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More Snow Before the Weekend is Over?

Good Saturday bloggers,

The low this morning was 9°. Let’s put this into perspective. The record low was 19° and the average low is 37°. The average high is 56°. So, we are running close to 30° below average.

Now we turn our attention to the next chance of precipitation. A large, wet storm system will be forming in the southern Plains Sunday. As the storm is forming we may get in on a northern extension Sunday afternoon and evening. There is a trend towards our area seeing a period of snow, possibly starting as a mix with rain.

Let’s go through this changing forecast.

SATURDAY: It will be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 30s. A south wind of 10-20 mph will keep wind chills in the teens and 20s.

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TONIGHT-SUNDAY MORNING: It will be dry and not as cold with lows in the 20s to around 30°. However, a south wind of 10-20 mph will keep wind chills in the teens.

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SUNDAY NOON: The Chiefs kickoff at noon, and Sporting KC begins at 2 PM. Right now it looks dry for the Chiefs kickoff with temperatures rising to close to 40°.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: There is a data trend towards a mix of snow/rain or all snow to move in around 3 PM. Temperatures will be 35°-40°, so like the other day the roads will start off wet.

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SUNDAY EVENING AND NIGHT: The mix would quickly change to snow, peaking 7-10 PM. Two things to keep in mind.

1. Temperatures would likely be at or above freezing, so roads would be wet. Although, with surfaces a bit colder initially, there could be some slick spots after 4-5 PM. Lows Monday drop to 25°-30°, so if we have wet to damp roads, slick spots would be likely by Monday morning.

2. We are are at a 50-50 chance of this occurring as there is some data showing the precipitation well south. So, how far north will the precipitation shield travel? We will know more Sunday.

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Our snow chance is just the northern fringe of a huge and wet storm that will affect the southern USA Sunday-Monday and the east coast Tuesday. We will have a new cold blast Monday with clouds and wind chill values in the teens. So, again, how far north will the precipitation travel, before heading back south?

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SNOWFALL FORECAST: Amarillo, TX has a chance to see 2″-5″ of snow and this is quite a story. It has been 634 days (February 14, 2017) since Amarillo received measurable snow!

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We have a chance to see a dusting to 1 ” on grassy surfaces. So, most likely the snowflake contest will continue through this next snow chance. Now, we have to watch this closely and we will know more Sunday.

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Have a great weekend and stay warm.

Jeff Penner

 

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