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Rain Is Moving Into The Forecast

Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today: Sunny with no chance of rain. Southwest winds lighter than yesterday. High: 85°
  • Tonight: Dry with a few thunderstorms possible near the Iowa and Nebraska borders. Low: 63°
  • Wednesday:  Partly cloudy and warm with a chance of a few thunderstorms. The chance of rain is 40%. High:  82°

Would it shock you to see this rainfall total for KCI Airport so far in the first nine days of the month?  Take a look:

The storm approaching the plains has already helped produce big thunderstorms around Denver, CO yesterday, a heavy snowfall over the Southern California mountains, and now the storm is making a move towards the plains states. The storm is in the part of the pattern that produced the “non ice” ice storm in January. That storm moved into Kansas and then got obliterated, splitting into pieces . This cycle 4 version of this part of the pattern is forecast to do something similar and as a result this is a difficult weather forecast.

Let’s go into detail on the forecast today through Thursday:

TODAY: It will feel more like summer as highs reach the 80s and the humidity increases.  It will be a dry day as the front stalls to the north and remains mostly inactive.

1

WEDNESDAY MORNING: The main front will be well north, but a disturbance will break off of the main storm and track northeast towards our area.  This could bring a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms 5 am to 10 am, give or take 1-2 hours.

2

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: The main front will be well north and stalled.  The morning disturbance will be gone, leaving our region mainly dry, warm and humid.  An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible.

3

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: There will be a 50-80  mile wide zone of very heavy thunderstorms with the chance of flash flooding and quarter sized hail.  It looks like this zone will set up from southeast Nebraska to the Iowa-Missouri border.  This is a northward trend on the latest data.  It is not set in stone and we will know more tomorrow to see how this is going to exactly set up as it could shift north or south by 50-80 miles.  In this scenario the I-70 corridor may be mostly dry or have scattered showers and thunderstorms.

4

THURSDAY: The main storm will be heading into the Plains as the cold front sags south.  So, we will have another day with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs in the 60s and 70s.

5

How much rainfall will occur? In the heavy zone amounts could be be as high as 2″ to 3.  In locations outside of the heavy zone amounts could be as low as trace-.25″ in some areas to over 1.50″ in other areas.  This will be due to the scattered nature of the activity.

The good news is that the storm will be out of here by Friday, paving the way for great weather this weekend for Mother’s day, graduations or any other outdoor activities.

Have a great rest of your Tuesday and week ahead.

Gary and Jeff

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