Here We Go Again, One Last Time

Good morning bloggers,

While the east coast has yet another major rain event, after a lot of snow events this past winter, Kansas City is likely again in the “wrong spot” for the end of the week wet system. Just yesterday I argued that it would bring us some badly needed rain, since it has been dry this month in a few spots again (KCI Airport is sitting at 0.88″ in September).  And now, it appears the system is going to target areas farther south.  There is still a pretty decent chance of rain Thursday night as a front moves through, and then a heavy rain event will set up well south of KC on Friday into Saturday.  Take a look at the rainfall forecast from the GFS model ending Sunday morning:


As it is easily seen, our region near KC is in a drier spot. There are 2″+ amounts over northern Nebraska and Iowa, and also over Oklahoma and Texas.  It is only Tuesday, so let’s see if that system forms near Baja, CA.

The Remnants of CAT 4 Hurricane Florence are moving off into the Atlantic Ocean today. This wet system weakened to a CAT 1 storm as it drifted along the North Carolina coast south into South Carolina. This system produced rainfall estimates in the over 30″ range in a few spots, and it is reminiscent of what happened with Harvey last year.  Let’s take a look. These graphics are from the Weather Underground Blog:


The North Carolina record was likely just broken with over 30″ in spots.


Last years Harvey was a bit different, yet also a stalling and slow moving system that set records.  The track of Harvey is also shown on this map.


It will be another hot day in KC with high humidity.  It will be close to 90 degrees each day until the cold front moves through Thursday night.  Have a great day.


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