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Rainfall In The Past Five Years

Good morning bloggers,

As we search for some rain today we have had a big problem with getting above average rainfall for years. Our last above average year for precipitation came in 2010, which came after a wet 2009:

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After 2010 it has been a struggle.  Take a look at the last three years:

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If you add in this year’s deficit, then we are 25 inches of rain below average since 2010:

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The overall trend continues to be dry as we are now over 2 inches of rain below average again.  The next good chance of rain is on Easter Sunday. Between now and then it should be pretty nice, especially Friday and Saturday.

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Have a  great day. I am having a very little surgical procedure done today and I will be taking a couple of days off. Have a great Thursday! How about those Royals last night, let’s see if they can get a sweep today.

Gary

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27 comments to Rainfall In The Past Five Years

  • yourmom

    Good luck Gary and we will miss you. Get better immediately!

  • Hume-Dude

    I knew it was more than my imagination, Thanks for putting the numbers together Gary. I guess this would be a good opportunity for someone to tell us how we are not in any drought, nothing to see here, we are getting plenty of rain. Kind of hard to make that claim when looking at these numbers isn’t it? I am more concerned over THIS year and how the growing season will play out, but looking at the trend its not looking so good. The last half of April and May HAVE TO produce some surplus rain or you can expect to pay EVEN more at the grocery store. I am enjoying very high beef prices now as a Rancher, but if I can’t get a decent hay crop to grow I will selling off my herd just like everybody else. 1, 2 ,3 years of drought is one thing, but this is getting ridiculous!

  • j-ox

    25″ deficit = 15.6 gallons/sq ft = 679,536 gallons/acre

    Fun with arithmetic, eh? :-0

    • Hume-Dude

      J-OX – so you are saying a 1″ rain equates to exactly .62 Gallons/sq. foot? That is a very interesting way to look at rainfall I never really thought of, cool

  • Dobber

    Shut the fountains off!

  • lenexa_loon

    16″ of the total shortfall came in 2012, the drought year.
    ’11 and ’13 being a couple of inches below normal is not significant.

    Board poll: can we put our gardens in next week? the long ranger looks pretty warm.

    • Hume-Dude

      I am putting mine out this weekend, but it is 100 miles south of KC. I am hoping I will avoid any future freezes, might have a little cold snap at end of the month that will be close! Gary says wait till May , I think he is trying to be on the safe side for sure.

  • Pete Capone

    I’ve been putting these numbers on the blog for some time now, as the naysayers continue to proclaim, “THE DROUGHT IS OVER!”

    Nice to finally have G-Man make it a subject of a blog. However, Adrian Adonis and D-Bomb will still dispute it, I suspect (judging by D-Bomb’s comment above). BTW, Adrian: Logan’s grounds @ 135th & 69 Hwy are looking pretty ratty. You should get your crew over there.

    Conditions released today:

    Missouri: “http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?MO”

    Kansas: “http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Home/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?KS”

    National:
    “http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/”

  • Hume-Dude

    In MowerMike’s Defense, things are pretty green right now and the impacts are minimal RIGHT NOW. He wants to believe we are not going to have a substantial drought this summer , so I can’t blame for thinking positive. We seem to have a decent rain chance every week , so if a couple of them can manifest into some BIG rains he could very well be right. He is hinging part of his summer outlook on the NW flow we had all winter, he is thinking it will still be there this summer a la LRC. In the summer NW flow USUALLY brings this region T-storm complexes out of S Dakota and Nebraska. HOWEVER , considering the pattern we are entrenched in I can easily see that being an DRY NW flow. I can hear Gary Now ” This NW flow would normally bring us rain, but this time its “tricky” , “ODD”, “WRONG SPOT” , fill in the blank its just flat out not producing. We will see

  • f00dl3

    It’s rather obvious the anticyclone is going to really establish in June. Jet stream will lift north and BAM! Major to Exceptional drought will set in.

  • batman

    Gary best wishes on the procedure. Are you getting fixed because of the pet telethon LOL>

    What we may be in a drought? I think I have heard this before somewhere. I know the most accurate rain gauge says we are in a drought and as f00dl3 stated above it will worsen just like I forecasted. BOOM PLUNK POW SOCK WAM.

