Good Saturday Morning bloggers,
There is quite a bit of activity in the weather depratment. We have been tracking a storm system off of the southern California coast all week. This storm system is now finally heading northeast towards our region and will arrive later tonight and early Sunday. Also, overnight Arctic air surged southeast across Iowa and northeast Missouri. This is going to make for an interesting set up this weekend. Lets go through the series of events.
First, today will be a calm day with highs around 50° here to 25° in northeast Missouri. Second, the storm system from southern California will race into the region later tonight spreading rain to eastern Kansas and western Missouri around midnight with temperatures near 40°. The rain will head northeast into northeast Missouri by 2-3 AM with temperatures below freezing, so the rain will fall on cities like Kirksville and freeze on contact, freezing rain. This will continue until about 7 AM. Then 7 Am to 6 PM Sunday will see the rain diminish as warm air surges north. KC will come close to 60° by Sunday evening with areas in northeast Missouri warming to 40°. So, it will be a brief ice storm. See MAP 1-5 below for the sequence of events and the Freezing Rain Advisory.
MAP #1: FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI
MAP #2:1230 AM SUNDAY…HERE COMES THE RAIN!
MAP #3: 230 AM SUNDAY…FREEZING RAIN STARTS 80-100 MILES NORTHEAST OF KC
MAP #4: 7 AM SUNDAY…THE MAIN RAIN EXITS TO THE EAST
MAP #5: SUNDAY 6 PM…LOOK AT THE TEMPERATURE, 58°! WITH HUMIDITY! LINGERING SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE.
The other thing to notice, besides the warmer temperatures are the rain gauges. Amounts are around .25″. Keep in mind, we are 20.21″ below average since April 1, 2012. See the map below. It would take about 100 storm systems like this to end the drought over the course of a few months. This is unrealistic. We need wetter storm systems and this pattern is not capable of them. It will take this pattern to somehow be wetter during the Spring. We are not prepared to say that at this time.
Have a great weekend!