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Powerful Category 4 Hurricane Michael, 15″ Of Rain Near KC, & What’s Next?

Good morning bloggers,

Topping the weather news is powerful CAT 4 Major Hurricane Michael taking aim on Florida this morning.  This verifies another incredible prediction made by Weather2020 months ago. If you remember in May, Weather2020 put out a press release with this prediction:  “there is a 90 percent chance that Florida will have at least one hurricane make landfall this season.  Applying this innovative technique, the target hot spot for hurricane activity near the United States this season is over the northeast Gulf of Mexico and Florida“.  The predicted “hot spot”, which is the location each year where Weather2020 predicts will have the most likely hurricane landfalls, extended from North Carolina to New Orleans.  It was also predicted that Texas would have a very quiet hurricane season, since it was not in the hot spot, and this was an important prediction after last years, also predicted 55 days before it formed to happen within five days of the eclipse, Major Hurricane Harvey.  Major Hurricane Michael has become quite powerful and may still reach CAT 5 strength.

Major Hurricane Michael at 6:40 AM Central Time (7:40 AM eastern):

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This prediction was made in January (left) to form around September 1st in the cycling pattern described by the LRC.  And, this is now the fourth time this season a storm has gone almost directly over this predicted spot. Tropical Storm Gordon, as highly predicted 8- months in advance; Subtropical Storm Alberto which formed right on cycle in May; Hurricane Nate, around a year ago; and Major Hurricane Michael.  Another incredible prediction by using the LRC!

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There has never been a CAT 4 storm to make landfall on the Florida Panhandle, and it appears this will be the first one ever.  Imagine having months time to prepare, as they did have by using the LRC prediction.

Now imagine getting 15 inches of rain near KC during the first 10 days of October.  This is what just happened.  The weather pattern had the massive change, and I think we will all agree that we had massively different results than anything we have experienced in the past few years. Oh, we have had isolated rainfall amounts that were excessive, but this wide spread? No way!  Olathe may have gotten that one more hundredth to reach 10″ of rain overnight.

Rainfall Totals as of yesterday evening: 

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A few spots have come in at over a foot of rain in this past week and even some reports of 15 inches around Overland Park.  I raced back from Las Vegas to get here in time to track the band of heavy showers and thunderstorms and there was one tornado warning. Maybe there should have been a second one for Johnson county as we have had some videos come in showing what appears to be a tornado on the ground just west of I-35 between Olathe and Shawnee, KS.  You can see a well defined hook echo in this fast moving small cell at 3:30 PM yesterday.  We showed this on the air, and there was never a warning for it, and maybe it should have been warned?

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Conditions were favorable for tornadoes yesterday, and take a look at the storm reports from the Storm Prediction Center:

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There were 26 tornado reports, and very few hail reports.  I thought tornadoes were the main threat yesterday, and this is what ended up happening.  Okay, so what is next in line?

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Mostly cloudy with some misty drizzle this morning.  High:  55°
  • Thursday: The low will be near 36°, then sunny and nice.  High:  56°
  • Friday: Cloudy with a 90% chance of rain. High:  49°
  • New England Forecast in Boston on Sunday night:  It looks great for Sunday Night Football with light winds and seasonal temperatures in Boston Sunday night! Go Chiefs!
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This forecast map above shows Hurricane Michael, still organized on Friday, Tropical Storm Sergio crossing over the warm waters of the Gulf of California, and another rain event, a cool rain event this time predicted to be centered over the wet grounds around our region in Kansas City. Temperatures are likely to be in the 4os Friday with this rain, which is now up to a 90% chance of happening. It will be time to turn on the furnace.

It is looking nice with light winds on Sunday night for the big game between the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs and New England. A Chiefs victory would put them in the drivers seat for home field throughout the playoffs. I know it is early, and it is fun to watch this team play lead by Patrick Mahomes.  He has gotten so popular that NBC is having a second Sunday night in a row featuring the Chiefs when the Bengals come to town a week from Sunday. A big test is ahead of this team.

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to the Weather2020 blog and let us know if you have any questions.  Here is the link to the Weather2020 blog:  Weather2020 blog

Gary

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