Good Saturday morning bloggers,
I will admit that Groundhog day is not one of my favorite holidays, but the movie was very good. Officially, the groundhog did not see his shadow, so an early Spring is the forecast. He always sees his shadow for real as the TV camera lights are shining bright. I believe it is predetermined whether he sees his shadow or not, at least for Puxatawney Phil. That always seems odd to me.
Now on to the real weather! Last week we were on a roller coaster ride with 70s Monday and single digits by Friday with rain, thunderstorms and snow. Even though three clipper systems will race by the next 3 days, our weather will be rather tame. Each system will bring a warm front, cold front a period of clouds. Oddly, the warm fronts will come through at night, so we will not feel the full affects of the warmer air. The cold fronts will be weak and fast-moving, so we will not feel the full affect of the Arctic air across the upper Midwest. This means our daily temperatures will end up being about the same every day, despite the many cold and warm front passages. See the maps below.
MAP #1: 3 PM SATURDAY
MAP #2: 1040 pm SATURDAY NIGHT. The warm front moves through at night.
MAP #3: SUNDAY 2 PM
So, as you can see the end result are nice days with highs around 40°.
Areas east of I-35 had some beneficial rain last week, but we all still need rain. This is a dry pattern, but in 5-7 days a system will drop into the western USA. This system will increase rain chances next weekend with a chance it ends as snow. It depends on the track. The bigger system may be preceded by a smaller system Thursday-Friday that may bring a few showers. Note, also the Arctic air is held up north in Canada, separated frrom the USA storm systems.
MAP #4: UPPER LEVEL FLOW NEXT FRIDAY.
Have a great weekend!