Good morning bloggers.
Did you like the rain last night? The sound of rain hitting the rooftops and windows almost sounded foreign as it’s been so rare lately.
Here are the rainfall totals:
Today we’re drying out with off and on cloud cover. Highs will be in the upper 50s. It’ll be cooler tomorrow as a weak December cold front moves through. Sunday’s highs will be in the 40s. While cooler, it’s still slightly warmer than average for this time of year.
Temperatures will get a little more mild into the middle of next week, with Wednesday once again hitting the 50s. We’ll then be poised for another cold front to move through Wednesday night. This one will be stronger.
The above map is from the GFS forecasting model for Thursday morning at midnight. The front will likely pass KC dry i.e. without dropping any precipitation over the metro. We’ll watch future forecasts in case they’re a little more aggressive at bringing any snow down to KC in this time frame. Right now, my forecast is for any snow to stay north of KC, and any rain to fire southeast. This would be a repeat of just about every other storm that’s passed the Central Plains within the last 2 months (with the exception of last night’s storm that brought the overnight rain).
The air behind the front will be cold enough to drop daytime temperatures to the 30s for the end of the week.
Between then and Christmas, no big storms are showing up in the long range computer models that could bring KC some good snow. At this point, we’re still looking at a less than 5% chance for a white Christmas this year.
Based on Kansas City records, there were 20 Christmas Days with 1″+ of snow on the ground since 1888. That gives us a 16% average for having a white Christmas in KC. The last time we had a white Christmas was 3 years ago in 2009. That year, 6″ of snow sat on the ground after 3″+ fell that day alone and 9″+ fell over a 3-day span.
We’ll have an update to our forecast at 5 pm, including the chance that Wednesday night’s front could bring any snow. Have a great Saturday.