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Two Strong Storm Systems Are Lining Up

Good morning bloggers,

Winter Forecast Pattern December 1This was our vision of the dominant storm track for the winter.  This is the dominant storm track that we shared with you in November for the winter season, and now we are moving into spring.   The same pattern will continues, as described by the LRC, through this spring and summer and all the way into early fall. The first big difference as we move into later March, April, and May will be the significant shift northward of the path of snow, as the cold air gradually retreats.  Yes, it is actually beginning to warm up a bit in response to the longer days. I shared some numbers last night on the 6:30 PM newscast showing that these next seven days are 141 degrees warmer than the first seven days of March.  I added all of the highs up and it was 341 degrees in these next seven days compared to 200 degrees in the first seven days of March.  I am not sure if it really made sense to the viewers, as I was just trying to come up with something that looks positive, as we have so many cloudy and stormy days in the forecast.

So, this was our projection of the pattern based on only part of that first LRC cycle, and this is the pattern developing now, below:

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As you can see on the right, this next map shows a pattern that is falling right into place, into the anchor troughs of this years LRC.  This is not this weekends storm. It is the strong and wetter storm for next week.  This is the type of  “look” that concerns me when we get to May.  If you are a storm chaser, this type of “look” is a good one for severe weather risks and set ups, with the potential for a major outbreak of severe weather.  I remember seeing a look like this in the 2002-2003 LRC.  And, we had a huge severe weather week in May that year.  I have seen other part of this years LRC that has this look as well.  Just something to think about today.  We will project forward in our spring forecast later next month.

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These next two maps, above, show tomorrow’s storm system.  A rather powerful surface cyclone will be developing, intensifying, and ejecting out into the plains states.  As that surface low tracks just northwest of KC Saturday, we may get that brief surge to near 60 degrees after morning thunderstorms move by, and a major snowstorm will be tracking north of KC. We haven’t had many storm systems with no chance of snow in KC in the past few months. Well, finally, this is another sign of spring.

And, then we get this set up just a few days later:

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This is the mid-next week set up and that is a strong line of thunderstorms predicted to be on our doorstep next Wednesday morning.  We are now at the time of the year where we will be monitoring closely for the thermodynamic set up (surface dew point and temperature) for potential severe weather. At first glance this looks like a severe weather set up, but for KC this is early in the morning and it will be a bit cool.  Let’s keep monitoring this incredible weather pattern closely.

Have a great day!

Gary

A Wet Seven Days Is In The Forecast

Good morning bloggers,

A friend sent me an email yesterday morning, or maybe it was a Facebook message as now a days the communication comes from all over the place.  A writer for the Kansas City Star wrote a story about our winter weather forecast we issued last fall and mentioned the LRC many times. Take a look:

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Here is the link to the article if it is hard to read here:  LRC Validation Article

The LRC is the centerpiece of the big atmospheric puzzle, the organization to the chaos.  El Niño just strengthened in the past week with the 3.4 region rising to 1.1°C above average over the tropical Pacific Ocean.  El Niño has been rather weak all season until now, with that current rise in temperatures.  We have now been sharing examples day after day that this pattern is cycling regularly according to the LRC, and this “same pattern” continues now.  El Niño is an influence, however, and likely one of the stronger ones. There are other influences too, and regardless of these influences, something bigger is going on that ties it all together, and this is what we have been sharing with you on this blog for nearly 20 years now (I believe it is around 17 years ago when we started this blog.  As Sherry Kuehl so articulately wrote in this posted article, the winter forecast has been spot on and almost perfect for KC.  We will grade the winter forecast in April when we finally have had our last snow. Yes, it is likely going to snow again in KC. It came close to snowing last night:

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This radar map shows the snow bending north and east of KC this morning. We finally missed a storm, or did we? We may get a little drizzle from this system tonight.

Today’s 6 PM Surface Forecast Map:

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The next wave of energy, in this seemingly relentless stormy pattern, is zipping out into the plains tonight.  As you can see above, there is a surface low forecast to be near TCC (Tucumcari, NM) at 6 PM this evening.  A warm front will be just south of KC and the little bit of snow will be located in a strip over Iowa and Illinois. Some light drizzle may develop later this afternoon near KC as this system weakens and zips by. It will then fall apart and get absorbed into a much larger storm heading our way this weekend. And, it will be followed up by another stronger storm early next week.

