How interesting the snowfall projections for New Year’s Eve are becoming! As we wait for tomorrow’s snow, we started this morning with some sunshine!
High cirrus clouds are shown in this early morning picture above the P&L District. They were the first sign that things are changing. It’ll be dry this afternoon with most of the metro hitting the 40s, and that will feel nice.
Although the south breeze is the main reason our high temperatures will be the warmest they’ve been in roughly a week, they’ll still add a chill to the 40-degree air. The clouds thicken this evening, but it will remain dry well past bedtime.
We’ll be watching the south tonight for the approaching storm. By 2 a.m. powercast shows snow beginning to develop in southern Kansas.
And by 5:30 a.m., the snow begins to creep into the metro from the south.
It will likely be a light to moderate snow developing in the morning. Isolated heavy snow could develop, with the most likly areas to experience any heavier snow south and east of downtown.
Both GFS and NAM forecasting models are showing a lull in the activity during the afternoon…with more setting up west of KC.
The band of snow west of KC shown in pink above would then be able to track through our area. This would give the potential for a heavier round of snow Monday Evening. If it develops, it could move through KC…or track to the north while weakening. Any snow would taper off Tuesday morning before you wake up.
Below is the snowfall forecast for ALL DAY MONDAY AND OVERNIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. We’re going to have to see some of the heavier snow to move into KC either Monday morning or evening to get the snowfall amounts on the forecast map below, otherwise it’d be a long day of very light snow with an inch of accumulation.
As of this morning, the NWS had not put us in a Winter Weather Advisory for Monday. Most likely because the snowfall is forecast to steadily fall over a long period of time – so it’s questionable how much the roads will suffer. However, I do think we will eventually be placed under a Winter Weather Advisory with a focus on New Year’s Eve travelers.
We’ll have another update this afternoon with any change in forecast snowfall totals and advisory updates.