Good morning bloggers,
Patchy morning fog has been dense in spots. The picture below was taken just before sunrise from downtown KC.
After sunrise, the fog thickened across the metro. This prompted the National Weather Service to both expand an early morning Dense Fog Advisory to include a good chunk of the metro, and also extend that advisory until 11 a.m. By 8 a.m., fog had reduced visibilities to less than 1/8 of a mile in spots. Below is a look from our Overland Park camera at roughly that time.
Below is a look at the Dense Fog Advisory through 11 a.m. Fog will linger on beyond 11 a.m.
Expect calm conditions today, with a very light north wind advecting some slightly drier air into KC. After a gray afternoon, temperatures will get even colder by tomorrow morning. We’ll also watch the chance for fog to develop again overnight.
Naysayers start your engines! We’re talking Wednesday night snow!
The setup above shows the mid-week storm system that will track through the midwest. The red arrows show the proposed track of the surface low pressure system. The exact track the low makes will play a large role in the type of precipitation we get.
The above forecast tracks the low over northwestern Arkansas, then to eastern Missouri, eventually toward Lake Michigan. This path tracks the low south of KC. It would draw air to KC cold enough for us to get snow. If this were the case, we could expect a light rain Wednesday evening that would changeover to snow overnight. There would be the possibility for accumulations, especially north of I-70, by Thursday morning. GFS bufkit profiles suggest 1-2″ of snowfall over KC, but I’m not going with that as my forecast yet. Here’s why.
Another forecast model, the NAM, suggests the low may take a more northward track and move over KC. This would limit the amount of air cold enough to support snow within the timeframe that precipitation is falling over KC. If so, it would delay the changeover from rain to snow and would limit the amount of snow we would see Wednesday overnight. Let’s see how this forecast model evolves over the next 18 hours. We’ll have an update on our 5 pm news.
Keep your eyes on this forecast. If we do get the snow, roads could get slick for the Thursday morning commute. Blustery and frigid winds would add to the problem by blowing snow around making for a not-so-pleasant reminder that it’s December.
Have a good Sunday!
Let it snow?