Rainfall forecast in the next seven days:

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Some areas may get an entire months worth of rain in these next seven days.  In KC, most of the models have around 2 to 3 inches of rain forecast by one week from today.  As we move into spring, we are much more concerned this year for flooding, than what we were predicting last year with the drought.  There will be no drought this spring, that is for certain.  And, we are predicting a few rather classic severe weather set ups in the next two months.  I have seen a few set ups that will bring some significant severe weather risks to traditional tornado alley.  For now, the cold weather is saving our area from having an early severe weather set up, and we will be monitoring each one of these storm systems closely.  Even Saturday, there is a good chance of a surge of 60 degree air to make it north into the KC metro area after a wave of rain and thunderstorms moves by and before a cold front sweeps in.  We will go in-depth into this set up on 41 Action News tonight.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today:  Periods of clouds mixed with a little bit of sunshine.  High: 30s north to 40s south
  • Tonight: The wind shifting to the north with some drizzle possible this evening. It will likely be above freezing while the drizzle falls, and we need to pay close attention to the temperatures and any light precipitation that forms.
  • Friday: Mostly cloudy. High:  41°
  • Saturday:  A 100% chance for rain, and a few thunderstorms are possible.  The rain will likely end before noon with 1/4″ to 3/4″ of rain possible.  Temperatures will warm to near 55 or 60 degrees briefly around noon to 2 PM before the colder air moves back in.

Have a great day, and thank you for sharing in this weather experience. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

Tracking Three More Storm Systems

Good Wednesday bloggers,

Gary mentioned five storm systems the next 15 days. We will go over three of those that will occur in the next 7 days. First, this morning, we dropped to the single digits in many locations. Could this be the last day of the season that we drop that low? We could still see many more days with lows in the teens. The last record low in the single digits is on March 26th, so we still have to watch it as a very cold outbreak is possible in about 10 days. The average low is 30°!

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You can see the next three storm systems on satellite as they are lined up out in the Pacific Ocean like planes at O’hare. Let’s take them one at a time.

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TONIGHT-EARLY THURSDAY: A band of accumulating snow will track across Nebraska, Iowa and far northern Missouri. We should stay dry in the KC area. A warm front to the south will not make it through with this storm system.

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Here is a closer look at the snow later tonight. Maryville to Chillicothe to Kirksville may see a dusting to 2″. The band of snow could shift north-south by 20-40 miles. KC will stay dry with lows in the 20s.

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THURSDAY PM/NIGHT: It will be mostly cloudy with the snow exiting and then possibly returning to northern Missouri as a second disturbance trails the system from tonight. A light mix is possible around the I-70 corridor. Right now we do not expect any road issues as temperatures should be just warm enough and the precipitation will not last too long. That being said, we still need to keep an eye on it.Technically, it is a separate system, but it is also connected a bit to the first one. So, we will call all of this system #1.

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SNOWFALL FORECAST TONIGHT-THURSDAY: Nebraska and southern South Dakota will see 6-12″ of snow with 1″-5″ for the rest of Nebraska and Iowa.  Far northern Missouri will see a dusting to 2″. It is rather close to KC, but should stay north, just north of St. Joseph.

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FRIDAY: We are in between storm systems #1 and #2. It will be cloudy and cold with highs in the 30s.

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SATURDAY MORNING: The second system comes barreling through with a period of rain and thunderstorms. The rain-snow line is north of I-80. We could see .25″ to 1″ of rain as the rain moves across the region. Hopefully, we will see enough to wash off the salt and stuff from the roads. Now, this is not the only weather this storm will bring. There are two other features to look at. We will see a lot of wind and also, look at the temperatures. We should get to the low 50s Saturday morning as the warm sector races towards our region.

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SATURDAY AFTERNOON: After the rain, the sun should come out as we get into the warm sector. Highs have a chance to jump to 60° and remain there for an hour or two as it is a small, fast-moving warm sector. It will be windy and may not last long, but beggars can’t be choosy.

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SUNDAY: The second system is racing away as we see more sun and less wind, but highs only around 40°. The third system is entering the southwest USA and will bring rain Tuesday and Wednesday. This rain may start as freezing rain/snow and/or end as snow.  We will keep an eye on this one.

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Have a great rest of your week.

