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Nonstop Winter, Tracking 4 Systems and Arctic Blast

Good Tuesday bloggers,

The active winter weather continues as we are now tracking 4 systems and an Arctic blast. Since the new pattern began it has been quite active. When you look at the total rainfall (includes melted ice/snow) since October 5th we are around 10″ above average.

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Let’s go through this next round of active weather.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Thick, lower clouds, will be increasing as moisture increases from the south. A front will be stalled to our south as well. This is the same front from Monday that has been wavering back and forth. It looks like the KC area will stay in the colder air with highs reaching the 40s just south.

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TUESDAY NIGHT: A weak system (#1) will move by and there is a chance of freezing drizzle. As is, based on the new data, there is not enough freezing drizzle (red patches) to cause icing. Now, that being said, it does not take much to cause problems. If we see .01″ of freezing drizzle, then we have problems. So, we will watch this closely. Temperatures will be dropping through the 20s.

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WEDNESDAY: This will be a cold and dry day with some sun as a cold blast occurs. Highs will only be in the 20s. The only way we have slick spots Wednesday morning is if we see enough freezing drizzle tonight. We are not expecting that at this time.

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THURSDAY: The second system we are tracking will affect mostly southern Missouri with a mix. Our region is on the northern fringe of the precipitation, so we have a 20% chance of seeing measurable precipitation. Highs Thursday will be in the 20s.

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FRIDAY-SATURDAY: The third system we are tracking is for mainly Friday night along an Arctic blast. This will have a chance to bring a few inches of snow. It depends on how much an upper level disturbance can hold together. Highs Friday will sneak into the 30s ahead of the Arctic air. It will be dry and frigid Saturday with highs in the teens and wind chill values below zero.

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SUNDAY: The fourth system will be moving across the Plains with the Arctic air in place. This system has a chance to bring a few inches of snow as well. After this system, there will be a reinforcing shot of Arctic air. Lows Sunday and Monday will be close to zero. My goodness!

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Have a great rest of your week and stay warm. Spring is 22 days away!

Jeff Penner

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