  • gardnerks79

    So the drought continues. Now we wait to see if this Summer will produce above average temps. From what I understand the cooler spring temps don’t foreshadow summer temps? We’ll start seeing a new pattern? Hoping for a cool, wet summer but expecting dry and average temps.

    • f00dl3

      I’m thinking we have a hot summer since the anti-cyclone over the desert southwest will set in late June/early July. Summer and Winter have no relation at all – which makes sense when you realize that the Jet Stream is our driving force behind weather in the winter, while during the summer it’s the strength of the anti-cyclone. Cold fronts related to storm systems hundreds of miles to our north can lead to thunderstorms in our area, but if the anti-cyclone is too strong, it caps the upper levels of the atmosphere and prevents these diurnal storms from forming as they ride the “ring of fire” of the anticyclone, thus causing those fronts to “wash out” north of us. Remember – cold fronts are surges of cold air. Rain helps cool air. If the rain does not form due to a strong cap, there is no cool air behind the front, and the front washes out and never rolls through. With the strength of the anti-cyclone in Cali this winter, and ridging off the coast, it’s only obvious that when the jet stream shifts north it’s going to be even harder to get storms to penetrate that ridge.

      • gardnerks79

        f00dl3 thanks for the response and that makes sense but I really really hope you’re wrong. I suspect you’re not.

  • Hume-Dude

    MMIKE says to watch out for stalling fronts in our area, resulting in widespread soakers! Wishful thinking I’m afraid, he is still thinking we are in the 90’s weather pattern. I can remember when it would do that all the time, with cut off low’s to boot! We will get back there eventually, but it may take another year or five if this is truly a ten year drought cycle as Drought Miser has mentioned in the past. Lets hope the cycle is running its course and a wet year will be on the horizon, I will take an AVERAGE year for crying out loud.

  • Hockeynut69

    So how many years are the right number to look back. Those prior two years were above average so over a 5 yr period that is only about 16″ of deficit. I don’t know the answer but just posing the question. Maybe if we go back to 1993, then the average over 21yrs isn’t so bad. For yards in neighborhoods the impact isn’t as bad, especially as others have stated, if you watered your yard and foundation, then you are likely not as much in a deficit overall. Obviously, it does impact the farmers and their crops in a much different way. However, even for some of them, I believe they have shifted what type of product they grow due to the precipitation or lack there of. I know not all have done that and certainly not easy to adjust in a single year but Chicken Littles the sky isn’t falling yet.

  • Hume-Dude

    Hockeynut – Farmers don’t have many options to choose from regarding crops. They have to plant what is selling, and around here that is corn and soybeans. Maybe a little bit of milo here and there. Fact is EVERY crop needs rain , there is no crop we can switch to that does good in drought, nothing. Cattle depend on corn /soy products for feed, we can’t just stop growing them because it has been dry. I could care less about peoples yards, as mean as that might sound I know there are those with a lot of interest in keeping their little yards nice , but there are those of us with 100’s or 1000’s or acres to take care of and the notion of a yard makes us laugh. And when that all turns to dust in a drought, the sky IS falling for us farmers. No animosity intended in this response BTW!

    • Dobber

      Hume…… Doesn’t a drought make the price of grain go up? Be a responsible farmer and set up a pivet to water your crops…. That’s capitalizing off the drought

  • FARMERMIKE

    THATS THE FIRST BIT OF TRUTH I HAVE SEEN IN A LONG TIME!!
    those are the same people who will be complaining when that loaf
    of bread or pound of hambuger will cost them $10 or more.
    no offense but those living in the cities have no idea how dry
    the fields that produce their food really are.

    • gardnerks79

      My grocery bill is at least 30% higher. Aldi’s isn’t even all that cheap anymore. My city friends who love the hot dry summers attribute the higher groceries to the man.

  • Dobber

    I see where bookbinder is changing NWS offices…..

  • Drought Miser

    Maybe the Drought will suffer the same fateas some of our ssnowstorms when they get blogged the go away!!!

  • Emaw

    Drought Miser,

    That’s funny!