with the comma head across Nebraska and northern Kansas. The center of the upper level storm is moving north through northeast Kansas. Last Sunday we were in the comma head and we had a blizzard. The comma head of this storm will stay north and a major snowstorm is getting its act together across Nebraska and eventually in to Iowa. We are in the dry slot of the storm where it is cloudy, breezy and mild along with a few rain showers. The wrap around is in central Kansas and that will sweep in this afternoon.

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SATURDAY NOON: The wrap around will be on the way with areas of rain and possibly a thunderstorm. Temperatures will range from the 30s and 40s north to 50s south.

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SATURDAY AFTERNOON: It will be breezy with scattered rain, some moderate to heavy downpours. Temperatures will begin to drift down to the 40s, 30s north.

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SATURDAY EVENING: It will be windy and cold with scattered rain showers. Temperatures will be above freezing from Maryville to Pleasanton, so roads will be wet to damp. The colder air will be entering from the southwest as a strong surface low tracks to the north.

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SUNDAY MORNING: It will be windy and cold with northwest winds gusting 30-35 mph. Temperatures will be around 32° with flurries possible. Roads will be damp to wet.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: It will be cloudy, windy and cold with highs in the 30s. Flurries are possible.

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SUNDAY NIGHT: The strong storm system will move into the Great Lakes and one last disturbance will rotate south around it bringing us scattered snow showers. Temperatures will drop just below freezing and so, we could see some minor accumulation on grassy surfaces. If there is enough snow, we could have some slick spots on roads by Monday morning.

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MONDAY MORNING: Any snow will be over with perhaps a few flurries. Temperatures will drop to the mid 20s and this is why we could have slick spots if there is enough water on the roads. That will depend on how much snow occurs Sunday night.

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SNOWFALL FORECAST: We may see a dusting to 1/2″ Sunday night, mainly on grassy surfaces. 6″-12″ of snow is likely across Nebraska and northwest Iowa. Omaha, on this model, has around 1″ of snow. But, some data has them seeing over 5″ of snow as they are near the edge of the snowstorm.  It is a tough forecast in Omaha.

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We may not see the sun until Wednesday and our next chance of a winter storm is next weekend.

Have a great this weekend.

Jeff Penner

 

 

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