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Rare Morning Thunderstorm Moving Into KC & A Look At The Gulf Tropical Potential

Good morning bloggers,

Well, we haven’t had many mornings like this one.  Here come some thunderstorms.  We will blog later this morning after this moves by.  Here is the radar as of 6:30 AM:

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There are more thunderstorms behind the leading edge. This is an evolving complex of thunderstorms as a disturbance moves through this morning. A warm front is also approaching from the south. We will look ahead later today into the holiday weekend.

The part of the pattern that Weather2020 predicted to produce a tropical system is arriving in these next seven days as well. Five straight European Model runs have modeled a system in almost the exact spot as projected using the LRC 8 months ago.  The other models have not quite been producing this system like the European model.  Other sources have outlooks out that look just like the Weather2020 one from 8 months ago, an 8 month outlook as good or better than these five to seven day outlooks.  Let’s see how this trends.  Here is the forecast from last nights Euro:

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That system is almost exactly where Weather2020 projected it to be located.  The water temperatures are very warm, in the mid to upper 80s, so conditions may become quite favorable for rapid intensification.  It still needs to form first.  Let’s see how this trends.

Have a great morning. Let’s discuss these thunderstorms and then we will look ahead later today when we get the time to write up a full blog.  Go to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation as we share in this weather experience.

Gary

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