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Here We Go Again, One Last Time

Good morning bloggers,

While the east coast has yet another major rain event, after a lot of snow events this past winter, Kansas City is likely again in the “wrong spot” for the end of the week wet system. Just yesterday I argued that it would bring us some badly needed rain, since it has been dry this month in a few spots again (KCI Airport is sitting at 0.88″ in September).  And now, it appears the system is going to target areas farther south.  There is still a pretty decent chance of rain Thursday night as a front moves through, and then a heavy rain event will set up well south of KC on Friday into Saturday.  Take a look at the rainfall forecast from the GFS model ending Sunday morning:

gfs_apcpn_us_21

As it is easily seen, our region near KC is in a drier spot. There are 2″+ amounts over northern Nebraska and Iowa, and also over Oklahoma and Texas.  It is only Tuesday, so let’s see if that system forms near Baja, CA.

The Remnants of CAT 4 Hurricane Florence are moving off into the Atlantic Ocean today. This wet system weakened to a CAT 1 storm as it drifted along the North Carolina coast south into South Carolina. This system produced rainfall estimates in the over 30″ range in a few spots, and it is reminiscent of what happened with Harvey last year.  Let’s take a look. These graphics are from the Weather Underground Blog:

state-tc-precip-records

The North Carolina record was likely just broken with over 30″ in spots.

7

Last years Harvey was a bit different, yet also a stalling and slow moving system that set records.  The track of Harvey is also shown on this map.

harvey-est-rainfall

It will be another hot day in KC with high humidity.  It will be close to 90 degrees each day until the cold front moves through Thursday night.  Have a great day.

Gary

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