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#hot

Good Morning Bloggers!

sunrise

We started off with temperatures in the upper 70s and lower 80s, so get ready for a hot one out there.  High pressure ridge continues to build east and blocks us from rain and cooler temperatures for the next week.  This will keep the storm systems off the west of us through the weekend.  A cold front will try to push south as the ridge flattens next week, but looks like it doesn’t quite get through the area until Wednesday.  A small chance for a few spots in NW Missouri to see some rain tonight and into tomorrow morning with thunderstorms developing in Nebraska and Iowa.

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It has been such a nice summer don’t just assume your golden out in the heat all day.  Take care of yourself because the humidity will make it feel more like 99° to 105° this afternoon. You don’t want to end up like the Wicked Witch of the West…or maybe you do?

melting

 

So…to help you out with this…there is a heat advisory today starting at 1 pm and goes until 8 pm on Friday.

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Good Luck and remember 6 months from now you will be wishing it was like this … I’ll leave you with that.

Kalee Dionne

 

 

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47 comments to #hot

  • Kole Christian

    Finally, we’re getting some reasonably warm days strung together.

  • Bill Z.

    I see the GFS no longer brings the “hurricane” into the Gulf next week. It has it strengthening to category 1 on Wed or Thu next week and going north with no impact to the US other than rip currents. Did the LRC predict this storm, path, both, or neither?

    Looks like next Thu night is when the “cold” front will finally make it to KC. Does that match up to something 57 days prior (July 2)? Answer: YES! Record cold here.

    This will be a defining year for the LRC. If the weather pattern truly falls apart now and makes a whole new pattern around Oct 1, then there will be no repeat of the cold front around Oct 24. Also, there will be no repeat of the hurricane around the same time. If we do get a cold front and/or hurricane, it will be part of the new pattern.

    Appears to be good LRC calls on both events next week, Gary. Great job.

    • Hume-Dude

      I’m not sure if the LRC is so helpful with tropical systems. As I understand it , the LRC follows the pattern of the jet stream and the storms that follow it. It is the oscillation of the jet stream that gives us our cold/hot spells, so this assertion makes sense to me. Tropical systems are not tied to the jet stream , but are products of the intertropical convergence zone. I don’t think there is a “pattern” to be found in tropical development. I would welcome any input here, SEDS could probably set us straight.

      • Bill Z.

        He took credit for it on his weather segment on TV a few nights ago.

      • sedsinkc

        I thought I recall Gary making it clear in the past that tropical activity is completely detached from the cycles that define the LRC and that the LRC can not predict tropical activity. Now he’s changing his tune, saying the LRC somehow predicted this next tropical storm (which is not even a storm yet). Gary’s claim seems disingenuous to me, unless he’s expanded his research on the LRC to include the tropics. Maybe he has. Most tropical systems develop from the tropical easterlies along or near the ITCZ, which are distinct from the midlatitude westerlies. Also, a tropical cyclone is more like a super-organized MCS, and I don’t think the LRC can predict individual MCS complexes.

        • Hume-Dude

          That’s a great comparison, Hurricane to a super organized MCS. Essentially you are correct. Since there is no friction over water, the spin from the MCV has nothing to slow it down or inhibit it in optimum conditions. I think if there was even a semi-legit way to pre-forecast tropical systems we would be using it by now in official forecasting. Plus – the unpredictable way in most tropical systems behave ( I.E. the enormous cones of uncertainly with their track ) also aides itself to the assumption they are not obligated to follow any particular path or follow any particular pattern as the LRC would dictate.

  • FARMERMIKE

    nothing against this blog it has its good and bad days
    just wondering is the 2020 blog worth the “pay to play” ????

    • 10 dollars a year..not what I would consider a thoughtful investment.

