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Powerful Storm Begins Forming

Good morning bloggers,

A powerful storm will emerge out over the plains by later tonight into Wednesday and then intensify into another one of those “bomb cyclones”.  As this system deepens, heavy snow will begin forming over the northern plains, and blizzard conditions are likely. Here are the watches, warnings, and advisories issued this morning:

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The surface pressure at the center of this major storm is forecast to drop to 975 mb which is equivalent to 28.79″.  This year’s LRC already produced one of the strongest surface lows ever recorded in a similar location of Kansas a few weeks ago, and here we are again as this pattern is producing another one.  In the last cycle, a storm similar to this one around 47 days ago produced a major snowstorm as well.  We were in the middle of our snow forecasting contest at this time in the last cycle.  Las Vegas, NV had snow and this time they have a High Wind Warning.  For KC, this time it means wind as well and very little chance of any rain or snow at all from this storm as to tracks a bit farther north.  36″ of snow may fall near the Missouri River upstream and it is being monitored closely, as the snow melt will be significant once again right into the Missouri River.

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There will be some severe weather risks from this system. It will be lacking low level moisture on Wednesday, and then there will be a bit better conditions for severe thunderstorms on Thursday off to the east.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Mostly sunny. Another great day with southeast winds 5-15 mph. High:  75°
  • Wednesday:  Periods of clouds, warm, and windy. South winds increasing to 30 mph or stronger. High:  80°
  • Thursday: Turning colder with the winds shifting to the west, and then northwest gusting to 50 mph.  Temperatures dropping into the 40s later in the day.
  • Friday-Saturday: A freeze is likely both mornings, with Saturday having some settling of the air near the ground with frost possible.  Temperatures will drop into the 20s during the mornings.

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As you can see above, this is a pretty strong freeze that is forecast to develop Saturday morning.  A freeze is possible Friday morning too, and that will be with some wind, so it won’t allow for settling of the cold air near the ground.  By Saturday morning, there is a better chance of some freeze damage.

There is another storm on the heals of this one and the models are all over the place on the track of the rain and snow. We will discuss this next storm in the next few days.  Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to read the comments and join in the conversation.

Gary

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