Jeff Penner

Five Storm Systems In The Next 15 Days

Good morning bloggers,

The cycling pattern according to the LRC supports five storm systems in the next 15 days.  A few of these storm systems will likely be quite strong, and  a couple of weaker ones will track across the nation as well. The next storm system is moving into the west coast tonight into Wednesday and it will zip out into the plains on Thursday.

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This storm will produce snow close to the Iowa/Missouri border, and possibly a few sprinkles or light rain showers near KC Thursday evening.  So, we will not have our 41st date with snowflakes this season.  Kansas City has now had 40 days with at least a trace of snow at KCI Airport. Take a look at this incredible number of days with snow, beginning with the earliest recorded measurable snow in KC history:

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The storm following this one is stronger, and wetter, and then the one following that, storm #3 in this series is even wetter and possibly stronger early next week.  There will be warmer surges ahead of these storm systems and one of those surges will arrive early Saturday with a chance of it warming up to near 60 degrees briefly around noon Saturday.  We will look deeper into this pattern tomorrow and on 41 Action News tonight.

Have a great day.

Gary

Let’s Look Ahead On This Frigid March Morning

Good morning bloggers,

Sunny Stats

Sunny The Weather Dog shows us some of the March 4th stats.  Kansas City International Airport was in a heavier snow band early Sunday morning and the official snowfall total has come in at 2.8″.  This puts KC up to just under 30″ for the season. Does anyone think this is our last snowfall?  From around this point forward, KC averages around 2.5 more inches of snow, and this years LRC supports a few more pretty good chances.  One of those chances is going to be arriving this week, in three days actually.

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This map shows one of the model solutions valid Thursday morning. This shows a mixture of precipitation near KC with snow just north of Kansas City around noon Thursday.

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Where is spring? It is right there, just southwest of KC on Thursday, and yet so far away.  While KC is near 32 degrees Thursday it will be in the 70s over parts of Oklahoma and Texas.  The next storm system will bring in a surge of warmer and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico:

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The dew point temperatures are forecast to surge to near 50 degrees by early Saturday morning as this next storm approaches. This will be the fuel for rain and thunderstorms as you can see on this forecast map:

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March came in and continues to roar like a lion.  The southeast had a tornado outbreak yesterday with deadly results. Over 20 people lost their lives and this is more than the total number of people killed by tornadoes in 2018.  When this part of the pattern cycles through in late April, we will have even worse severe weather set ups, and flooding will become in increasing threat. Speaking of flooding being a threat, take a look at this from the National Weather Service in Los Angeles for this week:

Screen Shot 2019-03-04 at 7.41.04 AM

Is this weather wearing you out yet? Are you ready for spring?  Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Let us know if you have any questions as we have a great conversation on Weather2020.com  Have a great day!

Gary

Tracking Today’s Snowstorm

Good morning bloggers,

It is 2:40 AM and I just got 5 hours of sleep, and now Sunny The Weather Dog and I are ready to take in this snowstorm, and enjoy it to its fullest.  The first snowflakes will begin falling in Kansas City before 4 AM, and the disturbance is taking a nice track to bring KC the predicted snowfall amounts, likely close to 3″ near the city.  Let’s see what happens and I will check in later.  Watch the hole on radar fill in as the snow finally reaches the ground near Topeka, KS, and then you can see the leading edge approaching KC:

Here was the forecast snowfall amounts that I posted yesterday. Let’s see how this pans out:

Snow Forecasts

8 AM Update: 

Sunny BodeeSunny didn’t mind the cold at all as she met Bodee, 14 years old this morning.   This storm is just about over, as of 8 AM, with one rather heavy band of snow over Linn county, near the state line heading east into Cass & Bates counties on the Missouri side. 1 to 2 inches is possible in this final band.  The one thing that appears to have not materialized was the expected 4″+ band down south. Just looking at radar overnight, there was some decent snow down there, and depending on what this last band produces, they may get up to 4″ or  so.

I measured just over 2″, and this one is a harder one to measure as the wind has been blowing the snow and drifting the snow in spots up to almost a foot in a few locations. So, it may seem like an inch or so, and then you will see a drift 6″ to 1 foot deep.  I would say 2.2″ on the Plaza, with a little more on the way.  Let us know how much snow you received.

