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Record High Two Days After A Record Low

Good morning bloggers,

4:20 PM Update:

We did tie or set a record high today. Here are the 4 PM temperatures:

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 It was 96° at St. Joseph, just two days after Sunday morning’s latest freeze ever, a record low of 32°! 

Previous entry below:

Temperatures will jump to near 90° this afternoon.  And, then a weakening cold front will approach us Wednesday, but this front may not make it as far south as Kansas City.  Here is a graphic we showed last night on 41 Action News:

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Last spring had a huge start to tornado season in March into April, but then it quieted down in May as the jet stream retreated early and the drought developed over our region.  This year has been very different. It has been a cold spring and the thunderstorms have mostly developed behind the cold fronts in the colder air and this has protected most areas from any serious severe weather.

The storm approaching us tomorrow is very weak and the winds aloft will be light. This will limit the  severe weather potential for Wednesday. There will be a cold front stalling as it approaches on Wednesday.  It may never reach Kansas City:

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With the front stalling to our north most of the thunderstorms may also stay near the front. There is also a very weak upper level circulation that will be near our area as well, so we may have other areas of thunderstorms Wednesday night into Friday in the area, but I am not sure how organized they will be.

By the end of the weekend there is a much better chance of stronger thunderstorms:

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The evolution of this weather pattern during the next week will be discussed on 41 Action News today and tonight. Have a great Tuesday.

Gary

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22 comments to Record High Two Days After A Record Low

  • Drought Miser

    Last year was relatively low for severe weather also bet the two year totals are low at least for the Kc metro. Is the low amount of severe weather signaling yet another start to a dry spell?

  • tushchaser1

    Posted this last night, thought I would post it again for those who may have missed.

    Throughout all conversations, both current and past, it is very evident that there are people who take everything Gary says with 100% conviction and there are those who ask questions 100% of the time. I happen to believe that these two types of people are found throughout weather communities nationwide. Often times, people are quick to fall in love with a weatherman, regardless of their sometimes shoddy work forecasting.

    For example, my godfather loves his local weatherman, and believes that no one else comes close to his “accuracy” in predicting the weather. Now, if anyone says anything about his “shortcomings” in predicting the weather, my godfather quickly rushes to weatherguys defense and makes excuses. That is exactly what we have here on this blog.

    Now, in my honest opinion, I believe Gary has a difficult time spinning his LRC idea to others who ask the questions. Those people (Jerry, RDub, Yewtrees, Seds, MUKU) often look for concrete data to back up the sometimes outlandish assertions made by Gary. I think those people (myself included) find it hard to believe that Gary can claim accuracy when he touts that a weather system “going to the north of us and/or to the south of us” demonstrates the validity of his theory, as he “predicted it 100 days ago.” In all honesty, most don’t care if it snows in Fargo, ND or rains in Shreveport, LA, we want to know about the weather here, in Kansas City. Some of us also struggle when Gary says “I predicted a severe weather set-up and look, it snowed.” That is huge stretch by anyone’s calculation.

    Now, there are certain things about Gary’s “cycling” theory that are interesting, however, without peer review and empirical data to back up all claims and assertions, Gary could be considered nothing more than a snake-oil salesman claiming he can cure the diseases of society. Until the time where Gary allows research to be conducted and refuses to stand behind “weatherate” as a method to tout his accuracy will the LRC truly be determined.

    Further, asking questions is how people have learned throughout history. By calling people “trolls” who ask questions (albeit repeatedly) it casts a different shadow on the blog and the LRC in general. It almost appeared that Gary is done with people questioning his theory and wishes we all take him at his word. Unfortunately, that will more than likely never be the case, because people have an innate desire to learn, understand, and grasp concepts that interest them.

    That’s it…by the way, fantastic weather today, could take a few more days like today!

  • I don’t think it’s idol(or weatherman) worship at all. I think it’s just decency. There’s no need to come on here and bash Gary, who provides this blog, when he really doesn’t have too. He opens himself up for criticism quite frequently. He’s one of the very few that are willing to stick their neck out with super long range forecasts. And he is pretty darn accurate. I don’t understand why anyone would want to spend time on this blog, if they think he isn’t the best?? Or maybe they just need a life? I think you give most of us way to little credit. Of course we see the misses. But we don’t harp on it. I don’t know if some people realize just how hyper critical they come across? Maybe they are just younger than I assume? But there’s a way to discuss, and then there’s a way to just be a butthead. Anybody that frequents blogs, or communicates online, on a regular basis, quickly learns that written communication can come across quite harsh, without face to face or voice expression. I come here because I think Gary is the most passionate weather guy in town. Thus, the most accurate. He lives and breathes this stuff. And I respect that. There is something to the LRC. Is it the be all, end all? No, but just another tool to use, as Gary has REPEATEDLY stated on here. Most of the criticism is baited, quite baited. It goes without saying when a forecast is missed, does one REALLY need someone to admit fault?

