Quantcast

A Mostly Dry Storm System Approaches

Good morning,

A storm system will move across the Kansas/Missouri state line this evening at the surface, with the upper level storm moving by overnight. This will bring us some strong south winds today ahead of the storm as the pressure gradient is pretty strong and the pressures fall. Here is a surface forecast for later this afternoon:

2

There is  pretty decent chance of a few showers this evening and overnight as the upper level storm moves by, but this is really more of  wind producing storm for us, and when the wind shifts to the north tonight it should make some noise as it rattles the windows a bit.

After this goes by, another warm-up is likely Thursday before a pretty strong and dry cold front moves through Friday evening.  Have a terrific Tuesday!

Gary

Nice St. Patrick’s Day!

Happy St. Patrick’s Day Bloggers,

4

It is a cold start to St. Patrick’s Day and if you are setting up for the parade or heading on out there today get that coat ready early. The weather will improve by later this morning with temperatures warming all the way into the 50s this afternoon.  Spring begins later this week and it will feature a warming trend with temperatures approaching 70 degrees again by Thursday.

The flow aloft is unblocked and moving fast and there will be a fast moving storm that will likely track north of KC on Tuesday. Here is a surface forecast map valid at 1 PM tomorrow:

1

This storm will likely go by dry in our region.  The pattern will remain dry this week.  Have a great morning and please remember to get that designated driver on this St. Patrick’s Day!

Gary

Snow In Kansas City Early This Morning

Good Sunday morning bloggers,

Snow is falling across the entire KC metro area early this morning. There is one really nice band of snow moving across, and temperatures are just now dropping to 32°.  The temperatures will likely continue to fall to near 30° or into the upper 20s during the next few hours, but the significant snow will push to the south by mid to late morning.  Here is the precipitation shield as it was increasing at 5:45 AM:

Radar

The radar echoes were rotating south to southwest around the larger circulation, but also pushing south.  You can see a few of the snowflakes in this picture of Breezy and Stormy:

Snow dogs

Here is the surface map that was not very organized last night at just after 6 PM last night:

1

It was 70 degrees with thunderstorms forming last night, and this next map shows the much more organized storm and snow falling in Kansas City at 6 AM:

3

The bands of snow will continue developing with everything eventually pushing off to the south and east.  Have a great morning and bundle up if you are heading outside.  Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog!

Gary

Saturday Night Update: Surface Pattern Is Unique

Good evening bloggers,

Who is up tonight?  We will be tracking a developing storm that is unique to this LRC season.  Take a look at this 6 PM surface map:

1

Take a look at the top of the map. Here it comes. 28° air is blasting south right now. This is incredible!  Now what will happen in KC.  The surface map that I just plotted is just so all over the place.

There will likely be a few thunderstorms, then some snowflakes, a cold blast, and then we can begin thinking more seriously about spring!

Gary

March Madness Hits Again!

Good morning bloggers,

Earlier in the week, on Tuesday, it went from 80° to snowing within 6 hours, with rain, thunderstorms, hail, and sleet as well.  This next weather set-up has the potential to do something similar.

5

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Now-4 PM:  Mostly sunny with a south breeze at 5 to 15 mph, with gusts to 22 mph.  High:  72°
  • 4 PM-8 PM:  Increasing clouds with a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms developing.  The wind gradually shifting to the east or northeast at 5-15 mph.  8 PM Temperature:  63°
  • 8 PM-Midnight:  Mostly cloudy to cloudy with a 70% chance of a few showers, and possibly a thunderstorm.  Wind shifting to the north at 20-30 mph. Midnight Temperature:  38°
  • Midnight-5 AM:  A 50% chance of showers with falling temperatures.  There is a chance of a mixture of precipitation.  North winds 15-30 mph creating cold wind chills.  5 AM Temperature 32°
  • 5 AM-Noon Sunday:  Very cold & windy with a 70% chance of a mixture of precipitation changing to snow before tapering off.  North winds 15-30 mph with wind chills near 10 degrees.  There is a chance of minor accumulations as temperatures drop to below freezing.  Right now it appears that there is a chance of a dusting to an inch, but there may be a narrow band that has more than an inch.  Temperatures dropping into the 20s.

 Weather Discussion:

The storm that will be responsible for bringing us this variety of weather is really not going to be very organized and for this reason alone there are still a lot of questions on how this will come together, but one thing seems certain that by 9 AM Sunday a huge precipitation shield and comma head will be developing just south and southeast of Kansas City.  Here is a map we showed on 41 Action News last night:

2

As you can tell, just by looking at the above map, this is really going to become an organized storm that will produce a lot of precipitation south and southeast of Kansas City.  The forecast is a lot easier in many spots, but not here.

The things we know for certain:

  1. Today will be incredibly nice with temperatures warming into the 70s
  2. We will experience a strong cold front and cold blast tonight with temperatures dropping into the 20s

The things that are not clear at the moment:

  1. Will there be any organized precipitation in our viewing area at all, even with the rain part of this storm? We just aren’t in the right spot
  2. After the cold air arrives, will there be any organization of any precipitation in our viewing area?

