It Could Be, It May Be, It is a Chance of Snow!

Good Saturday bloggers,

The dry spell is now at 55 days, but we see some changes which will lead to chances of rain and snow. Now, we do not see a big storm system at this time, but we will take what we can get. First, we will look at the rain chance and then the snow chance.

Here is the latest drought monitor and drought conditions are on the increase as this dry pattern persists. Our region is in the abnormally dry category with much worse conditions across southeast Missouri to Arkansas.


TODAY (3-5 PM): The weather will be incredible for December with highs around 60°. The wind will be from the south to southwest at 5-15 mph, decreasing from 10-25 mph. The weather for tailgating looks quite nice as temperatures will drift down through the 50s into the 40s.


TONIGHT (7-11 PM): When you see a Saturday night Chiefs game on December 16th on the schedule you ask how cold will it be out at Arrowhead? The answer for this year is the 40s with a light wind and no rain or snow. It does not get much nicer than this in KC during the middle of December at night.


SUNDAY MORNING: A storm system in northern Mexico today will be racing north and we will actually see rain, entering the region by 4-5 AM. Temperatures will be around 40°, so no ice or snow is expected.


SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The rain will end 12-2 PM leaving a cloudy sky with lingering mist/showers as highs climb to 45-50. The clouds, lingering mist and perhaps a shower will last into early Monday morning. The sun returns Monday afternoon with highs back to the 50s.


SUNDAY RAINFALL FORECAST: Remember, we are about 3.50″ of rain below average since October 22nd. This system for Sunday will bring about a trace to .25″ of rain, most along and east of I-35. if the storm shifts farther south, then most locations will see under .10″. This is not much no matter how you cut it, but this is a dry time of year and .25″ for a December storm system is not bad and also, we will take what we can get.


OK, what about the chance of snow? The computer data has been all over the place with a trend to nothing the last several days. Well, overnight we have seen a trend to a chance of snow Thursday-Friday as the cold air rushes in. This does not look like a big storm system, but it could end the snowflake contest if all goes right. The data has shown the most snow north of KC, mostly in Nebraska and Iowa. We will be following this closely.


Whether we see any snow it will turn much colder by Friday with lows 10° to 20° and highs 25°-30°.


There is not only the chance of snow Thursday-Friday, but there is still a chance Christmas Eve and Day, so we have two legitimate chances to have a White Christmas. The chance as of this moment is 56%.

Have a great weekend,

Jeff Penner

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