    • sedsinkc

      Paying for generalized forecasts based on the supposedly awesome LRC is not something I will ever do. I think the general public is entitled to “free” weather information (I know, nothing is truly free. You either have to endure advertising, or know that taxes paid for it. And unless you use the library to access the internet, you have to pay for internet access), and there’s already lots of free info available on the web, including from Gary’s LRC disciples in broadcast media. Now if Gary wants to make highly specialized LRC weather forecasts based on the LRC for ag or business interests which they have to pay for, that’s all good and more power to him. I understand Gary puts a lot of effort into his weather blogs, and I appreciated that greatly when his blogs were here and even when they were on the LRC site before it became pay to play. But I don’t appreciate it enough to pay for it. There are lots of free weather blogs out there.

  • Hume-Dude

    10 day GFS is still very dry, big nose of dry weather poking up our way from TX. I’ve only had 1/2″ in past 15 days, ready for some cooler fall weather and some rain. Beans are curling in the heat…..

  • Hume-Dude

    Where the rain chances go for next week? TWC has reduced to just an isolated chance on Wed, most other forecasts are following suite. 16 day GFS is wet, but 10 day is dry. I have very little confidence in the 16 day outlook, so error riddled it is not worth looking at most of the time unless you are really desperate. Seems like closer we get to next week, the more the rain chances are pushed back. Not a good trend. SO READY FOR A NEW PATTERN

  • j-ox

    August is often the worst month for dry weather patterns.

  • Emaw

    Next weeks “strong” cold front has seemed to have lost a considerable amount of punch. Looking pretty dry for a while as well, the new cycle a lot of folks have been hoping for might be setting up . . .

  • Hockeynut69

    I was watching Kalee’s weather segment this morning and the graphic she was standing next to had the word “hot” all over the place. I thought to myself, yes she is. Great to see we will go from 96° to 77° within the next week. Hope some of that rain pans out. Happy Friday everyone!

  • Hume-Dude

    FARMERMIKE – You getting in on any of that rain? It looks delicious from here…

  • FARMERMIKE

    yup – scored 1.20″ last nite around midnite what a light show wow.
    and a freaky little shower is hitting me right now.
    total for this week is 2.40″. good soakers none went to waste or to the ponds but good soakers..

    • Hume-Dude

      I am glad to hear that. Maybe a little jealous, but glad to hear it. It is just dancing around up there, taunting me!

  • sedsinkc

    Starting to wonder if KCI will even get to 94 today. Only 80 at 11 a.m. Lots of clouds around, more showers forming west of KC which will add more clouds to the sky as the day goes on. Based on current trends, I think 90 or 92 might be closer to the mark. Much better than the 96 or 97 predicted yesterday. So far this summer, another hallmark has been how the hot weather has under-performed forecast expectations even a day or two ahead of time.

    • Bill Z.

      Seeds, how much does the “greener” landscape have to do with keeping the temp down? It’s hard to say, because the models may already be taking that into consideration. Perhaps it would be 101 if we had the same conditions as last year?

  • Bill Z.

    Sorry, meant Seds, not seeds!

    • sedsinkc

      A greener landscape makes a definite difference because green plants put more water in the air (i.e., humidity) than dormant or stressed plants, and more water in the air makes it harder to warm up. If not for our wet June, I’m almost sure we would have reached 100 during that hot spell in July.

      • Dobber

        In response to comment above. $10 bucks a year is hardly a game changer. What it does though is “tie” someone to there internet name. People who come on this blog and run there mouth about things that are totally inappropriate are less likely to do it when it costs 10 bucks. For instance, some people have changed their names on here over time. Imagine it costing them 10 bucks a time. It keeps it in check. Less than 3 packs of cigarettes a year, 3 cans of skoal, 4 gallons of gas. I mean come on seds. What gives?

        • Bill Z.

          Your argument is flawed, if not actually subterfuge. What you are claiming is done with the $10 fee (pay to play) can certainly be done without the fee. Free sites log usernames and identities to their IP addresses. It’s not a function of the fee, but of the site’s oversight.

          KSHB chooses to monitor this site however it chooses. It could require any login it wanted to.

          • sedsinkc

            Absolutely agree with you.