There is an enhanced slight risk of severe weather over the deep south as this system moves east.  Here is the outlook from the Storm Prediction Center:

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And, then what is next? The models are all over the place with an interesting set up for Thursday, and then the next stronger storm is due in next weekend. The track of both of these storm systems will decide whether we have another chance of snow in our near future, or potential thunderstorms next weekend, or both?  We will look deeper into these set ups soon. Here is the FV3 GFS for Thursday:

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This Thursday system is somewhat caught in a ridge, so it is rather suspect at the moment for the KC region.

Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Let us know if you have any questions and join the conversation on the Weather2020 blog.

Gary

Saturday Evening Updated Snowfall Forecast

Good evening bloggers,

Here we go again.  For most of us that love snow, and love to track it, let’s admit it. Until it begins falling, you wonder if it is really going to happen.  After the past four winters, where we had 14.1″, 7.7″, 5.9″, and 4.9″, it has been hard to enjoy the ride of winter.  Many of us love winter as our favorite season for one reason………these snow chances. And, this winter has not disappointed us. Again, however, now please admit it, I know you are shaking your head yes; there are many times even in the blizzard on November 25th, and the big January 12th snowstorm, not to mention just about every one of them, there are moments when you look at radar and think, “oh no, it’s falling apart. It’s going to miss us?”.  Well, this season, then a few minutes to hours later shook you out of that first stage of tracking the radar as a storm approaches, and then it came through. This is what this year’s LRC is all about. Kansas City has actually been in the right spot. Finally. Well, it doesn’t cure us from doing it again. The data came out, and the amounts came down. This is why I have been trying very hard to help you with your expectations on this storm. It is a fast mover, and it is still targeting our area. We may end up with just 1 or 2″, and more likely 3″ or so. Keep this amount in perspective when you compare it to the past four winters.

Okay, I am not sure I even made sense. I am trying to help all of you with the best weather forecast, the most consistent weather forecast. I did not issue a Winter Storm Watch a couple of days ago, and I think that happened in response to potential snow ratios or something. This storm has not budged from how it has looked to me. There is a main disturbance with waves of energy spinning around it as you can see below on the 2 AM map.  Those orange areas show vorticity, and when it increases along one of those black lines, the constant height lines, then it is called PVA, or Positive Vorticity Advection. This is pretty strong on the latest NAM model.  This PVA causes lifting, or rising motion, and thus if there is enough moisture, snow:

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Counter acting the PVA is cold advection. If the cold air is blasting in strong enough, it causes the air to sink. So, the PVA is balanced by the Cold Air Advection. Does this make sense to you?  On this next map, it is important that we maintain an easterly component to the wind, this implies some warm advection or neutral advection is happening, and thus the PVA can dominate and our large area of snow will form:

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In may analysis, also fo 4:30 PM, I decided on this snowfall forecast. And, this is consistent with what we have been sharing you on the blog the entire time.  We are forecasting 2-3 inches north metro and 3-4 inch south metro. We still have to watch for that middle heavy band that will form, IF that vort max is just a bit stronger and holds together long enough.  If not, these amounts could be 1″ lower. If it does, these amounts could be 1″ higher.

Snow Forecasts

So, here we are. It likely won’t spread in until around 2 or 3 AM. I am going to get some sleep form 8:30 PM to 1 AM, as I LOVE SNOW.  How about you?  The wind will pick up during the morning too, so if there is 2 to 4 inches across the city, there may be 6″ to 1 foot drifts.  Let’s have some fun with this, be careful, and we will look ahead as this active winter weather pattern is not calming down. It is March Madness as March is coming in like a LION.  Have a great day!  Go over to the Weather2020.com blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

The 23rd Winter Event

Good Saturday bloggers,

Here we go again. Our next and 23rd winter event that has required some kind of treatment from salting to shoveling arrives tonight. If you have plans today and this evening the roads will be dry as the snow does not start until midnight to 2 AM. Now, once it starts, the roads will get slick quick.

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The storm that will affect us is still in California as of Saturday morning, so yes, it is a quick mover. That is one reason our snowfall totals will be kept down a bit. A disturbance in Nebraska is producing snow there, but will not affect our region. There may be a few snowflakes in northern Missouri this afternoon.

