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Major Winter Storm Next Week: The Wild Weather Pattern Continues

Good morning,

A major winter storm is likely next week.  How will it impact Kansas City and surrounding areas? Let’s take a look.

comic weatherThe weather pattern is now in full swing and like an amusement park ride, we have some big ups and downs in the forecast. Let’s begin with this funny comic strip that someone shared with me yesterday!  The United States went into full blown winter last week as the highly and over used term “Polar Vortex” dropped into the Great Lakes states. Beginning yesterday, I was hearing that the “Polar Vortex” spread across the nation.  The Arctic air mass did dive south and spread across affecting many areas, and the Polar Vortex did not. It dropped over the Great Lakes and now is exiting across eastern Canada.  It left yesterday, and in its wake was this brutally cold air mass.  I love this comic, but it needed a little snow on it to really make it stand out.

In Kansas City, it has been a rather wild month of weather, and it ended up coming in just a little colder than average.  There was one day that reached into the lower 60s, and we may do it again on Sunday, depending on the cloud cover.

Let’s take a look at the January Stats for Kansas City:

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How much snow did you receive during the month, and how much have you had this season? If you have kept track, please let us know. I may show a few totals on 41Action News tonight.  There was 9.3″ of snow at KCI Airport, and I know there was nearly a foot of snow from that 11th-12th storm  on the south side.

The wild weather changes will continue

  • During the next three days there will be a big warm-up over most of the eastern half of the United States
  • Then, by Monday, a strong cold front will be organizing and it will be on KC’s doorstep by Monday
  • A series of storm systems will begin affecting the United States. Where will the biggest impacts be located?  Let’s look at one solution of the developing pattern.

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A cold front will be oozing into the area on Monday, and then it is likely going to stall by Tuesday in response to an approaching storm.

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We have seen a set up similar to this one developing next week. If you go back to the blog around November 1, 2018, I did a video blog that had a discussion rather similar to the weather story that is beginning again now, in this part of the LRC.   There were three storm systems that cycled through in cycle 1, and then again during cycle 2 in the second half of December.  This time, in cycle 3, there will likely be more cold air available than in the fall version, and certainly more than in December when there was the one really mild stretch we had this winter season.  Take a look:

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These two maps above show the FV3-GFS model with snow, sleet, rain, thunderstorms, and freezing rain in the plains. In November, it came close to coming together, but not quite. In December, it came close to coming together, and then it was too warm. What will this do in cycle three? I favor a major winter storm near Kansas City, so let’s see how this all plays out.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today: Mostly Sunny with increasing clouds late. A light south breeze will help us warm into the lower or middle 40s.
  • Saturday-Sunday:  Cloudy with temperatures warming into the 50s. If there is any sunshine Sunday, the 60° or warmer is possible. The cloud cover will be rather thick.
  • Next week:  A series of storms will move across the United States. The first one will bring a cold front through, and then the stage is set for the Wednesday-Friday storm to produce a major winter storm.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to leave us your totals, and ask us any questions you may have.  Have a great day.

Gary

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