    • Theo

      “I come here because I think Gary is the most passionate weather guy in town. Thus, the most accurate.” That is absolutely ridiculous! One does not automatically beget the other.

      If your post was satire, great job! If your post was your reality, then I feel sorry for you. You need new heroes.

      • You know what, you’re not as smart as you think. Yes, one can follow the other. The most passionate people in a given profession, are usually quite successful. But don’t feel sorry for me. I feel no need to jump on a weather blog to belittle others that don’t meld with my bizarre personality and need for superiority. Notice I don’t post that often. I have no “need” concerning this blog. But it is a little sad that many good bloggers have given up for all the bickering, rude and lascivious posts, and vulgar language, from a handful of users. Thankfully, most of that has been cleaned up.

    • Rock Hardon

      As it pertains to people who misrepresent their “gifts” or “prophetic abilities” , I think God pretty much nailed it in Proverbs 25:14

      “Whoso boasteth himself a false gift is like clouds and wind without rain”

      I interpret that to mean that people who brag about their abilities to predict the future, or how good they are at what they do, are all show and no substances

      • nofluer

        So what you’re saying, Rock, is that it’s going to be overcast and windy but no precip? ;-D

  • Scott, I agree with what you’ve said. I don’t think Gary’s forecasts are perfect, but I do enjoy coming on here and reading his thoughts about the upcoming weather. I find it very, very tiresome to slog through the repetitive writings of those who come on here to bait Gary.

    • tushchaser1

      I appreciate your insight and feedback. However, if you like to read Gary’s thoughts on the weather, you should do so. If you don’t like to read the thoughts of others about the weather, don’t click the comments section.

      • ^^^

        Case & Point! There have been a some people who have left this blog who’s comments and opinions have added value for readers there. I have no doubt they left because of the same negative comments from the same people time and time again. I hardly ever make comment about those replies, but come on.. A few need to take a look and their contributions and quit being such [blank]holes!

      • I do like to read the comments sometimes to read other’s points of view. The incessant baiting, however,just gets old. And frankly, it seems unnecessary. If someone has a question or wishes to challenge an assertation Gary made, I like to read and learn. But I don’t like to read people trying to make him look like a fool. That doesn’t make me a minion, it makes me a respectful person.

  • yewtrees

    NWS: Regardless of timing, the general pattern is the same in the extended: a small chance of some isolated thunderstorms the in broad warm sector on Saturday into Saturday night, and again on Sunday afternoon….For now, have still kept the chance of precipitation
    below likely for the majority of the area, due to the temporal
    differences in the models.

  • KCWeatherGirl

    HI Gary! I love reading your blog and always come here first for my weather forecasts! Just a quick question, how will the weekend be setting up? I know we may have the potential for some severe weather on Sunday. Will that gets started in the late afternoon/evening or maybe perhaps earlier on in the day?

    Thanks!

    • kcwg,

      Sunday has a chance of being stormy, and we will go over the details on 41 Action news, and then in tomorrow’s blog. Saturday looks pretty nice.

      Gary

  • restull

    I must be seeing things. 102 degrees in Sioux Falls, SD, at noon!

    • AnonymousVJ

      I’m pretty sure you mean Sioux City, IA — but yeah, 102 at noon.

      At 1 p.m., I just looked, and it’s now 104. And from what I’ve seen, their all-time May record high is 105. They’ll probably tie it or break it.

      I’d say someone might even break the all time record for highest May temperature for the whole state of Iowa at this point (I don’t know what it is, though).

      It’s amazing because just a week and a half ago, Iowa state’s record highest May snowfall was set.

  • mgsports

    Numerical models differ on the exact position of the surface lows
    in the central US, so confidence in the details above is reduced.

  • Henley

    This summer will be just like last…prepare for the drought

  • f00dl3

    I think today’s temperatures are a real tell tale sign of what’s to come. It was warm here but much warmer to our north where they are still in a severe drought. The worst of the drought was over Texas 2 years ago, over us last year, and now it’s shifted to our north as we are getting more gulf moisture and near normal precip this year. Chances are we will have a few hot days this year, but the core of the heat and hundred-degree-day stretches will stay over Iowa and north where there will be more compressional warming events this summer.

  • KCWeatherGirl

    Thanks so much Gary! Will be watching tonight!