The new data has come in and the time-line at the beginning is still valid. We are on the edge again.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.  Let us know if you have any questions or comments.  Check back in between now and noon for updates as we continue to analyze this storm system, and try to enjoy this beautiful day. We are now experiencing another rather dramatic 24 hours of weather. Thank you for sharing it with us in such a positive way!

Gary

The Weekend Forecast Has A Split Personality

Good morning bloggers,

We have a tough weekend forecast to sort through. The weekend will seem to have a split weather personality with great weather Saturday followed by a much colder and windy Sunday with possibly a winter storm system affecting us.

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today: Mostly sunny & slightly cooler.  Breezy with southwest winds shifting to the northwest at 10-25 mph.   High:  63°
  • Tonight:  Clear and cold. It will be a nice evening at the Big 12 Championship. Low:  37
  • Saturday:  Increasing clouds late. Very nice with lighter winds.  High:  71°
  • Sunday:  Cloudy with a chance of rain or snow.  High:  37°

Weather Discussion:

The models have had widely varying solutions for how a storm will develop over the weekend.  We will have to see how this energy comes over the Rocky Mountains before we get a better handle on Sunday’s storm system.  Here is one model that came out last night showing the complex upper level weather pattern valid Sunday morning.  The jet stream will be diving south over western Kansas Sunday which will help carve out a developing storm system, but how this forms will decide how much precipitation we receive Sunday.  One thing that seems certain is that we will get another rather strong cold blast:

1

We will look deeper into this system early this afternoon.  Have a great day. It’s FRIDAY!

Gary

Very Nice Through Saturday, But Sunday…

Good Thursday morning bloggers,

The Big 12 Championship is in town and it could not be timed any better as the weather will be almost perfect today, Friday and Saturday.  There will be abundant sunshine, not that much wind and highs 60° or higher.

It is not just nice here, but all across the United States.

1

Here is the forecast through Saturday with the Sprint Center and P&L in the background.  This is a shot from our One Park Place Condominiums Skyview.

2

The weather becomes more complex Saturday night and Sunday.  This will make the second half of the weekend not nearly as nice.  Now Saturday will be a very nice day with highs well into the 60s and a light wind.  However, while we are enjoying the great weather, cold blasts will be approaching from the northwest and northeast, the walls will be closing in on us. As these fronts head towards us, a storm system will be dropping southeast through the Rockies into the southern Plains.  Rain and thunderstorms will form across Oklahoma and Texas.  Our region will be on the northern edge of the influence of the storm system.  However, due to the converging fronts and the proximity of the storm system, we will have a chance for a few showers/thunderstorms Saturday night.  Then, Sunday will be windy and colder with highs in the 30s and 40s.  An area of rain and even wet snow will be possible to the south, not that far away, as the storm system organizes in the southern Plains.  We will have to watch this closely.

Here is the surface forecast map for 7 PM Saturday.  The cold fronts are approaching!

4

Have a great day and enjoy the nice weather!

Jeff Penner

 

A quiet weather pattern for now!

Good evening bloggers,

It’s inching closer to Snake Saturday and St. Patrick’s Day, and the weather is looking nice!  Unfortunately, the stormy part of the pattern will be returning near the end of the month, and it is timed for the first week or two of Major League Baseball. Weather2020 issued a press release earlier this week with the weather forecasts for all of the opening day games.  You can read it here:  Major League Baseball’s Opening Day Forecasts

This next storm system is likely going to go around Kansas City as energy dives in to our west.  A cold front will move through Saturday night, and after a brief cold spell Sunday, it warms up big time again by around Monday.  The pattern is still cycling, and the later March into April version will produce increasing chances of thunderstorms with possibly some severe weather, and still a chance of one or two more winter storms.

Have a great day, and we will update the blog later this morning.

Gary

Great Weather Returns For The Big 12 Championship

Good morning bloggers,

We just experienced a rather rare weather day in Kansas City history.  It went from 80° to snow in just six to eight hours across the KC metro area:

2

KCI Airport received 0.44″ liquid last night which is very nice, but we will need more.  It will mostly be dry for a while until the Super Bowl part of the weather pattern approaches and cycles back through later this month.

Have a great day and we will go over the details on 41 Action News today and tonight. We are broadcasting live from the Big 12 Championship the next few days!

Gary

Rapid Evening Development: Snow, Rain, & Thunderstorms!

Good evening bloggers,

9 PM Update:

It’s snowing in St. Joseph at 9 PM with winds gusting to 38 mph. We will be tracking this area of snow, rain, and thunderstorms at 10 PM!

I was just on the air at 6 PM, Jack Harry is finishing his sports now. During the past hour we have had rapid development of rain and it is continuing to increase.  Here is the 7 PM surface map showing the colder air moving in, but this is far from an Arctic blast this time. Less than two weeks ago it was 2 degrees outside and sleeting, and today it was near 80° and now we are talking snow.

7 PM

The precipitation continues to increase. I will post a radar map here around 8 PM. Let’s track this together.

2

The band of snow to our northwest is heading directly towards Kansas City. Today’s high was 80 degrees! Wow! And, it just may snow before midnight.  We will  have all of the details on 41 Action News at 10 PM.

Gary