Major Storm Systems Possible As Christmas Travel Week Approaches

Good morning bloggers,

A major change in the weather pattern will likely take place during the next two weeks.  This will likely result in some rather significant weather related travel challenges during the big holiday weekend and into the week between Christmas and New Years.  Christmas Day falls on a Monday this year. It is within three days of Christmas where the impacts may end up being the most significant.  Let us take a look at the trends in the pattern as this big change is still a few days away from getting started.

In this Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the cycling weather pattern known as the LRC for the past 15 years, we concentrate on Kansas City, but we also go in-depth into other areas of the United States and world as well.  Go to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.  Here is the link:  Weather2020 Blog

One very important area to monitor closely is over the Gulf of Alaska and eastern Pacific Ocean during the next three to four days. This is where the models have been making wild and huge errors and when these errors occur the model ends up showing a weather pattern that will not happen. This is what we experienced yesterday with a few model runs.  With our knowledge of the cycling pattern we have the ability to “know” when these models are likely accurate, and more often when they are flawed and can be thrown out.  Let’s take a look at this energy developing over the north Pacific Ocean by Sunday:


The area to monitor closely in the next three days is that area I circled on this map. Watch this quick video:


Quick look at the area to monitor for next week from Weather2020 on Vimeo.

What happens next is then more likely, if that energy develops as is the trend in the models now.


The trend is for a major amplification of the flow as you can see above, and then this pattern would produce a potential series of storm systems, one of which is forecast to develop around Christmas Eve as you can see below:


Okay, now let’s be realistic. This is ten days away.  A series of storm systems does fit the LRC, the cycling pattern. There are other factors and influences we are monitoring and we will continue this discussion in the comments section over on Weather2020.com.

Between now and the big changes, a storm system with three parts trying to come together is approaching the plains. This set up is great for the Chargers/Chiefs game Saturday night at Arrowhead stadium as there is a stalled front forecast to be located well northwest of KC Saturday evening. This will result in unseasonably warm air and dry conditions for the game.  Go Chiefs!


Have a great day and thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog!  I will be going in-depth tonight on 41 Action News.


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