Good morning bloggers,
Let’s imagine, just for a few seconds, that we actually live in Boston. Can you believe the life long memory we would have from the storm they just experienced? And, what about New Jersey? They continue to get blasted by these storm systems in this year’s weather pattern and another huge storm is possible within a week. Here are the four bullet points of the weekend events:
- A blizzard, being called the Blizzard of 2013, blasts the New England coast
- A blizzard develops over the northern plains Sunday
- An outbreak of severe weather occurs at the same time Sunday afternoon and evening across the deep south
- Another storm is heading out into the plains and will likely produce snow just south of our viewing area
This picture, below, shows the February image of Superstorm Sandy (LRC cycle 3). We will get a cycle 4 version in late March or early April:
All of this is going on, and even though we have had some rain & thunderstorms, some light snow, and big temperature swings in the KC viewing area, we just are not in a good spot for exciting weather this season. This is really what we were expecting. But, it at times seems a bit ridiculous.
Last two weeks in Kansas City:
- January 28th: 74° (76° downtown which would be the all time highest January temperature ever recorded in Kansas City)
- January 29th: Record shattering high temperature of 68° (breaks record by 5 degrees at 1 AM….ONE AM!) Thunderstorm at ONE AM, and then bands of rain!
- January 30th: Temperatures crash with dusting to 3 inches of SNOW
- January 31st: FIVE degrees by midnight with snow flurries
- February 1st: TWO degrees. It went from the all time January high to 2 degrees in five days, the lowest temperature in almost two full years
- February 2nd: Ground hog somehow doesn’t see his shadow despite shadows seen all around him with the camera lights?
- February 6th: 61 degrees
- February 7th: Thunderstorms and rain as storm develops. This is the storm that became the Blizzard of 2013
- February 10th: 50 mph wind gusts around major storm that we had a few rain showers from early in the morning
I remember stating that it would be an active period between the end of January and around February 20th. Well, even with us being in “not the right spot”, as the title of this blog states, it has been quite active. Events around the nation have been rather extreme. Is this climate change? I will have a special on Climate Change next Monday night!
The active weather pattern continues this week and we are about to just barely miss a smaller snowstorm that will track just south of our area. This storm will then rip northeast and intensify near the New Jersey shore on Thursday as they don’t get any breaks at all. And, then an even larger storm system will likely develop by late in the weekend and the northeast will be bracing for another big weather event. And, this weekend is when we may be setting up for a possible storm near Kansas City.
Before we get to the end of the week into next week storm systems we have one that we have to pay close attention to today. Here is the 500 mb forecast map valid tomorrow evening. This shows an upper level storm tilted just enough to the right to keep us out of the snow. Just a slight shift to the north, or a stronger orientation of the vort has (the X), and we could see snow spreading our way. The chance of that happening is very low. This will most likely produce snow near the Oklahoma/Kansas border southward and also east across southern Missouri. In the last cycle, this part of the weather pattern did produce our first snow. But, this time it is likely tracking just south of us.
The overnight GFS model (06z model run) shows a major northeastern storm forming again this weekend:
We are in the Superstorm Sandy part of the weather pattern and even though the northeast coast is now dealing with the aftermath of the Blizzard of 2013, they may have to deal with one just as big if this forecast verifies. And, then just a few days later, early next week, Kansas City may finally have a chance of a storm system, but again we have to remember that we are just not in the right spot for these storm systems. Here is a forecast map showing snow here just over a week from now.
So, the test is on for our area. Will one, two, or three of these storm systems bring us weather enthusiasts something to track in the next week? Thank you for spending a few minutes reading the Action Weather Blog. We will go over all of these details and more on 41 Action News today and tonight.