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It’s Groundhog Day!

Good Saturday morning bloggers,

I will admit that Groundhog day is not one of my favorite holidays, but the movie was very good.  Officially, the groundhog did not see his shadow, so an early Spring is the forecast.  He always sees his shadow for real as the TV camera lights are shining bright.  I believe it is predetermined whether he sees his shadow or not, at least for Puxatawney Phil.  That always seems odd to me.

Now on to the real weather!  Last week we were on a roller coaster ride with 70s Monday and single digits by Friday with rain, thunderstorms and snow.  Even though three clipper systems will race by the next 3 days, our weather will be rather tame.  Each system will bring a warm front, cold front a period of clouds.  Oddly, the warm fronts will come through at night, so we will not feel the full affects of the warmer air.  The cold fronts will be weak and fast-moving, so we will not feel the full affect of the Arctic air across the upper Midwest.  This means our daily temperatures will end up being about the same every day, despite the many cold and warm front passages.  See the maps below.

MAP #1: 3 PM SATURDAY

A NICE SATURDAY!

A NICE SATURDAY!

MAP #2: 1040 pm SATURDAY NIGHT.  The warm front moves through at night.

WARM FRONT AT NIGHT

WARM FRONT AT NIGHT

MAP #3: SUNDAY 2 PM

SUNDAY WILL BE NICE AS WELL!

SUNDAY WILL BE NICE AS WELL!

So, as you can see the end result are nice days with highs around 40°.

Areas east of I-35 had some beneficial rain last week, but we all still need rain.  This is a dry pattern, but in 5-7 days a system will drop into the western USA.  This system will increase rain chances next weekend with a chance it ends as snow.  It depends on the track.  The bigger system may be preceded by a smaller system Thursday-Friday that may bring a few showers.  Note, also the Arctic air is held up north in Canada, separated frrom the USA storm systems.

MAP #4: UPPER LEVEL FLOW NEXT FRIDAY.

BETTER RAIN CHANCES IN A WEEK?

BETTER RAIN CHANCES IN A WEEK?

Have a great weekend!

Jeff Penner

 

 

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16 comments to It’s Groundhog Day!

  • Kole Christian

    Will appreciate the extra rain next week. Any chance for snow on the backside like the last storm?

  • cweb

    Does this mean that the cold air is building for a intrusion or that it is saying bye bye. Pretty much same question as yesterday(unanswer).

    • cweb,

      We will likely have 1-2 more periods of cold. Nothing more or less than what we have experienced. The storm for next weekend will likely not have much cold air to work with.

      Jeff

  • HeatMiser

    Um Cole, he just said in his blog that there might be some snow on the backside. Did you not read the blog dude?

  • weather

    Jeff do you think it will be an early spring? You should have a facebook fan page like Gary and Brett!

  • Kcchamps

    looks like a band of snow is headed our way, looking at radar

  • AFPILOTWXJUNKIE

    Kc I think if that does reach us it will fall as a quick rain shower.

  • mgsports

    KSHB needs a COZI TV Facebook Page know it says TBD so we guess they don’t really want rid of Weather Plus Channel but aren’t ready to add 41.3. Their will be no more Snow because Mother Nature has decided to start Severe Weather Season early.

  • weather

    Does antone watch the Weather plus channel? I have Direc TV not cable so just curious if anyone really watches the channel?

    KC Champs a little to warm for snow don’t you think? I mean we know you like snow but the maps have been way off this year wouldn’t you say?

    Have a great Superbowl Sunday! Please don’t drink and drive!

  • heavysnow

    Looks like I will get a quick 2 inches out of this clipper. Already have over an inch and its pouring outside St Louis. I have not seen more than 1 inch of snow since March of 2011 when we received 7 inches.

  • Dobber

    Little rock??