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Morning Thunderstorms & A Look Into A Series Of Storm Systems

Good morning bloggers,

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This picture of the hail was taken by Jacob Bell this morning in Louisburg, KS.  Hail the size of quarters came down and a severe thunderstorm warning was issued.  Where were all of these storm systems this winter?  Oh, that’s right, these storm systems were all there, but they just would not produce much precipitation in the KC region.

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Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today: Occasional rain with a few heavy thunderstorms. The heaviest rain will be early this morning. Southeast winds 5-15 mph. High:  58°
  • Tonight: Rain likely this evening, especially south of I-70. The rain will taper off and shift southeast later tonight.  Low:  40°
  • Tuesday:  Cloudy with showers possible, mainly south and east.  High in the 40s
  • Wednesday:  Mostly sunny and 65°
  • Thursday:  Increasing clouds and turning colder later in the day.  High:  55°  It looks dry for the first pitch, but you may need a coat.

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There will be severe weather risks this week, and todays risk is slight over parts of Oklahoma into northwest Texas.  The models are all over the place later this week. Look at the European Model for the opening of baseball season on Thursday into Friday.  The blue shows the snow.

Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 6.38.44 AM

And, look at the European model valid one week from now. This model has had snow storm after snow storm showing up for the next week.  The GFS model is doing more what happened this winter and modeling each one of these systems missing KC.  So, confidence is quite low.  Winter is going to battle with spring in this next ten day stretch.

Screen Shot 2018-03-26 at 6.38.05 AM

The GFS model doesn’t have these two systems, but it has one around one week from Wednesday that is just huge.   We are in the part of the cycling pattern that produced Kansas City’s first and second measurable snows. We are in a 47-day cycle this year and 94 days ago was Christmas to New Year’s week. Remember? We actually had a white Christmas.  But, if you remember well, you may also remember that big snow storms were forecast by the models at the end of the year just like they are now. Could we end up with a spring twist? Could one of these systems actually come together? Either way, it is great to get this mornings thunderstorms. We will dive deeper into these storm systems on 41 Action News and in tomorrows blog entry.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog and join in the conversation. Have a great day!

Gary

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