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Morning showers…where are the thunderstorms?

Good morning bloggers,

Weather Forecast Timeline:

  • This morning:  A few rain showers with light winds.  Temperatures warming into lower 60s
  • This afternoon:  Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of a few showers or thunderstorms.  The chance of rain is 50%.  High:  Near 70°
  • Tonight:  Thunderstorms likely with a few spots receiving more than an inch of rain.  Low:  Near 60°

Weather Discussion:

We have had scattered showers this morning, but usually at this time of the year the rain showers would be stronger. We have had a lack of thunderstorms with this cool spring weather pattern so far.  Here is a radar image from 7 AM:

1

There is weak disturbance that is moving across eastern Kansas this morning which will produce more rain showers between now and noon.  As the sun was rising we had a beautiful rainbow, a double rainbow as you can see below.  I took this picture around 6:40 AM:

Dogs Rainbow2

 

The morning disturbance will move by and then our attention will shift to the west and southwest for new thunderstorm development. Take a look at this surface forecast map valid at 7 PM this evening:

2

The upper levels of the atmosphere are all disorganized with many waves and not a lot of flow aloft.  So, confidence is still a bit low on how organized any thunderstorms will be in our area. I will go over the details on 41 Action News beginning at 4 PM today.

Gary

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37 comments to Morning showers…where are the thunderstorms?

  • yewtrees

    From temperatures in the 50s to lower 60s last night to near 70s today within 10 hours of forecasting is AMAZING!!!

    • yewtrees

      NWS: Where there is a better chance for severe weather tonight will be west of the area across Kansas. The convection that does develop
      this evening to our west will shift eastward into our area by
      tomorrow morning. This activity will be weakened but will continue
      thunderstorm chances across the area during the morning hours
      tomorrow.

  • Jerry

    Gary,

    You’ve touted a significant severe weather outbreak for May 12-16. I’m wondering if you can offer anything in the way of specifics — locations, dates, etc… or if you’re simply stating there will be severe weather somewhere in the country during that 5-day span.

    • kcpurpledog

      I’m sure he probably meant Australia or Bulgaria. MORON.

      • mukustink

        Given Gary’s way of “fitting” things to make them fit it’s a valid question Mowermike errr I mean purpledogpoop.

    • mmack66

      Kansas City Metropolitan Area, May 12-16. Google can probably help with a definition of severe weather.

  • TSC

    Pretty much dry in Lee’s Summit this morning, only very light sprinkles for a few minutes. Hoping for more rain tonight.

  • Joseph Tay

    Is the drought over or no?

  • frigate

    What happened to the 9AM update??

    I will reserve judgement on the drought being over until after tonight and tomorrow. It is a bit concerning seeing the old pattern of a wall of rain, basically die out on KC’s doorstep this morning. Reminds me of last year…but hoping we will still get in on some action later tonight and tomorrow.

  • RTBlue

    Drat! That’s what I get for not being a morning person! An amazing double rainbow! It was really humid when I walked the dog this morning around 10am. Also, a few sprinkles. Zona Rosa area.

  • Drought Miser

    I think Gary pointed out a mid day lull then precipitation again picking up tonight into tomorrow morning so right on target so far…

  • Drought Miser

    Drought Miser says “Droughts over”

  • Hockeynut69

    It was mentioned last night that the bulk of the rain would stay south last night into this morning and to expect more consistent rain in the KC metro area later tonight in the overnight hours with some possible thunderstorms and heavy rain. I wouldn’t chalk this one up to last year’s pattern.

  • AllDay

    Double complete rainbow!!

  • Theo

    Of course, the facts show otherwise.

    KCI is -.13 on precipitation for 2013; JOCO Exec is -.02.

    Don’t know what the NWS/NOAA rationale is for drought being over when it is still below normal for the last 4 months, not to mention that 2012 was well over a foot below normal at both locations.

    Blog bully Mike wants to argue that no one gives facts? Guess that’s why he’s over at the other station’s blog now.

  • lsmowatcher

    When is the rain supposed to move back in?

  • Hockeynut69

    Rapid development in OKLAHOMA.

  • mukustink

    I guess a 12 hour forecast is useless at this point. Look at last nights late blog entry and NEW WEather Timeline. What happened?

  • Emaw

    The east coast has enjoyed a fairly mild and tranquil spring in relation to ours thus far, what happened to the “Superstorm Sandy” part of the pattern that was supposed to return last month? Moron is rather offensive, I thought the blog was cleansed of this?

  • PILOT MISER

    Storms are really staring to fire up in Ok and south KS.

    Do I need to sleep with one eye open tonight ?

  • Emaw

    Blowing up near Emporia now as well, could be noisy tonight.

  • Drought Miser

    Unreal how the radar has lit up in past hour!

  • Drought Miser

    Looking like a bumpy spring night in Kc finally!!

  • Henley

    What’s a good radar site? I was using wunderground wundermap but don’t like the new design at all.

  • Hockeynut69

    Bring on the storms, the lawn is mowed.

  • Hockeynut69

    I thought for sure there would be a 9pm update on here as to what to expect and a plug to watch for latest data at 10!

  • Henley

    It’s not snow….nobody cares

  • Dobber

    Attention! The droughts over! Look at the radar.