Good morning bloggers,
The National Weather Service downgraded the Winter Storm Watch to a Winter Weather Advisory! The first band of precipitation is moving in as the temperatures begin to warm up. There will likely be a small icing event before the temperatures rise above freezing, so be careful early this morning as this band of light freezing rain moves through. The temperatures will likely rise above freezing and then we will have some rain later this morning into this afternoon.
- Now-10 AM: Freezing light rain showers with temperatures rising to 32° or higher.
- 10 AM-6 PM: Cloudy with a few periods of light to moderate rain. Temperatures warming to near 40°
- Tonight: Rain changing to light snow with minor accumulations expected. A dusting to 2″ will be possible. Low: 25° Some slick spots will develop with the colder air moving in later tonight.
The lead disturbance produced a band of freezing rain this morning. This resulted in some icing of elevated surfaces, but temperatures will be rising above freezing ending the icing threat by noon:
Above freezing temperatures are steadily moving north and this will end the early morning icing event soon. And, then the question will be when will any rain changeover to snow? I think that conditions will become favorable for snow this evening and 1 to 2 inches may fall, and this would finally end the snowflake contest. There is enough of a circulation at the important 850 mb level, as you can see below:
This map, above, shows the 850 mb flow at midnight tonight. An 850 mb circulation center, not that strong but likely strong enough, is forecast to develop just south of Kansas City. New areas of snow will likely form this evening and an inch or two seems likely. We will be monitoring this closely today.
I will update the blog by 6:30 PM or earlier if I find the time, so check back in. Have a great day!