Good morning bloggers,
There is a slight risk of severe weather over western Kansas later today into tonight, and then there is an increasing risk of severe weather later this weekend into early next week farther east. Before we go into the bigger storm system, we have two chances of rain to discuss. The first one is arriving now with scattered showers and a few thunderstorms possible as you can see on this 6:50 AM radar map:
There is a disturbance moving across eastern Kansas this morning, and then a much stronger disturbance is approaching the area tonight. We still haven’t broken the ice and Kansas City is falling farther behind 0n rainfall. Even this mornings rain is concentrated on the Nebraska border and moving east. Today’s disturbance is actually moving through a ridge and associated with a weak warm front moving through. Tonight’s wave of energy is much stronger and we will be monitoring it closely for thunderstorm development to our west. Thunderstorms and rain will be likely during the first half of Thursday, but again are we in the weakest spot for rainfall? It certainly looks that way to me right now.
The better chance of heavier rainfall will arrive this weekend as a storm approaches:
This weekend storm will be getting caught in a blocking pattern aloft. I discuss this block on the blog at www.weather2020.com. Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.