          • Dobber

            Well, an IP address log in system isn’t flawless either. Nothing I said was trickery, or subterfuge. Lezak isn’t driving a Lexus because of the $10 dollar a year fee. There is no pay to play, the Kc star charges for web content or the good old fashion newspaper. We spend more money flushing a toilet than his blog costs. Why keep bringing it up?

            • Bill Z.

              Why the endless defense of Gary? It’s a free market. Why the hell would I pay $10 for info I can get for free? You were the one who wanted to go into minute detail about how the $10 works. I simply showed you were wrong. Get over yourself.

              • Dobber

                Your the one who entered the conversation. I was replying to seds… Anyhow. Sorry you can’t afford 10 bucks man.

        • Bill Z.

          Value of the LRC site isn’t worth 10 cents, let alone $10, IMHO.

          • weathergeek

            Mr. Lezak is driving a Lexus and lives in a Million dollar home because of his salary at KSHB which is north of $350,000.00 a year. There’s no way he is going to give that up to get his LRC peer reviewed. In order to get that LRC off the ground takes time and a lot of it. He’s not giving up his lifestyle for it.

            Severe weather in the metro and not a peep on here from him.

  • Hume-Dude

    Ummmmm…quite a bit of showers and small t-storms starting to pop up to west and SW along what I supposed is a outflow boundary from storms up north. Furry blog mentioned something about possible convection along this boundary, but thought cap would be too strong. Hoping it moves further south….

  • weathergeek

    Well still no heat wave. Yesterday only reached 94. Gary kept insisting at 5 that it hit 95 so he could be correct. Well You were wrong Gary it never hit 95 thus no heat wave.

    Why pay for propaganda? I know I won’t pay for it. Some just pay to play because they love Gary and just can’t get enough of him. It’s kind of like prostitution

    • sedsinkc

      Still only 88 at 3 p.m. at KCI. However, it is 99 in Lawrence!

    • KUweatherman

      This is one of those cases where he can say he was right even when he was technically wrong. Most places in Kansas City DID hit 95° yesterday, however, KCI (the official weather station for KC) did not.

  • VerySkeptical

    Pay to play just sucks.

  • Dwight

    Seem to still be waiting for the “heat wave” to begin this week. Only 87 at my house in Pleasant Hill and I wonder if it has even reached 95 many places around the Metro this week.

    • sedsinkc

      According to NWS, it was 97° at the downtown airport and at Olathe New Century yesterday. Those are the only 2 major stations to reach 95° or higher in the immediate KC metro.

  • gardnerks79

    Even on the iciest, coldest, darkest day I have not wished for hot & humid. I can do ice all day long.

    • Drought Miser

      I can handle snow and ice a lot better then this stuff I just dress warmer in those cycles I’m with you on this one gard!!

  • sedsinkc

    I took a 75 minute walk with some light running mixed in awhile ago, between about 3:30 and 4:45, and came home absolutely sweat-drenched from head to foot. No wind and a 75° dewpoint will do that to an out of shape, overweight person.

  • Farmgirl

    I was wondering when NWS was going to issue a STW as wind gusts are very strong in southern Miami County KS and they finally just did. Kinda late as the winds have been howling for over 5 minutes.

  • sedsinkc

    A couple days ago there was some discussion about the increased earthquake activity near the Bardarbunga volcano in Iceland. Here is a link to the Icelandic Met Office web page showing the distribution, strength, and age of earthquakes across Iceland during the past 48 hours. The site updates frequently. “http://en.vedur.is/earthquakes-and-volcanism/earthquakes/”

    • sedsinkc

      If you want a closeup of the region containing the Bardarbunga volcano, click the link on the left side of the page that says “Vatnajökull”.

  • Drought Miser

    Drought Miser reporting live from Merriam KS.

    Several Pop Up T-Storms on the way back from Council bluff’s today with some moderate rains and lots of cloud to ground Lightning along the way and hot and muggy conditions all the while. these were high base thunderstorms.

  • weathergeek

    Mr. Seds thanks for the links. Very interesting indeed.

  • Bill Z.

    Seds, appreciate your continued knowledgeable input. Thanks for not charging $10!