One Down, Two to Go

Good Saturday bloggers,

We are in an incredibly active weather pattern. The next storm system, the second in the recent series, arrives later today. The third system arrives later Tuesday. This may be the biggest of the three. Mother Nature can be all things, and this morning she was beautiful as the sun rose through breaks in the overcast to the east.


Here is the timeline for winter event #2. The snow and some freezing drizzle will rapidly increase between 3 PM and 7 PM. And, just like yesterday, it won’t be but just a few minutes after the onset of the precipitation for the roads to get slick.


SATURDAY 3 PM: Here is the powercast for 3 PM today. You can see there is nothing on it as precipitation is on the verge of starting. Temperatures will be in the 20s.


SATURDAY 3 PM-9 PM: In just a matter of hours we go from no precipitation to snow across the entire viewing area. There will be some freezing drizzle around as well. Again, roads will get slick quick just like yesterday. So, use caution if you are out and about this evening and night. If you are out and see some drizzle/snowflakes starting to fall, just know that within 5 to 30 minutes the roads will get slick.


SUNDAY-MONDAY: The snow from tonight will end quickly from southwest to northeast Sunday morning after 1/2″ to 2″ of snow accumulates. The rest of Sunday and Monday will be mostly cloudy with temperatures in the 20s. Lows Monday will drop to the teens. A weak system may streak across Kansas Monday afternoon, bringing a dusting of snow. A dusting of snow can make things slick as well.


TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: Winter event #3 arrives later Tuesday and will exit Wednesday. This has a decent chance to be the biggest of the three systems with 3″-6″ of snow possible.


SNOWFALL FORECAST FOR EVENT #2: This is the snowfall forecast for later today through noon Sunday. Amounts will range from around 1/2″ south to 1″-3″ north. The KC area will see 1/2″ to 1 1/2″ of snow.  There will be some freezing drizzle as well.


SNOWFALL FORECAST EVENT #2 PLUS EVENT #3: Amounts will range from 4″ to 8″ which will bring some locations up to 12″ for a three storm total. The storm for Tuesday and Wednesday has 3″ to 6″ potential. Remember, there is no melting, so we are only adding and not subtracting.


KCI received 3.8″ of snow officially, bringing the seasons total to 22.6″ which is around 4″ above average and 4″ above the last three winters combined.



Here are the entries for the Weather2020 Snow Forecasting Game In Progress:

  • Storm #1:  4.2″

Screen Shot 2019-02-16 at 9.52.24 AM

Screen Shot 2019-02-16 at 9.52.50 AM

Screen Shot 2019-02-16 at 9.53.26 AM

Stay safe and warm and have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

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