Good Saturday morning bloggers,
The temperatures this morning are in the mid 50s, making it the warmest morning since October 24th!
The weather will be undergoing a series of changes today through Tuesday as a cold front will move through tonight, stall to the south and head back north as a warm front as it is joined by richer Gulf of Mexico moisture. Then, a strong storm system will enter the Plains Tuesday and exit Wednesday. These features + the Gulf moisture + the time of year will lead to chances for thunderstorms, possibly severe in the region this period. Lets break down each day.
THIS MORNING (MAP#1): The sky is rather interesting looking as virga showers move across the area. That is rain falling from the clouds, but evaporating before it reaches the ground. You can see the virga very well from this shot of our Ericsson Skyview looking west over the Sprint campus. This would be thunderstorms if we had more moisture at the low levels.
THIS AFTERNOON (MAP #2): The disturbance producing the clouds and virga will exit and the sun will come out in full force. This will allow temperatures to zoom well into the 70s if not 80 as we will be in the warm sector of the current system.
SUNDAY (MAP #3): The cold front that is north of I-80 today will drift through tonight then stall across southern Kansas and southern Missouri early Sunday. This front will then lift north towards I-70 later Sunday and Sunday night as Gulf moisture increases. This will bring a chance for scattered thunderstorms to eastern Kansas and western Missouri. Some thunderstorms could produce pea to marble sized hail. If you fertilize your yard today, you will be taking a risk on getting it naturally watered in tomorrow night. Some areas may see 1″ of rain, others may see a few drops.
MONDAY (MAP #4): The warm front will drift north as the Gulf moisture really increases, but upper level energy will be decreasing. So, the chance for thunderstorms will go down, but low clouds and some drizzle will be likely. The Opening day forecast looks cloudy and mild with a chance for some drizzle. Temperatures will be in the 60s with high humidity. Not a bad weather day.
TUESDAY (MAP #5): This is where the forecast becomes complicated. A strong storm system will be moving out into the Plains from the southwest USA. This storm + the surface set up + the Gulf of Mexico moisture in place, dew points near 60, will set up the potential for severe weather. At this time, it appears the best chance for severe werather later Tuesday will be across southern Kansas to Oklahoma. Our area would see a period of rain and less strong thunderstorms later Tuesday night and early Wednesday as the storm moves east and goes through a transition. This is not set in stone, and we must watch this closely. Lets hope we get the rain and not the severe weather as we are still in a drought and the soil can dry out very quickly this time of year.
Also, do not forget Gary, Brett and myself will be out at Nebraska Furniture Mart from 11 AM to 2 PM today. We would love to meet you and answer your questions. The first 20o people will receive a cool flashlight and also Stormy the Weather Dog will perform and may be she can simulate an F1 tornado!
Have a great weekend!