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The Winter Storm Watch for our area has been downgraded to a Winter Weather Advisory as amounts will not be quite high enough to warrant a Winter Storm Warning. The Winter Storm Warning covers much of Kansas along I-70. So, travel is not recommended out there tonight into Sunday. Blowing snow will be a hazard through Sunday and there is nothing to stop the wind out in Kansas. The north wind will keep blowing snow over I-70, making it hard to clear. I am sure parts of I-70 may get closed. There are no advisories at this time for far northern Missouri.

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Let’s go through the storm.

NOW TO 4 PM: It will be dry with highs in the 20s. The wind will increase from the north and northeast to 10-25 mph.

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SATURDAY 4-10 PM: It will be dry around here as snow rapidly increases in western Kansas. Temperatures will be in the low to mid 20s with wind chill values around 10.

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SATURDAY 10 PM-MIDNIGHT: The first snowflakes will arrive by midnight as temperatures drop to the teens and the wind increases from the north to 15-25 mph. So, the roads are mostly dry until midnight. If you are out though, bundle up as wind chill values tonight will drop to near zero.

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SUNDAY 2-8 AM: This is the main part of the storm as snow will be falling heavy at times. Notice, that the heaviest snow is from around I-70 south. Far northern Missouri will have much less snow, but it will still be slick and frigid. So, even though there is no advisory way up north, still use caution if you are up there tonight and Sunday. Even 1″ of snow can cause problems.

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SUNDAY 8 AM-NOON: The snow will end quickly from west to east with blowing snow continuing. Winds will be from the north at 15-25 mph dropping wind chill values to as low as -10. The sun will peek out by afternoon.

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MONDAY: The low will drop below zero in Kansas City for just the 9th time in March in 131 years of records. A northwest wind of 10-15 mph will bring wind chill values down to as low as -20. Monday afternoon will see sunshine, but highs will be just 10-15 with wind chill values still as low as -10.

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Here is our snowfall forecast. Pick out your location, or the location nearest to you.

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If the storm system is stronger, then we can possibly add 1″ to 2″ to the totals shown above. We will monitor this as the storm evolves.

Have a great weekend and stay safe and warm.

Jeff Penner

Winter Storm Watch: Saturday Night-Sunday Morning

Good morning bloggers,

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch for the KC metro area. This is for Saturday night into Sunday morning.  I am not as bullish on snowfall totals as there is still concern for the northern edge of this system being a bit too close for comfort. I am still expecting the potential and likely 2″ to 5″ snowfall accumulation over the KC metro area. The only way it will go over the 4 or 5 inches is if the main disturbance tracks closer to KC and is a bit more organized than most of the models are showing.

Winter Watch

The Winter Storm Watch extends from parts of western Kansas east across the KC metro area and into central Missouri east to western Illinois.  We have had a few I-70 snowstorms this winter and this looks like another one. Kansas City may very well be closer to the northern edge of the storm, and this is one of my concerns. How close will this northern edge be?  Will it be on the Iowa border, or will it be near Cameron, MO?  The closer this northern edge is locate, the lower the amounts are possible, and if it is indeed near the Iowa border, than some of the higher amounts are possible.

Snow ForecastThis is the snowfall forecast I am going with at the moment.  This part of the LRC, the cycling weather pattern, has produced in all previous cycles. In cycle 1, this part of the pattern produced the drought busting and drought ending 10 inches of rain. In cycle 2, KC had the blizzard where we went from rain and above nearly 60 degrees in the early morning hours of November 25th, to a blizzard by 1 PM, flash freezing, and horrible driving conditions. In LRC cycle 3, it was the tailgating experience at Arrowhead for the Colts-Chiefs game where the Chiefs finally won a game at Arrowhead, and 6″ of snow fell during the three hour tailgating experience due to the upper low forming and taking a perfect track to produce that heavy band. It was a narrow heavy band that happened to hit the south metro to Arrowhead Stadium.  And, now we are at day 1 of Cycle 4 of this years pattern.  There is only one blemish on our weather forecast record, as I see it this season. I thought it would warm up into the 60s ahead of this system, and instead we completed February rather cold, and that warm up will be delayed.  Other than that, we have predicted each one of these storms accurately, picking out the features that would impact KC. There is another feature to find as we approach Saturday night. Where will the main system track? If it is a bit more organized and farther north, the amounts would be increased. And, if it is just a bit farther south, that northern edge will be too close for comfort, for us snow enthusiasts.

