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More Hits Than Misses This Time

Good morning bloggers,

A swirling upper level summer storm system has moved by and weakened this morning. This system helped produce rather wide spread rainfall amounts in the 0.10″ to 2.50″ range near KC, with a bulls eye of close to 7″ as estimated on the radar network shown below:

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Now, look closely.  The areas with no colors shaded in are the areas that likely had not even 0.01″ of rain.   Yes, there were still some areas that got missed again.  I ended up with 0.93″ of rain for the entire total from three different bands of rain and thunderstorms.  The next good chance is showing up Thursday night:

gfs_z500_vort_us_9

The weather pattern is a summer version of this years LRC.  The cycling pattern continues, the one that set up last fall, and it will continue through the end of September before the new pattern will be welcome by most of us with an open heart in October.  The map above shows the 500 mb forecast, around 18,000 feet above us, valid Thursday night.  There is another disturbance heading southeast over the central plains extending northeast into the Great Lakes region.  This disturbance will track overhead Thursday night and it will produce thunderstorms, and once again they will be hit and miss.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_8

Let’s see how this sets up in the next two days.  We are still underneath the cold pool aloft from the upper level storm that tracked over the plains yesterday. There may be enough instability for a few showers and thunderstorms today.  Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary

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