We are about 7.50″ below average rainfall since October 7th with a total rainfall of about 3.79″. So, we need the rain and there are good chances in the forecast. Before we get to the rain we are going to have a Thursday warm surge. So, let’s go through this series of weather changes.
THURSDAY MORNING: It will start cloudy and cool with temperatures in the 40s as a warm front begins a surge north. There is a chance of drizzle and a few rain showers, but amounts will be trace-.05″ at most.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Wow! Look at this, as the warm front surges north. The sun will return with south winds 15-35 mph taking our temperature to near 80° which means great weather out at the Power and Light for the sweet 16.
FRIDAY 7 AM: OK, here is the storm we are monitoring that should bring us some decent rainfall. Friday morning will likely be dry and mild with temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
FRIDAY 4 PM: Well, let’s hope this is right as we are seeing a nice band of showers and thunderstorms move through the region. The severe threat is low, but something we need to watch. This band will be forming just west of KC, so we need it to form quickly, so that we can benefit.
FRIDAY NIGHT: After the main band of rain moves by, we should see additional showers and a few thunderstorms as the main upper level storm tracks to our south, putting us in the comma head part of the storm. Now, the comma head will seem to be a bit dysfunctional. Temperatures will be in the 40s and 50s.
SATURDAY: The main storm slowly pulls away, so we should see periods of drizzle, rain showers and perhaps a thunderstorm much of the day as highs reach the 50s and 60s.
RAINFALL FORECAST: The storm system is moving slow enough and taking a great track (to our south) for all of eastern Kansas and western Missouri to see a nice drink of water. However, it has been so dry and we need to “break the ice”. So, it will be interesting to see how this really evolves, but I would be surprised of we did not see at least .25″ to 1.00″ in many locations. This data has the most rain to our east, but it could easily shift west or yes even further east.
If this storm is a disappointment, then we have two to three more chances next week.
Have a great rest of your week.