Sunny The Weather Dog is hoping for higher snowfall totals.  Here is our forecast for a couple locations, north of I-70, and south of I-70:

North KC Snowfall

Olathe Snowfall

If you break this down, I am forecasting 2-3 inches over the north KC metro area, and 3-5 inches over the south metro area.  If I see any evidence of more or less, then we will update this forecast.  It may seem that I am being a bit conservative, and I am just not on the higher snowfall amount bandwagon at this moment. Those snowfall probabilities are where I am at right now.  So, I am predicting around 3″ north to 4″ south. Remember, Kansas City had gone almost five years without having 3″ in one storm before November 25th. This would be the fourth one, and three of them almost exactly on cycle, November 25th, January 12th, and this weekend.  Yes, this storm was predicted 100 days ago to happen around the first couple days of March.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:  Winter Storm Watch Saturday Night-Sunday

  • Today:  Mostly cloudy with light winds.  A great day for a walk with your dog.  High: 40°
  • Tonight:  Mostly cloudy with a wind shift to the north to northeast around 10 mph.  Low: 20°
  • Saturday:  Mostly cloudy with a northeast breeze around 10 mph.  High:  31°
  • Saturday night:  A 100% chance of snow, possibly heavy at times, especially south. Increasing north winds 10-25 mph.  Low:  13°
  • Sunday:  A 100% chance of snow, tapering off to flurries. Total accumulations of 2″ to 5″ likely.  Some blowing and drifting of the fluffier snow is possible with north winds gusting to 25 mph.
  • Monday morning:   Frigid.  Clearing sky with a low of -3°

Have a great day, and thank you for sharing in this weather experience.  Let’s monitor the latest data and have a great conversation on the Weather2020 blog.  Here is the link:  Weather2020 Blog

Gary

A Look Into the Weekend Storm: Watch That Northern Edge Closely

Good morning bloggers,

We will be adding to the 26.3″ snowfall total this weekend. the first snow fell on October 14th, the earliest snowfall accumulation in Kansas City history.  Kansas City has not reached 65 degrees since it was 65° on October 30th. The last 70 degree day was October 29th.  This is the first time in Kansas City’s history that it did not reach 65° from November through February.  KC averages nine 65°+ days per winter season.

The warmest temperatures since that last 65° on October 30, 2018:

  • February 3:  64°
  • November 22:  63°
  • January 7:  61°
  • December 18:  58°

This is really incredible. Another take away from this is that warmest December day of only 58°.  The perception that it was so warm in December is quite obviously not reality. It was 3 degrees above average for the month, because the Arctic air did not finally blast down until January.  This is a long and cold winter we are experiencing, and some of the coldest air is blasting south this weekend. Speaking of this weekend, there is a disturbance heading our way:

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This storm coming into California can be seen on this mornings satellite pictures:

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How this system holds together will likely answer some questions about where the heaviest snow will track on Saturday night and Sunday.  The models are barely holding this system together in response to the northern branch of the jet stream that is strengthening. This will create the concern for where the northern edge of the snow will end up tracking:

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The 552 is being modeled as the southern edge of the northern branch of the jet stream, which is on the base of a deep vortex north of Minnesota.  And, the 558 line is the northern edge of the southern branch of the jet stream. I know, it sounds pretty complex right? Where the confluence between the two branches will likely be where the northern edge of our potential snow will be located.

  • If the system, racing our way from the Pacific Ocean and tracking into Utah and Arizona Saturday night, is just a bit stronger, then the northern edge of the snow will end up a bit farther north. This would lead to higher snowfall amounts in KC
  • If the system is any weaker and farther south, then that northern edge of snow could get rather close, too close for comfort
  • These are the things to monitor as we analyze the data

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This system is still over two days away, so many more solutions are ahead of us.  Here is the GFS model that has that northern edge just near the Iowa/Missouri border.

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Kansas City’s Snowfall Amount Probabilities: These will be updated each day as we get closer

  • Chance of no snow:  0%
  • Chance of 1″ of snow:  100%
  • Chance of 2″ of snow:  80%
  • Chance of 3″ of snow:  60%
  • Chance of 4″ of snow:  40%
  • Chance of 5″ of snow:  20%
  • Chance of more than 5″ of snow:  10%

And, yes, around nine days from now there will be another storm to track, and it was stronger than this one in the last cycle.  So, this winter ride is far from over.  Have a great Thursday. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.  Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. This storm is right on schedule.

Gary