Good evening bloggers,
9:30 PM Update:
Our latest in house model has this forecast for the band of snow on Tuesday. This is farther north than the one map I showed earlier. Jeff Penner will be here through the morning as we track this developing area of snow on Tuesday:
5:30 P Mupdate below:
Here is what I came into this afternoon. I called up one of our microcasts/powercasts from our in-house computer model and this is what it shows fro 6 AM in the morning:
This is rather obviously going to be a small scale feature and it is suspect. But, the new NAM model just came out and supports this solution.
Okay, here is what I am thinking at the moment:
- There is a system that I can now see entering northwestern Montana and Northeastern Washington. This system is zipping our way and will cross overhead during the day on Tuesday. It is a very small scale feature, but there may still be a thin band of snow along it’s path tomorrow as you can see above.
- Thursday’s system is caught in the change and block that is rapidly intensifying. This system may spread a developing area of precipitation on Thursday over our area, but it should weaken as it passes by. I don’t have confidence in this one yet.
- The powerful storm potential is with the main storm that will likely be forming by the weekend. The latest GFS model is so different than previous runs I am throwing it out for now. This solution would draw in a lot of warm air Friday and Saturday. The block is forming strongly, and I favor a farther south solution. We have to pay very close attention to this weekend storm as it is the time of the year that Kansas City’s biggest snowstorm hit in 1912 on March 23rd-24th with 25 inches of snow. Someone will likely get a lot of snow by this weekend storm. It is just too early to pin down if it will be near Kansas City or not
Have a great evening. I will go over the details on 41 Action News.