Good evening bloggers,
It’s Friday Night In The Big Town! Does anyone want me to write up a discussion on this next storm tonight?
Okay, and first of all I would like to thank everyone, all of you bloggers out there, for helping create such a positive environment for us to share our exciting weather. We just had an impacting storm system and this winter has come together to actually be a pretty good one for us weather enthusiasts. The blog set a record, well, really, it shattered the record for number of page views on Wednesday, as the storm approached. We had over 125,000 page views on just that one day.
We are just recovering from experiencing a major snowstorm and another one is already threatening our area. A VERY STRONG storm system is going to form over the southern and central plains states by Monday. Take a look at the latest NAM model solution for this storm valid at 6 PM Monday:
The upper low is forecast to develop over Oklahoma, and the position that this latest NAM model is showing is almost a perfect position for Kansas City to again be near the Bulls-eye of this storm system. There are differences when comparing this storm to the one we just experienced. The last storm developed near southern California and then went through a transition as it moved out into the plains. This storm will likely develop/form and then intensify rapidly as it moves into Oklahoma. And as a result the surface storm will be strengthening as well. Take a look at the surface forecast:
Check out the flow from the Gulf of Mexico from Louisiana into the storm system. This will be another unusual set-up for us with tremendous amounts of low level moisture available for the storm. This storm will likely produce near blizzard conditions where it is snowing and severe thunderstorms farther south. There could be tornado watches and Blizzard warnings just about a state apart.
The precipitation forecast for the NAM model is rather significant with Kansas City near 1 inch or more liquid and it is all snow. ONE BIG FACTOR already is that it will be warmer with this storm. It is looking like the temperature will be closer to 32 degrees during the event compared to 19 to 23 degrees in this last event. If we really do get the snow the ratio will likely be no higher than 10 to 1. Here is the precipitation forecast for just the 12 hours ending Tuesday morning.
Now bloggers, please understand that this is a storm that is now in the northeast Pacific Ocean. Let’s see how the models trend, but right now the potential for another impacting major winter storm is high. By tomorrow we will learn a lot more. Have a great Friday Night! I am on in a few minutes and must get one special graphic made for the show.